Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5 SWOT
Analysis — 6 Iran Political SWOT — 6
Iran Economic SWOT — 7 Iran Business Environment
SWOT — 8 Industry Overview — 9
Global — 9 Table: Global Summary,
2006-2013 — 9 Middle East/Africa
Region — 10 Table: Middle East/Africa Power Generation
(TWh) — 11 Table: Middle East/Africa Thermal Power
Generation (TWh) — 12 Table: Middle East/Africa Primary
Energy Demand (mn toe) — 13 Table: Middle East/Africa Gas
Consumption (bcm) — 14 Table: Middle East/Africa Coal
Consumption (mn toe) — 15 Table: Middle East/Africa
Nuclear Energy Consumption (TWh) — 16 Market Overview
– Iran — 17 Primary Energy
Demand — 17 Power Generation — 17
Power Consumption — 18
Regulation/Competition — 18
Pricing — 19 Power Transmission — 20
Business Environment Rankings — 21 Middle East/Africa
Region — 21 Power Scores — 21 Table:
Regional Power Business Environment Rating — 22 Iran Power
Rating – Overview — 22 Limits Of Potential
Returns — 22 Risks to Realisation Of
Returns — 23 Legal Framework — 23
Infrastructure — 25 Labour Force — 26
Foreign Investment Policy — 27 Tax
Regime — 27 Security Risk — 28
Political Update – Post-Election Fallout
Assessed — 29 Industry Forecast
Scenario — 32 Iran Power Outlook — 32
Generation — 32 Gas-Fired — 32
Oil-Fired — 33 Coal-Fired — 33 Nuclear
Energy — 33 Hydro-Electric — 34
Renewable Energy — 34 Power Costs — 34
Transmission — 34 Table: Iran’s Power Sector –
Historic Data And Forecasts — 35 Table: Iran’s
Thermal Power Sector – Historic Data And Forecasts (US$mn unless
otherwise stated) — 36 Table: Iran Power (Non-thermal)
– Historic Data & Forecasts — 37 Iran Power (Costs)
– Historic Data & Forecasts — 37 Assumptions And
Methodology — 38 Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast
Scenario — 38 Long-term Power
Outlook — 38 Macroeconomic
Outlook — 39 Iran – Economic Activity,
2005-2013 — 42 Competitive
Landscape — 43 Executive Summary — 43
Power Outlook: Long-term forecasts — 44 Global
Snapshot — 44 Table: Global
Summary — 44 Regional Outlook — 44 MEA
Electricity Generation (TWh) — 45 MEA Primary Energy
Demand (mn toe) — 46 MEA Thermal Power Generation
(TWh) — 47 MEA Hydro-electric Generation
(TWh) — 48 MEA Nuclear Generation
(TWh) — 49 Iran Country Overview — 49
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts — 49 Country Snapshot:
Iran Demographic Data — 51 Section 1:
Population — 51 Source: UN Population
Division — 51 Table: Demographic Indicators,
2005-2030 — 51 Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown,
2005-2030 — 52 Section 2: Education And
Healthcare — 52 Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 52 Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 52 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 53 Table: Employment Indicators,
1996-2005 — 53 Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012
(US$) — 54 Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages,
2000-2012 — 54 BMI Forecast
Modelling — 55 How We Generate Our Industry
Forecasts — 55 Power Industry — 56
Cross Checks — 56 Sources — 57
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