Table of Contents
OVERVIEW
THE FUTURE DECODED
- INTRODUCTION: Understanding how ' recessionary mindsets' influence Dutch
consumers' attitudes towards and actual consumption is vital
- The ' recessionary mindset' of Dutch consumers in 2008-09 is reflected by
the widespread belief that they are in a recession
- The economic downturn has had an impact on the lifestyles of more than
half of Dutch consumers
- Key takeouts and implications: a ' recessionary mindset' has not been
fully matched by a recessionary impact on Dutch consumers lifestyles
- TREND: Dutch citizens remain appreciative of their quality if life even if
they are conscious of a worsening economic situation
- Dutch citizens are generally downbeat about how things are going and
this appears to be negatively impacting perceptions about quality of life
- Key takeouts and implications: the mood towards the direction of Dutch
society has further dampened as the economic downturn has deepened, but
Dutch citizens remain satisfied with their quality of life
- TREND: Dutch consumers have lost confidence in their financial security
and are being more scrupulous in response
- Satisfaction with one' s financial situation is low among Dutch consumers
but negative sentiment is lower than consumers from elsewhere
- Perceptions about the economy, job security, financial status and the
housing market in the Netherlands have all worsened in 2008-09 and there is
only limited optimism looking towards the latter end of 2009
- Dutch consumers are managing their finances more closely with some even
struggling to pay the bills
- Dutch consumers are making greater efforts to save while negative
attitudes towards credit prevail
- Key takeouts and implications: Dutch consumers have lost satisfaction in
their financial situation and there is only some optimism of any improvement
coming towards the end of 2009
- INSIGHT: The global financial crisis has had a negative impact on the
emotional wellbeing of Dutch consumers with levels of stress up and personal
happiness down
- Stress levels have all been negatively impacted during the financial
downturn
- Work-life balance has also worsened in combination with the deepening
downturn
- The happiness levels of Dutch citizens have not been significantly
dampened with the global economic crisis
- Key takeouts and implications: recessionary consumers in the Netherlands
have not been demonstrating a significant need for an emotional and physical
' pick-me-up'
- INSIGHT: Dutch consumers have become increasingly price and value
consciousness following the global economic downturn
- Dutch consumers are becoming more value conscious amid the economic
crisis and therefore looking to save money when buying groceries
- Price and value consciousness heavily influences where Dutch consumers
do their grocery shopping and how they shop but quality still matters too
- Key takeouts and implications: value consciousness among Dutch consumers
has intensified, albeit less so than elsewhere, and is reflected by how they
determine where to shop
- INSIGHT: Quality conscious and comparably confident Dutch shoppers are
trying to remain loyal to brands despite the negative impact of the economic
downturn
- Dutch consumers are reluctant to give up some favorite brands as they
make more ' considered' choices
- Private labels are becoming more attractive to Dutch shoppers in the
downturn
- Key takeouts and implications: private label appeals to value conscious
Dutch shoppers but they many remain broadly loyal to their favourite brands
- INSIGHT: Dutch consumers are embracing money saving tactics when it comes
to food and non-alcoholic beverage purchases and preparation
- Dutch consumers are adopting various responses to cut back on food and
beverage expenditures
- Many Dutch shoppers consider private label food and non-alcoholic
beverages to be identical to famous branded equivalents
- Key takeouts and implications: a resurging desire to cook more often at
home has occurred while private label and market leading brand competition
in food and non-alcoholic beverages will intensify
- INSIGHT: The significant majority of Dutch consumers' personal care
regimes and related product choices have been ' recession resistant'
- Over half of Dutch consumers are committed to looking their best in
day-to-day life
- Price and value conscious personal care/beauty shoppers in the
Netherlands have not made notable changes to their personal care shopping
and usage in order to save money
- Dutch consumers are largely unaware or indifferent towards private label
personal care products
- Key takeouts and implications: Dutch consumers' health and beauty
regimes are proving to be largely recession resistant Since personal
appearance is so heavily correlated with self-esteem, consumers are more
likely to be emotionally involved with personal care brands because they
play a notable role in defining that person both internally (i.e. how he or
she feels about him or herself) and externally (i.e. how he or she is
perceived by others). As a result, even in uncertain times people are still
willing to spend money on making themselves look good and feel good.
- INSIGHT: Dutch consumers' alcohol consumption patterns and preferences
have not changed significantly during the downturn
- Dutch drinkers are careful about how much they spend on alcohol but do
not perceive that they have been making significant cut backs in the amount
they consume
- Dutch drinkers appear to have become more value conscious in their
at-home alcoholic beverage choices than their out-of-home choices
- Private label alcohol is relatively prominent in the Netherlands but
consumers still express uncertainty about comparative quality against
branded equivalents
- Dutch drinkers are more concerned about the quality credentials of
alcoholic beverage brands and are less concerned about brand imageThere is a
status that comes from buying what is perceived to be the ' right brand' .
Traditionally, an attractive aspect of premium (alcoholic beverage) products
has been the chance for a consumer to show their peers the extent of their
affluence and good taste. Image-conscious consumers that typically have a
desire to link themselves to brands often seek conspicuous, status-enhancing
products in order to create an identity and image around themselves. Because
alcohol is so often consumed in a more conspicuous setting, marketing
(particularly in the case of upscale brands) often emphasizes the status
credentials of brands.
- Key takeouts and implications: there has been little to no change for
around eight in 10 Dutch drinkers, suggesting that alcohol preferences and
habits in the country are largely ' recession resistant'
- INSIGHT: Dutch consumers' household care buying preferences are heavily
shaped by price consciousness irrespective of an economic downturn
- Price-led value is still the most influential factor for Dutch shoppers'
household and laundry care purchases but preferences do reflect other
important influences
- The private label household care market in the Netherlands is small but
potentially lucrative given shoppers' desire for value
- Key takeouts and implications: Dutch consumers associate hygiene and
cleanliness with wellbeing and this makes them somewhat quality conscious
ACTION POINTS
- ACTION: Adopt a relentless approach to delivering and communicating better
value-for-money than the competition
- Actively demonstrate value-for-money by re-appraising marketing
initiatives, including slogans
- Ensure that the value gains are instantaneous
- Focus on quality to maintain differentiation and prove to consumers that
quality really matters
- Evaluate and adapt cost structures so that it is feasible to offer
value-for-money solutions
- Start planning for the longer-term by continually tracking Dutch
consumers as an economic recovery begins to become a reality
APPENDIX
- Methodology
- Further reading and references
- Ask the analyst
- Datamonitor consulting
- Disclaimer
TABLES
- Table: Consumer survey: level of satisfaction with "the general direction
of how things are going" and "quality of life", in the Netherlands (compared
with the global average), 2009
- Table: Consumer survey: satisfaction with current financial situation and
importance attached to wealth/ income and having finances in good order, in
the Netherlands and globally, 2009
- Table: Consumer survey: perceptions of whether broader economic
conditions, household' s financial situation, job security/confidence and
housing market confidence had improved or worsened in the six month previous
and how each might change in the proceeding six months, in the Netherlands,
2009
- Table: Consumer survey: propensity to feel tense and the extent to which
perceived levels of stress have changed in the last six months and are
expected to change in the next six months, in the Netherlands, 2008 - 09
- Table: Consumer survey: propensity to feel very tired and the extent to
which perceived work-life balance has changed in the last six months and are
expected to change in the next six months, in the Netherlands, 2008 - 09
- Table: Consumer survey: happiness levels and the extent to which perceived
happiness has changed in the last six months and are expected to change in the
next six months, in the Netherlands, 2008 - 09
- Table: Consumer survey: changing value-consciousness and desire to save
money when buying groceries among Dutch shoppers, 2009
- Table: Consumer survey: changing efforts being made to use coupons, change
grocery store choice to save money, embrace more disciplined shopping and
gather and utilize store price information, among Dutch shoppers, April
2008-April 2009
- Table: Consumer survey: the extent to which consumers are making effort to
save money by adopting various food and drinks consumption and preparation
approaches, in the Netherlands, 2008-09
- Table: Consumer survey: perception about the relative superiority or
inferiority of private labels versus well known or market leading famous
brands in food, soft drinks and hot drinks, in the Netherlands, 2009
- Table: Total private label food penetration and spend ($ millions) in the
Netherlands, 2002-2012
- Table: Private label non-alcoholic beverage penetration and spend ($
millions in the Netherlands, 2002 - 2012
- Table: Consumer survey: the importance attached to looking one' s best in
day-to-day life, the pressure to look good, and satisfaction with physical
attractiveness/appearance, among Dutch consumers, 2008 and 2009
- Table: Consumer survey: the extent to which consumers are making an effort
to save money by using spas or salons less often, in the Netherlands, 2008 - 09
- Table: Consumer survey: attempts made by Dutch consumers to change their
personal care/beauty habits in order to save money, by product category, 2008
- 09
- Table: Private label personal care penetration and spend (US$ millions) in
the Netherlands, 2002 - 2012
- Table: Consumer survey: perception about private labels versus well known
or market leading famous brands for grooming/beauty products in the
Netherlands, 2009
- Table: Consumer survey: attentiveness towards the amount of money spent on
alcohol and the degree to which alcoholic beverage consumers in the
Netherlands have cut down on the overall amount of alcohol bought/consumed in
2008 - 09
- Table: Total private label alcoholic beverage penetration and spend (US$
millions) in the Netherlands, 2002 - 2012
- Table: Consumer survey: the changing degree to which household and laundry
care consumers in the Netherlands made product choices with value or cost in
mind, 2008
- Table: Consumer survey: attitudes towards doing housework in the
Netherlands and globally, 2008
- Table: Private label household care penetration and spend ( US $m) in the
Netherlands, 2002 - 2012
- Table: Consumer survey: perception about the relative superiority or
inferiority of private labels versus well known or market-leading famous
brands for household cleaning/laundry products, and how often such products
are purchased to save money, in the Netherlands, 2009
FIGURES
- Figure: Datamonitor' s ' Recession and Recovery' portal will allow industry
players to continually identify emerging opportunities and track what is
happening in the Dutch economy as it develops
- Figure: Over three-quarters of Dutch consumers believed the country was in
recession in April 2009
- Figure: The Dutch have been feeling the impact of the downturn less so
than in other countries
- Figure: In the midst of the global economic crisis, Dutch consumers
remained comparatively bullish about their perceived purchasing power
- Figure: Dutch consumers are inherently dissatisfied with how things are
going in the country but remain largely satisfied with their overall quality
of life
- Figure: Dutch GDP and household consumption has recorded negative growth
in the first half of 2009
- Figure: In 2009, Dutch citizens have become somewhat ambivalent about
their personal financial situation
- Figure: Dutch negativity about the economy at large is greater than that
shown towards their personal situation which reflects the comparatively high
resilience of Dutch consumers
- Figure: Only 20% of Dutch consumers expected economic conditions to
improve by October 2009
- Figure: Both Dutch consumer and industry confidence has shown signs of
bottoming out in the second quarter of 2009
- Figure: Dutch consumers are managing their finances more closely while
nearly a third of individuals report difficulties in paying all the bills
- Figure: Dutch consumers express ongoing reluctance about using credit to
maintain their lifestyles and an increasing desire to save money
- Figure: The economic downturn in the Netherlands has also been accompanied
by additional levels of stress
- Figure: Dutch consumers are prone to fatigue, but few perceived they had
experienced a worsening work-life balance in the period October 2008 to April
2009 and few expected this scenario to worsen
- Figure: Few Dutch citizens have become less happy as the financial crisis
intensified in 20008-09
- Figure: The overwhelming majority of Dutch consumers are more value
conscious following the downturn
- Figure: Quality of products sold has more influence than lower prices or
habit over where people in the Netherlands so their shopping
- Figure: Dutch consumers have not been particularly active in modifying
their approach to shopping in order to save money
- Figure: Even as the downturn has intensified, quality conscious Dutch
consumers have tried to maintain brand preferences - more so than their global
counterparts
- Figure: Half of Dutch shoppers are routinely buying private label/store
branded products in order to save money
- Figure: Private label range plays a role in where people shop, not just in
the Netherlands, but globally
- Figure: Private label range is important in shaping the value-for-money
considerations of Dutch shoppers
- Figure: The private label market is impacted by a broad range of drivers
and inhibitors
- Figure: Dutch consumers became increasingly value conscious in their food
and beverage choices in 2008, but that was not reflected by a substantial
quality compromise
- Figure: The attributes deemed most influential in what food and beverages
Dutch consumers buy reiterate the influence of quality and price in their
general decisions
- Figure: Dutch consumers are both quality and price focused in their food
shopping orientations
- Figure: Dutch consumers are adopting various responses to cut back on food
and beverage expenditure, but none of them to a significant degree
- Figure: There has been little change in the self-reported propensity for
Dutch consumers to cook an evening meal at home from scratch
- Figure: There has been little change in the self-reported propensity for
Dutch consumers to have a takeaway meal at home
- Figure: Dutch consumers are split on their opinions about how famous
branded food products, soft drinks and hot drinks compare to private label
equivalents
- Figure: Dutch consumers are appearance conscious and this makes them less
willing to trade-down when making personal care choices
- Figure: Dutch personal care/beauty shoppers became more price and value
conscious in 2008 but showed little desire to sacrifice on quality
- Figure: Personal care/beauty shoppers in the Netherlands and elsewhere are
highly price conscious
- Figure: Nearly two-thirds of Dutch consumers consider private label beauty
products to be good alternatives to well known or market leading brands
- Figure: Dutch consumers are careful about how much they spend on alcohol
but do not perceive that they have been making significant cut bucks in the
amount they consume
- Figure: Value consciousness among Dutch drinkers has had more impact on
at-home alcoholic drinks' consumption in 2008 - 09, albeit not to a
significant extent
- Figure: Dutch drinkers, perhaps influenced by a sense of entitlement, are
reluctant to opt for cheaper brands and formats of alcoholic beverages
- Figure: Nearly one-quarter of Dutch drinkers are highly influenced by
alcohol beverage promotional offers
- Figure: Over one-third of Dutch drinkers believe that private label
alcoholic drinks are good alternatives to market-leading or famous brands
- Figure: Dutch drinkers are most likely to be skeptical of private label
beer compared to wine or spirits
- Figure: Although Dutch drinkers are price conscious, brand name is
increasingly shaping preferences
- Figure: Price-led value is still the most influential factor for Dutch
consumers' household and laundry care purchases
- Figure: In 2008, Dutch household and laundry care choices were made with
greater consideration for cost/value but consumers showed an ongoing desire
for efficacy-led quality
- Figure: Dutch consumers value cleanliness, inherently dislike household
tasks and seek to minimize the amount of time they spend on such tasks
- Figure: Two-thirds of Dutch consumers are ' frequent' purchasers of
household care products on the basis of value-for-money
- Figure: Four-in-ten Dutch consumers regularly purchase private label
household care products to save money
- Figure: A small proportion of Dutch consumers consider private label
household and laundry products to be superior to branded equivalents
- Figure: Coles' ' Feed Your Family for Under $10' campaign is similar to an
approach adopted by Sainsbury' s in the UK
- Figure: Manufacturers and retailers looking to deliver value-for-money
must in the provision of factors associated with the PPI, but while also
offering consumers lower than expected prices
- Figure: Datamonitor' s Recession and Recovery portal will facilitate
forward thinking planning for those leading companies that start planning for
the longer-term
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