Abstract
Bishop & Associates has just released a new 14 CHAPTER research report
exploring the technology of both electrical and optic communication links, and
compares the relative advantages and disadvantages of each in I/O
applications. Connector sales data is provided for the years 2006, 2007, 2012
forecast, and five-year CAGRs.
Copper cables have historically been the primary media that allowed electronic
systems to communicate. Copper cabling systems have evolved over the years to
enable increasing bandwidth as system speeds increased. Cable constructions
including coaxial, and shielded twisted pair along with advanced signaling
devices have pushed the performance capabilities of copper Input / output
cables to multigigabit speeds. Prediction of copper bandwidth limitations has
consistently proven inaccurate as designers find ways to enable copper links
to satisfy their performance requirements. Copper cable assemblies are an
established technology that permits easy repair in the field using common
tools. A variety of industry standards define copper interfaces that enable
equipment connectivity, an essential feature of many of today' s electronic
products.
The elements of optic communication technology have been developing over a
long period of time, but the ability to fabricate optic links became practical
in the 1960' s. Copper cables have been in a continuous process of evolving to
higher speed performance, while fiber was born with bandwidth capability far
beyond the limitations of copper. Glass fiber was quickly adopted as the media
of choice for long distance communication links that spanned the earth. Low
cost, high bandwidth optic cables have enabled global telecom and Internet
communications that have reshaped the world. In addition to exceptional
bandwidth, fiber links offers excellent signal integrity, electrical
isolation, noise immunity and the ability to transmit over long distances
without the need for amplifiers or repeaters.
A primary impediment to the implementation of fiber is the fact that signals
produced by electronic equipment must be converted to optic pulses before they
can be transmitted over fiber cables. This has been an expensive process that
could only be justified in long distance applications. Improvements in the
performance of optic cables together with the introduction of lower cost
electro-optic conversion devices have allowed fiber to become competitive in
shorter reach applications.
Market demand for higher speed links is putting pressure on copper cables that
must incorporate more exotic features to keep pace. Increasing data rates can
limit the effective length of copper cable assemblies opening the door to
optic alternatives. System designers now have the option of choosing optic or
copper media in many I/O applications of less than 10 meters.
The report is organized into 14 chapters plus a glossary of terms and
definitions.
Some of the issues addressed include:
- What technical and economic factors may be changing the copper vs. fiber I/O selection process?
- What are the primary applications for high-speed communication links in current telecom and computing equipment? How may these change in the next five years?
- What signal loss and distortion factors influence the performance of high-speed copper and fiber optic links?
- What are the factors that make pluggable small form-factor modules an attractive option?
- How do formal and defacto industry standards influence the copper vs. fiber link decision?
- How do the manufacturing and repair processes of copper and fiber optic cables compare?
- What are the fastest growing markets for high-speed I/O cables?
- At what distance and data rate do fiber links become a more practical choice over copper?
- Are “active fiber cable assemblies” a long-term solution to bandwidth and cable bulk problems?
- Where do small form factor pluggable interfaces offer the best alternative to solutions in high-speed I/O applications?
- What are the market values of high-speed copper and fiber optic connectors and cable assemblies by region of the world?
- What are the dollar and percent growth forecasts for high-speed copper and fiber optic connectors and cable assemblies through 2012?
- What emerging technologies now in development may allow fiber to become the preferred media for the majority of high-speed I/O communication?
- Will the cost of advanced high-speed copper cables tip the advantage to fiber optic links?
- Will 10 Gb/s Ethernet drive a movement toward greater use of fiber optic links?
|