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Market Research Report

Commercial Insight: Antipsychotics - Revenues of depots and new agents will partially offset generic erosion

Published by Datamonitor Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2009/10 Content info 177 pages
Product code DC103030
Price From  US $ 15200 Order/Price list
US $ 15200 PDF by E-mail (Single User License)
US $ 38000 PDF by E-mail (Global Site License)
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Description TOC

Abstract

Introduction

In 2008, seven major market sales of antipsychotics reached $18.2 billion. Datamonitor forecasts the market value to peak in 2011 when it will then succumb to generic erosion, particularly in the US where incursion is the most rapid. However, the commercial opportunity still exists for developers who can differentiate their antipsychotics with reformulation and indication expansion strategies.

Scope of this research

  • In-depth analysis of the current and future antipsychotic drug class market across the US, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK.
  • Country-specific total brand sales forecasts for key products, generics and pipeline agents across the seven major markets to 2018.
  • Assessment and appreciation of the numerous opportunities and threats present in the antipsychotic market, with analysis of emerging markets trends.
  • Case study evaluation of the strategies employed by key players in the antipsychotic market, including Johnson & Johnson, AstraZeneca and Eli Lilly.

Research and analysis highlights

Due to a high rate of generic incursion, the US market value is expected to decline over the forecast period (20092018). As the US accounts for around 75% of the total 2008 seven major market value, this decline will counteract positive growth anticipated in the other regions, including Europe and Japan.

The launch of the once-monthly dosed depot formulations, Zypadhera (olanzapine pamoate; Eli Lilly) and Invega Sustenna (paliperidone palmitate; Johnson & Johnson), will seek to address widespread compliance issues in schizophrenia patients and provide protection to marketing companies' respective franchises.

Abilify (aripiprazole; Bristol-Myers Squibb/Otsuka) will emerge as the market leading brand in 2012. At this point, other major brands will be facing generic competition. Given its innovative mode of action, strong efficacy and favorable side-effect profile, Abilify will be sufficiently differentiated to avoid major indirect generic competition.

Key reasons to purchase this research

  • Quantify the current and future size of the antipsychotic drug class market.
  • Assess the impact of recent and anticipated events (patent expiries and new product launches) on the antipsychotic drug class market.
  • Understand the country-specific impact of key events in the antipsychotic drug class market during the forecast period 2009 to 2018.
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