Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 7
SWOT
Analysis — 9
Slovakia Political
SWOT — 9
Slovakia Economic SWOT — 10
Slovakia Business Environment SWOT — 11
Slovakia Energy
Market Overview — 12
Global Oil Market
Outlook — 16
Storing Up Trouble — 16
Revised Forecasts — 18
Global Oil Market
Review — 20
One-Way Traffic — 20
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) — 23
12-Month
Demand Outlook — 23
Table: Global Oil Production
(000b/d) — 24
12-Month Supply
Outlook — 24
Longer-Term Supply And
Demand — 25
Oil Price Assumptions — 26
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2008/2009 — 27
Table: Oil
Price Forecasts — 27
Global Oil Products Price
Outlook — 28
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2009
(US$/bbl) — 31
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts
(US$/bbl) — 32
Global Oil Products Market
Review — 33
Regional Energy Market
Overview — 38
Oil Supply And
Demand — 38
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 39
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Production
(000b/d) — 40
Oil: Downstream — 41
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 41
Gas Supply And
Demand — 42
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Consumption
(bcm) — 42
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Production
(bcm) — 43
Liquefied Natural Gas — 44
Table: Central/Eastern Europe LNG Exports/(Imports)
(bcm) — 44
Business Environment
Ranking — 45
Central/Eastern Europe
Region — 45
Composite Scores — 45
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating — 46
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment
Rating — 47
Upstream Scores — 47
Downstream Scores — 48
Slovakia Upstream Rating –
Overview — 48
Slovakia Upstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 48
Slovakia Upstream Rating – Risks To
Potential Returns — 48
Slovakia Downstream Rating –
Overview — 49
Slovakia Downstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 49
Slovakia Downstream Rating – Risks To
Potential Returns — 49
Business
Environment — 50
Legal Framework — 50
Infrastructure — 51
Labour Force — 52
Foreign Investment Policy — 53
Tax
Regime — 53
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 55
Oil And Gas
Reserves — 55
Oil Supply And
Demand — 55
Gas Supply And Demand — 55
Refining And Oil Products Trade — 56
Revenues/Import
Costs — 56
Table: Slovakia Oil & Gas – Historical
Data & Forecasts — 57
Other
Energy — 58
Table: Slovakia Other Energy –
Historical Data & Forecasts — 61
Key Risks To BMI’s
Forecast Scenario — 61
Long-Term Oil & Gas
Outlook — 61
Macroeconomic
Outlook — 62
Table: Slovakia - Economic
Activity — 63
Competitive
Landscape — 64
Executive Summary — 64
Table: Key Players – Slovak Oil & Gas Sector — 65
Overview/State Role — 65
Table: Key Downstream
Players — 67
Company Monitor — 68
Slovnaft — 68
OMV Slovakia — 70
Slovenský Plynárenský Priemysel (SPP) –
Summary — 72
Transpetrol –
Summary — 72
JKX Oil And Gas –
Summary — 73
Shell –
Summary — 73
BP – Summary — 73
Eni – Summary — 73
Glossary of
Terms — 74
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised
Methodology — 75
Introduction — 75
Ratings Overview — 75
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business
Environment Ratings: Structure — 76
Indicators — 77
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Upstream Ratings: Methodology — 77
Table: BMI Oil & Gas
Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology — 78
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts — 80
Global Oil
Demand — 80
Table: Global Oil Demand
(000b/d) — 80
Table: Global Oil Production
(000b/d) — 81
Global Oil Supply — 81
Global Gas Demand — 82
Table: Global Gas Demand
(bcm) — 82
Global Gas Supply — 82
Table: Global Gas Production (bcm) — 83
Regional Oil
Demand — 84
Table: CEE Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 84
Regional Oil Supply — 85
Table: CEE Oil Production (000b/d) — 85
Regional Refining
Capacity — 86
Table: CEE Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 86
Regional Gas Demand — 87
Table: CEE Gas Consumption (bcm) — 87
Regional Gas
Supply — 88
Table: CEE Gas Production
(bcm) — 88
Slovakia Country
Overview — 88
Methodology & Risks To
Forecasts — 89
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 90
How We Generate Our Industry
Forecasts — 90
Energy Industry — 91
Cross checks — 91
Sources — 91
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