Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5 SWOT
Analysis — 7 United Kingdom Security
SWOT — 7 United Kingdom Defence Industry
SWOT — 8 United Kingdom Political
SWOT — 9 United Kingdom Economic
SWOT — 9 Political Overview — 10
Security Risk Analysis — 12 BMI’s Security
Ratings — 12 Table: Europe Regional Security Risk
Ratings — 12 Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability
Index — 13 The UK’s Security Risk
Ratings — 14 City Terrorism
Rating — 15 Table: BMI’s Western Europe City
Terrorism Index — 16 Europe Regional Security
Overview — 17 Domestic Security
Overview — 23 Internal Threats — 23
Domestic Terrorism — 23 Northern
Ireland — 23 Table: Proscribed Irish
Groups — 23 Table: United Kingdom Insurgent
Groups — 24 Latest Developments — 25
Timeline: Internal Threats — 26 External
Threats — 29 WMD Fears — 30 Drug
Trafficking — 31 International
Terrorism — 32 Table: Proscribed International
Groups — 32 Latest Developments — 34
External Security: Recent Developments — 34 Military
Structure And Defence Industry — 37 Armed
Forces — 37 Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (000s,
including conscripted) — 37 Defence
Reform — 37 International
Deployments — 40 Table: Principal Deployments Of UK Armed
Forces — 40 Weapons Of Mass
Destruction — 41 Market Structure — 43
Arms Trade Overview — 44 Industry Trends And
Developments — 46 Table: Key Players In The UK’s
Defence Sector — 46 Background — 46
Latest Developments — 49 Timeline: UK Government
Procurement — 50 Industry Forecast
Scenario — 53 Armed Forces — 53 Table:
Army Personnel, 2005-2013 (000s) — 53 Government
Expenditure On Defence Industry — 54 Table: Government
Expenditure On Defence Industry, 2005 – 2013 — 54
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario — 55
Macroeconomic Forecast — 56 Table: United Kingdom –
Economic Activity, 2006-2013 — 57 Company
Profiles — 59 BAE Systems — 59
GKN — 63 QinetiQ — 65
Rolls-Royce — 67 Country Snapshot: UK Demographic
Data — 69 Section 1: Population — 69
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 — 69 Table:
Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 — 70 Section 2: Education
And Healthcare — 70 Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 70 Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 70 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 71 Table: Employment Indicators,
2000-2005 — 71 Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2011
(US$) — 71 Table: Average Annual Wages,
2000-2012 — 72 BMI Methodology — 73
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts — 73 Defence
Industry — 73 City Terrorism
Rating — 74 Table: Methodology — 76
Sources — 77
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