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Market Research Report

Pipeline/Commercial Insight: Innovative Targeted Therapies - 'Smart Drugs' on Target for Increasing Growth

Published by Datamonitor Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2005/10 Content info  
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Description TOC

Table of Contents

ABOUT DATAMONITOR HEALTHCARE

  • About the Oncology pharmaceutical analysis team
    • Richard Faint - Director of Oncology

CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Scope of analysis
  • Datamonitor insight into the targeted therapies market

CHAPTER 2 PIPELINE OVERVIEW

  • Pipeline overview
  • Pipeline by developmental phase & class of drug
    • Signal transduction inhibitors and angiogenesis inhibitorsconstitute over half the current targeted therapies pipeline
      • Signal transduction inhibitors & angiogenesisinhibitors dominate due to their wide applicability for use and provensuccess in the market to date
      • Setbacks suffered by Gentas Genasense may have deterredother developers of apoptosis stimulators
      • The specificity of monoclonal antibody target meanspatient potential is restricted, however, success of Rituxan may spurdevelopers on
      • The HDAC inhibitors & cell cycle regulators arerestricted in terms of potential molecular target, hence their minimalpresence in the pipeline
    • The current late-phase pipeline is relatively sparse dueto the novelty of this market
      • As time progresses, the late-phase pipeline will flourishas early-phase candidates move forward in development
  • Pipeline by molecular target
    • Signal transduction inhibitors
      • The EGFR and multiple tyrosine kinases remain the focus ofdevelopment as targets for signal transduction inhibitors
    • Angiogenesis inhibitors
      • The VEGFR and multiple tyrosine kinases remain the focusof development as targets for angiogenesis inhibitors
    • Apoptosis stimulators
      • Due to a lack of information from developers, a populartarget for apoptosis is difficult to identify
    • HDAC inhibitors
    • Cell cycle regulators
      • Utility of CDK as a target comes from known mutation/overexpressionin some malignancies
    • Other monoclonal antibodies
      • The CD family of proteins allows for a highly specifictarget, with proven success via Rituxan
  • Pipeline by indication
    • The big four tumor types, plus melanoma and RCC are themost popular indications for development
      • Constituting over half of all newly diagnosed cancercases, the big four tumor types offer significant commercial potential
      • Melanoma and RCC are well characterized in terms of tumorgrowth drivers, thus making them ideal indications for the development oftargeted therapies
    • Non-Hodgkins lymphoma dominates the pipeline within thehematological malignancies
      • Based on incidence rates, non-Hodgkins lymphoma is themost commercially attractive hematological indication for development
      • Pipeline compounds for leukemia are similar across thedifferent types, due to potential for horizontal expansion
  • Pipeline by company
    • At least 138 companies are involved in the currenttargeted therapies pipeline
      • The majority of pipeline compounds are in early-phasetrials, hence two-thirds of companies involved are small biotechnologyfirms
    • Top three companies in terms of marketed and pipelineproducts are Genentech, AstraZeneca and Pfizer
      • Genentech
      • AstraZeneca
      • Pfizer
  • Key metrics
  • Datamonitor pipeline assessment summary

CHAPTER 3 PIPELINE DYNAMICS

  • A diverse range of disease subtypes
  • Genetic basis of cancer evolution
    • Tumorigenesis is the result of cooperative accumulatedmutations
  • Existing pharmacotherapy approaches provide limitedtreatment benefit
    • Cytotoxic drugs lack specificity
    • Hormonal or endocrine therapy provides incremental benefitin selected tumors
    • Optimizing current treatment strategies is paramount
  • The emergence of targeted treatment heralds a revolutionin cancer pharmacotherapy
  • Dynamic cancer market offers significant commercialopportunity
    • Ongoing sales growth drives the market
    • Intensive R&D produces a rich developmental pipeline
    • Growing patient population and significant unmet needspropel innovation in the cancer market
      • Cancer epidemiology - an expanding patient base
      • Significant areas of unmet need persist
  • Clinical and strategic threats to the commercialization ofcancer drugs
    • Progressively rising R&D costs threaten industryproductivity
      • High attrition rates can be mitigated by improvedstrategic decision-making
      • Lengthening drug approval process a consequence ofincreased regulatory demands
    • Pharmacoeconomic pressures drive payers to implementrestrictive pricing and reimbursement policies
    • Increased therapeutic and generic competition results inreduced periods of market exclusivity
    • Segmentation of market will require changes in clinicaltrial methodology

CHAPTER 4 MARKET DEFINITION & PIPELINE CLASSIFICATION

  • Targeted therapies overview
    • The development of innovative targeted therapies
      • Current therapies adversely affect non-malignant cells
      • Innovative targeted therapies can address novel propertiesof tumor cells to selectively target them over normal cells
      • Key issue is the identification of targets unique tocancer cells
  • Market definition
    • L1X3 - Antineoplastic monoclonal antibodies
    • L1X9 - All other antineoplastics
  • Classification of pipeline products
    • Signal transduction inhibitors
      • A plethora of potential targets along the signalingcascade exist
      • Several signal transduction inhibitors have reached themarket, bringing with them their own sets of issues for consideration
    • Angiogenesis inhibitors
      • Angiogenesis as a normal biological process
      • Angiogenesis is known to be abberant in tumor cellproliferation
      • Angiogenesis inhibitors as viable antitumor agents cantarget a number of pathways
      • At present, only one angiogenesis inhibitor exists in themarket
    • Apoptosis stimulators
      • Cell death can be induced via a number of differentpathways
      • To date, only one apoptosis stimulator has reached themarket
    • Histone deacetylase inhibitors
      • Despite relative immaturity of development in this classof drugs, the potential to enhance current therapies exists
    • Cell cycle inhibitors
      • Despite ongoing R&D efforts, all current candidatesremain in the Phase II stage of development
  • Pipeline comparator
  • Current market situation

CHAPTER 5 MARKETED PRODUCTS FORECAST ANALYSIS

  • Country-specific assumptions and effects
    • Effect of Medicare Modernization Act in the US
    • Biennial price cuts in Japan
    • National Institute of Clinical Excellence in the UK
  • Product assumptions and effects
    • Signal transduction inhibitors
      • Erbitux (cetuximab)
      • Gleevec (imatinib)
      • Herceptin (trastuzumab)
      • Iressa (gefitinib)
      • Tarceva (erlotinib)
      • Targretin (bexarotene)
    • Angiogenesis inhibitors
      • Avastin (bevacizumab)
    • Apoptosis stimulators
      • Velcade (bortezomib)
    • Other monoclonal antibodies
      • Bexxar (tositumomab)
      • Campath (alemtuzumab)
      • Mylotarg (gemtuzumab)
      • MabThera/Rituxan (rituximab)
      • Zevalin (ibritumomab)
    • Others
      • Ontak (denileukin)
  • Forecasts

CHAPTER 6 PIPELINE SIGNAL TRANSDUCTION INHIBITORS ANALYSIS& FORECASTS

  • Pipeline overview
  • Onyx Pharmaceuticals/Bayers sorafenib (BAY 43-9006)
    • Drug profile
      • Multi-targeted approach allows for clinical development ina wide range of tumors
    • Clinical trial data
      • Sorafenib in RCC moves into preregistration
      • Potential for monotherapy and combination therapy in HCC
      • Combination therapy provides opportunity in malignantmelanoma
      • Phase II clinical trials
      • Acceptable toxicity profile
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Despite sorafenibs convincing single-agent activity, fullpotential will lie in combination regimens
      • Potential first-to-market status and collaboration willensure sorafenib is the leading multi-kinase inhibitor
  • Pfizers Sutent (sunitinib malate)
    • Drug profile
      • Development is ongoing in a variety of tumors due to wideapplicability of use of Sutent
    • Clinical trial data
      • Sutent shows significant activity among refractory GISTpatients with no alternative treatment options
      • Significant activity shown in second-line treatment ofRCC, though ongoing Phase III study is exploring first-line Sutentmonotherapy
      • Ongoing Phase II trial in breast cancer followingencouraging preliminary results
      • Activity shown in difficult to treat population withneuroendocrine tumors, although large-scale trials are yet to be initiated
      • Phase II clinical trials
      • Majority of Sutents toxicities are mild in nature
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Initial regulatory approval will come via GIST patients,although product expansion will need to occur to increase commercialpotential
      • Pfizers presence will be advantageous once Sutent gainsmarketing approval
  • Abbott Laboratories Xinlay (atrasentan)
    • Drug profile
      • Xinlays target receptor plays a key role in cancer cellproliferation
    • Clinical trial data
      • ODAC decision indicates low probability of Xinlay beinggranted FDA approval for prostate cancer
      • Activity of Xinlay in NSCLC similar to standardchemotherapy
      • Other trials
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Clinical benefit among a patient population with fewtreatment options means Xinlay could fulfill a significant unmet need
      • Abbotts favorable position in the prostate cancer marketwill be invaluable in Xinlays market potential
  • Abgenix/Amgens ABX-EGF (panitumumab)
    • Drug profile
      • Overexpression of EGFR makes an ideal target for ABX-EGFdevelopment
    • Clinical trial data
      • ABX-EGF shows promise as monotherapy or combinationtherapy across a range of treatment settings for colorectal cancer
      • Addition of ABX-EGF appears to enhance standardchemotherapy in NSCLC
      • Poor results as a single agent in RCC
      • Termination of development in prostate cancer
      • Main side effect is a potential indicator of ABX-EGFactivity
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Humanized nature of ABX-EGF holds some advantages overcompetitor EGFR inhibitors
      • Way forward for Amgen lies in ABX-EGF combination regimensand potential development of biomarker
      • Amgens presence will ensure success, althoughprofitability may increase by targeting earlier lines of therapy
  • GlaxoSmithKlines lapatinib (GW-572016)
    • Drug profile
      • Lapatinib is unique among the EGFR inhibitors by targetingtwo receptor tyrosine kinases
    • Clinical trial data
      • HER-2 overexpression in breast cancer justifies validityof lapatinibs target
      • Limited single-agent activity indicates combinationregimens including lapatinib are the way forward in NSCLC
      • Limited activity has terminated development of lapatinibin colorectal cancer
      • Modest activity in urothelial tumors, although unclearwhether GlaxoSmithKline intends to pursue this indication
      • Infrequent incidence of Grade 3 or higher toxicity
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Initial approval in niche breast cancer indication willexpedite subsequent approvals, with potential blockbuster status forlapatinib
      • GlaxoSmithKline needs to account for deficiency inoncology market experience to take full advantage of lapatinibs potential
  • Schering-Ploughs Sarasar (lonafarnib)
    • Drug profile
      • Previously wide range of developmental indications forSarasar has been reduced to just two
    • Clinical trial data
      • Main focus of Sarasar development in MDS, where greatestantitumor activity is shown
      • Lack of efficacy has led to termination of pivotal PhaseIII trial in NSCLC
      • Lack of clinical data makes it difficult to judgeSarasars potential in breast cancer
      • Benefit shown in advanced head and neck cancer, althoughno further trials have been announced
      • Limited activity as a single agent, although Sarasar mayshow potential in combination therapy in pancreatic cancer
      • Despite encouraging Phase II results in urothelial tractcarcinoma, no further clinical trials are planned
      • Lack of single-agent activity in colorectal cancer hashalted development in this indication
      • Mild toxicity in the majority of patients, although Grade3 events do occur
    • Datamonitor comments
      • The FDAs recent rejection of Johnson & JohnsonsZarnestra may reduce the time between launches of the two farnesyltransferase inhibitors
      • Presence in oncology market will aid commercialization ofSarasar
  • Wyeths temsirolimus (CCI-779)
    • Drug profile
      • Temsirolimus inhibits a key pathway in tumor cellproliferation
    • Clinical trial data
      • Encouraging response rates seen for temsirolimus incombination with standard interferon-alfa for RCC in Phase I trials arebeing further investigated
      • Substantial antitumor activity in Phase II trials inmantle cell lymphoma led to initiation of a Phase III trial in January2005
      • Temsirolimus shows activity as a single agent and incombination with hormonal therapy in breast cancer
      • Temsirolimus shows some activity in SCLC, although Wyethhas not stated its intention to pursue this indication
      • Temsirolimus does not show activity as a single agent inmelanoma
      • Despite encouraging results, Wyeth is not pursuingglioblastome multiforme as a potential indication for temsirolimus
      • Mild toxicity means temsirolimus is well tolerated
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Lucrative opportunites exist for temsirolimus, althoughbroad commercialization would be expedited via an approval in a nicheindication
      • Prior commercialization of Mylotarg has given Wyeth theexperience to launch temsirolimus successfully
  • AstraZenecas Zactima (ZD-6474)
    • Drug profile
      • Zactimas ability to inhibit both angiogenesis and signaltransduction should in theory result in greater efficacy in certainpatient subsets
    • Clinical trial data
      • Phase III trials investigating Zactima in NSCLC areplanned for second half of 2005
      • Phase II trial in multiple myeloma failed to meet primaryendpoint
      • Other trials
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Zactimas survival benefit in NSCLC needs to be convincingin order to compete with Tarceva
      • AstraZenecas strength in the oncology market will be keyin Zactimas success
  • Janssen/Johnson & Johnsons Zarnestra (tipifarnib)
    • Drug profile
      • Previously wide range of developmental indications forZarnestra have been reduced to just one
    • Clinical trial data
      • Following rejection of an NDA, the FDA requires Phase IIIdata for Zarnestra in AML before regulatory approval can be considered
      • Zarnestra shows activity in MDS, although further study isnot planned in short-term future
      • Negative Phase III trial results caused termination ofdevelopment in pancreatic cancer
      • Negative Phase III trial results caused termination ofdevelopment in colorectal cancer
      • Zarnestra development in breast cancer remains in Phase IItrials
      • Minimal activity in prostate cancer has terminateddevelopment in this indication
      • Lack of activity in SCLC caused termination of Phase IItrial
      • Phase I trial is ongoing for Zarnestra in combination withchemotherapy in advanced NSCLC
      • Despite modest activity in brain cancer, follow-up trialshave not been initiated
      • Mild toxicity is particularly significant sinceZarnestras main indication is for elderly AML patients where quality oflife is a major issue
    • Datamonitor comments
      • FDA rejection has caused Zarnestra to lose its lead
      • Focus on gene expression profiling may lead tofragmentation of the market
      • Johnson & Johnsons experience will be invaluable toZarnestra
      • Zarnestras niche indication may dilute effects of itsprobable first-to-market status loss
  • Bristol-Myers Squibbs dasatinib (BMS-354825)
    • Drug profile
      • Dasatinib shows potential to overcome Gleevec resistance
    • Clinical trial data
      • Dasatinib overcomes Gleevec resistance in CML patients
      • Phase I study of dasatinib in solid tumors is ongoing
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Despite convincing clinical benefit, dasatinib alreadyfaces potential competition from Novartiss AMN-107
      • Bristol-Myers Squibbs extensive oncology experience willaid commercializatioan of dasatinib
  • Novartiss AMN-107
    • Drug profile
      • AMN-107 shows potential for greater efficacy than Gleevec
    • Clinical trial data
      • AMN-107 confers significant activity in Gleevec-resistantCML
    • Datamonitor comments
      • AMN-107 in a race with Bristol-Myers Squibbs dasatinib toreach the market first
      • An opportunity for Novartis to consolidate and expand itsleading role in the CML therapy market
  • Kosan Biosciences 17-AAG
    • Drug profile
      • Potential to disrupt a host of relevant oncology targetsmeans 17-AAG shows a wide range of applicability
    • Clinical trial data
      • 17-AAG as a single agent induced disease stabilization inmelanoma patients
      • 17-AAG with docetaxel resulted in minor tumor responses
      • 17-AAG with gemcitabine and cisplatin resulted in twopartial responses
      • Some evidence of 17-AAG activity in multiple myeloma
      • Phase II trials
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Although 17-AAGs formulation may provide setbacks,commercial potential can be increased by developing biomarkers to judgeresponse
      • Kosan Biosciences should recruit the experience andresources of a key oncology player
  • Forecasts
  • Datamonitor drug assessment summary

CHAPTER 7 PIPELINE ANGIOGENESIS INHIBITORS ANALYSIS &FORECASTS

  • Pipeline overview
  • National Cancer Institutes CAI (L-651582,carboxyamidotriazole)
    • Drug profile
      • Clinical trials completed in a range of tumor types,although further development is unclear
    • Clinical trial data
      • Phase III trial failed to demonstrate any benefit of CAIover placebo in NSCLC
      • Limited evidence for future development of CAI in RCC
      • Some activity in ovarian cancer, although furtherdevelopment is unclear
    • Datamonitor comments
      • CAI left virtually redundant by Avastin and otherlate-stage pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors with superior clinicalprofiles
      • Success of CAI depends solely on involvement of apharmaceutical company, which is unlikely to occur
  • Aterna Zentariss Neovastat (AE-941)
    • Drug profile
      • Development of Neovastat scaled down to focus solely onNSCLC
    • Clinical trial data
      • Final results from Phase III trial in NSCLC expected in2006
      • Termination of Neovastat development in RCC followingfailure of Phase III to meet its primary endpoints
      • Other indications
    • Datamonitor comments
      • If ongoing Phase III trial does not meet its primaryendpoints, it could be the end for development of Neovastat
      • Aterna Zentaris should secure a US marketing partner inorder to increase commercial potential of Neovastat
  • Novartis/Schering AGs PTK-787 (vatalinib)
    • Drug profile
      • By targeting all known VEGFR tyrosine kinases, PTK-787should show activity across a range of tumor types
    • Clinical trial data
      • Anticipated regulatory filing for PTK-787 in colorectalcancer delayed to 2007 following disappointing CONFIRM-1 interim results
      • Recent initiation of the Phase II GOAL Study in NSCLC
      • Phase II trial is ongoing for PTK-787 in glioblastomamultiforme
      • Development in other tumors remains in early phases
      • Majority of reported toxicities among 1,000 patients havebeen mild to moderate in nature
    • Datamonitor comments
      • PTK-787s distinct advantages could recoup any negativerepurcussions from the CONFIRM-1 interim results
      • Schering AG and particularly Novartiss prior oncologyexperience will be invaluable to PTK-787
  • Pfizers AG-13736
    • Drug profile
    • Clinical trial data
      • AG-13736 shows substantial antitumor activity incytokine-refractory metastatic RCC
      • AG-13736 does not confer significant activity as a singleagent in AML and MDS
      • Demonstration of AG-13736 activity in Phase I study insolid tumors forms the basis of ongoing Phase II trials
    • Datamonitor comments
      • With a strategic development plan, Pfizer may be able toovercome Avastins leading position
      • Pfizers experience will be advantageous in thedevelopment of AG-13736
  • Forecasts
  • Datamonitor drug assessment summary

CHAPTER 8 PIPELINE APOPTOSIS STIMULATORS ANALYSIS &FORECASTS

  • Pipeline overview
  • Gentas Genasense (oblimersen)
    • Drug profile
      • Despite termination of Gentas agreement withSanofi-Aventis, Genasense remains in development for a multitude ofindications
    • Clinical trial data
      • Benefits of Genasense in CLL may not be enough to offsetthe addition of significant toxicity
      • Long-term survival results of Genasense in malignantmelanoma are of significance
      • Disappointing Phase III trial results in multiple myelomameans status of further development is unclear
      • Early-phase benefits of Genasense in AML requireconfirmation in Phase III clinical trial
      • Lack of clinical data in NSCLC makes it difficult to judgeGenasenses potential
      • Encouraging Phase II results in prostate cancer, thoughPhase III trials have yet to be initiated
      • Ongoing Phase II trial in SCLC will determine if patientbenefit counters additional toxicity
      • Promise shown in combination with rituximab in NHL, butrandomized trials have yet to be initiated
      • Genasense did not enhance activity of standardinterferon-alfa in RCC
      • Other trials
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Wide range of developmental indications for Genasenseprovides Genta with a significant commercial opportunity
      • Termination of agreement with Sanofi-Aventis is a majorsetback for Genta
  • Teliks Telcyta (TLK286)
    • Drug profile
      • Synergy of Telcyta with standard cytotoxics may indicate awide ranging applicability for use
    • Clinical trial data
      • Convincing Phase II results have initiated two large-scalePhase III trials in ovarian cancer
      • Benefit of Telcyta in combination with standardchemotherapy shown in NSCLC
      • Telcyta shows some activity as a single agent in breastcancer, although final Phase II results have yet to be published
      • Uncertain status of Telcyta in colorectal cancer
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Telik should seek initial approval of Telcyta in ovariancancer, which should expedite subsequent submissions
      • In light of the competition Tarceva will provide forTelcyta, Telik would be prudent in seeking a commercialization partner
  • Xenovas TransMID (XR-311)
    • Drug profile
      • TransMIDs target is highly relevant in brain cancer
    • Clinical trial data
      • Encouraging Phase II results, active clinical trialprogram and fast-track designation will drive development of TransMID
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Cumbersome infusion schedule and administration maydetract from TransMIDs broad clinical benefit
      • Although Xenova has secured several marketingpartnerships, a glaring omission is one in the lucrative US market
  • Forecasts
  • Datamonitor drug assessment summary

CHAPTER 9 PIPELINE HISTONE DEACETYLASE INHIBITORS ANALYSIS& FORECASTS

  • Pipeline overview
  • Gloucester Pharmaceuticals FK-228 (depsipeptide)
    • Drug profile
      • Broad range of HDAC inhibition should theoreticallyprovide increased efficacy
    • Clinical trial data
      • Encouraging results in cutaneous T-cell lymphoma requirereplication in ongoing Phase III clinical trial
      • A lack of clinical data exists, despite FK-228s Phase IIstatus in prostate cancer and RCC
    • Datamonitor comments
      • FK-228 likely to become the first HDAC inhibitor to reachthe market
      • Commercial success of FK-228 will rely on GloucesterPharmaceuticals collaborating with large pharma
  • Forecasts
  • Datamonitor drug assessment summary

CHAPTER 10 OTHER PIPELINE MONOCLONAL ANTIBODIES ANALYSIS& FORECASTS

  • Pipeline overview
  • Millennium Pharmaceuticals/BZL Biologicss MLN-2704
    • Drug profile
      • MLN-2704 has been developed specifically for prostatecancer
    • Clinical trial data
      • High doses of MLN-2704 resulted in tumor response andreduction in PSA levels in progressive, metastatic HRPC patients
    • Datamonitor comments
      • Significant opportunity lies in the prostate cancermarket, although future expansion could occur within other tumor types
      • Experience gained in commercialization of Velcade will beinvaluable in the development of MLN-2704
  • Forecasts
  • Datamonitor drug assessment summary

CHAPTER 11 COMMERCIAL IMPACT & LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT:CASE STUDIES

  • Introduction
  • Case study 1
    • Iressa and Tarceva: why the difference?
      • How have two nearly identical drugs realized such varyinglevels of success in the NSCLC market?
      • Iressas Phase II survival benefit was sufficient togarner FDA approval
      • Concerns over Iressas potential toxicity restricted itsuse in Japan
      • FDA approval of Tarceva was based on a Phase III trialthat demonstrated a two-month survival benefit in the third-line NSCLCsetting
      • Phase III ISEL trial comparing Iressa with placebo inadvanced NSCLC failed to show survival benefit
      • Negative repercussions of the Iressas failed Phase IIItrial
      • Tarcevas potential is currently limited by Alimta in thesecond-line setting, although line extensions will increase uptake andsales
      • What if Iressa had not failed?
      • Could Iressa pose a threat to Tarceva?
      • Future opportunities are plentiful for Tarceva and Iressa
  • Case study 2
    • Strategies for success: Genentech
      • A leading oncology player with winning strategies
      • Strengths and weaknesses of a collaborative partnership
      • The prime example
    • Strategies for success: Novartis
      • An entirely new strategy for the pharmaceutical industry
      • Early-phase development was slow...
      • ...although subsequent approval and launch was remarkablyquick
      • Approval for a second indication granted only nine monthsafter Gleevecs initial approval
      • Opportunities for continued growth exist...
      • ...although some drawbacks and threats have arisen
      • The rewards of this strategy are very attractive todevelopers
  • Case study 3
    • The pharmacoeconomic challenges associated with targetedtherapies
      • Unique pharmacoeconomic challenges will arise as targetedtherapies are included in standard chemotherapy regimens
      • The cost of standard chemotherapy for cancer
      • The inclusion of targeted therapies into standardtreatment regimens
      • The impact of monoclonal antibody targeted therapies
      • The impact of small molecule targeted therapies
      • The problem of adding targeted therapies to standardchemotherapy regimens
      • Further effects of pharmacoeconomic issues
      • Communicating the value of targeted therapies

APPENDIX A - MARKET DATA & MAJOR BRAND KEY FACTS

  • L1X3 (antineoplastic monoclonal antibodies) class marketdata
  • L1X9 (all other neoplastics) class market data
  • Sales data and forecasts
  • PowerPoint Executive Presentation
  • APPENDIX B - SALES FORECASTS
    • US forecasts
    • Japan forecasts
    • France forecasts
    • Germany forecasts
    • Italy forecasts
    • Spain forecasts
    • UK forecasts
    • EU5 forecasts
    • Global forecasts
  • APPENDIX C
    • List of tables
    • List of figures
    • Methodology
      • Datamonitor forecast methodology
        • Forecasts for marketed drugs
        • Forecasts for pipeline drugs
      • Datamonitor drug assessment methodology
    • List of abbreviations
    • Contributing experts
      • US opinion leader 1
      • US opinion leader 2
    • Bibliography
    • About Datamonitor
      • About Datamonitor Healthcare
      • About the Oncology analysis team
  • Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Targeted therapies in preregistration, 2005
  • Table 2: Targeted therapies in Phase III development,2005
  • Table 3: Pipeline targeted therapies by developmentphase & class of drug, 2005
  • Table 4: Pipeline signal transduction inhibitors bytarget, 2005
  • Table 5: Pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors in developmentby target, 2005
  • Table 6: Pipeline apoptosis stimulators in developmentby target, 2005
  • Table 7: Pipeline cell cycle regulators in developmentby target, 2005
  • Table 8: Pipeline monoclonal antibodies in developmentby target, 2005
  • Table 9: Pipeline targeted therapies by indication, 2005
  • Table 10: Genentechs marketed oncology portfolio, 2005
  • Table 11: Genentechs pipeline oncology portfolio, 2005
  • Table 12: AstraZenecas marketed oncology portfolio,2005
  • Table 13: AstraZenecas pipeline oncology portfolio,2005
  • Table 14: Pfizers marketed oncology portfolio, 2005
  • Table 15: Pfizers pipeline oncology portfolio, 2005
  • Table 16: Late-phase pipeline targeted therapies salesforecasts ($m), 2005-14
  • Table 17: Datamonitor drug assessment summary
  • Table 18: Common mutations involved in tumor development
  • Table 19: Forecast incidence of cancer across the sevenmajor markets, 2005-13
  • Table 20: Examples of naturally occurring angiogenesisstimulators
  • Table 21: Current marketed products in the targetedtherapies market, (1 of 2)
  • Table 22: Current marketed products in the targetedtherapies market, (2 of 2)
  • Table 23: Targeted therapies sales in the seven majormarkets, 2003-04
  • Table 24: Late-phase pipeline signal transductioninhibitors in development, 2005 (1 of 2)
  • Table 25: Late-phase pipeline signal transductioninhibitors in development, 2005 (2 of 2)
  • Table 26: Phase II pipeline signal transductioninhibitors in development, 2005 (1 of 2)
  • Table 27: Phase II pipeline signal transductioninhibitors in development, 2005 (2 of 2)
  • Table 28: Phase I pipeline signal transductioninhibitors in development, 2005
  • Table 29: Ongoing clinical trials involving sorafenib
  • Table 30: Ongoing clinical trials involving Sutent
  • Table 31: Ongoing clinical trials involving Xinlay
  • Table 32: Ongoing clinical trials involving ABX-EGF
  • Table 33: Ongoing clinical trials involving lapatinib
  • Table 34: Ongoing clinical trials involving Sarasar
  • Table 35: Ongoing clinical trials involving temsirolimus
  • Table 36: Ongoing clinical trials involving Zactima
  • Table 37: Ongoing clinical trials involving Zarnestra
  • Table 38: Ongoing clinical trials involving dasatinib
  • Table 39: Ongoing clinical trials involving AMN-107
  • Table 40: Ongoing clinical trials involving 17-AAG
  • Table 41: Xinlay & Sutent forecasting assumptions
  • Table 42: Sorafenib & ABX-EGF forecastingassumptions
  • Table 43: Lapatinib & Sarasar forecastingassumptions
  • Table 44: Temsirolimus & Zactima forecastingassumptions
  • Table 45: Zarnestra, dasatinib & AMN-107 forecastingassumptions
  • Table 46: Signal transduction inhibitors sales forecasts($m), 2005-14
  • Table 47: Research/clinical and commercialattractiveness of pipeline signal transduction inhibitors (1 of 3)
  • Table 48: Research/clinical and commercialattractiveness of pipeline signal transduction inhibitors (2 of 3)
  • Table 49: Research/clinical and commercialattractiveness of pipeline signal transduction inhibitors (3 of 3)
  • Table 50: Late-phase pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors indevelopment, 2005
  • Table 51: Phase II pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors indevelopment, 2005
  • Table 52: Phase I pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors indevelopment, 2005
  • Table 53: Ongoing clinical trials involving Neovastat
  • Table 54: Ongoing clinical trials involving PTK-787
  • Table 55: Ongoing clinical trials involving AG-13736
  • Table 56: PTK-787, Neovastat & AG-13736 forecastingassumptions
  • Table 57: Angiogenesis inhibitors sales forecasts ($m),2005-14
  • Table 58: Research/clinical and commercialattractiveness of pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors
  • Table 59: Late-phase pipeline apoptosis stimulators indevelopment, 2005
  • Table 60: Phase II pipeline apoptosis stimulators indevelopment, 2005 (1 of 2)
  • Table 61: Phase II pipeline apoptosis stimulators indevelopment, 2005 (2 of 2)
  • Table 62: Phase I pipeline apoptosis stimulators indevelopment, 2005
  • Table 63: Ongoing clinical trials involving Genasense
  • Table 64: Ongoing clinical trials involving Telcyta
  • Table 65: Ongoing clinical trials involving TransMID
  • Table 66: Genasense forecasting assumptions
  • Table 67: Telcyta & TransMID forecasting assumptions
  • Table 68: Apoptosis stimulators sales forecasts ($m),2005-14
  • Table 69: Research/clinical and commercialattractiveness of pipeline apoptosis stimulators
  • Table 70: Pipeline histone deacetylase inhibitors indevelopment, 2005
  • Table 71: Ongoing clinical trials involving FK-228
  • Table 72: FK-228 forecasting assumptions
  • Table 73: FK-228 sales forecasts ($m), 2005-14
  • Table 74: Research/clinical and commercialattractiveness of FK-228
  • Table 75: Phase II/III pipeline monoclonal antibodies indevelopment, 2005 (1 of 2)
  • Table 76: Phase II/III pipeline monoclonal antibodies indevelopment, 2005 (2 of 2)
  • Table 77: Phase I pipeline monoclonal antibodies indevelopment, 2005
  • Table 78: Ongoing clinical trials involving MLN-2704
  • Table 79: MLN-2704 forecasting assumptions
  • Table 80: MLN-2704 sales forecasts ($m), 2005-14
  • Table 81: Research/clinical and commercialattractiveness of MLN-2704
  • Table 82: Key Iressa & Tarceva events in the NSCLCmarket
  • Table 83: Rituxan: key facts
  • Table 84: Herceptin: key facts
  • Table 85: Campath: key facts
  • Table 86: Mylotarg: key facts
  • Table 87: Bexxar: key facts
  • Table 88: Avastin: key facts
  • Table 89: Erbitux: key facts
  • Table 90: Zevalin: key facts
  • Table 91: Gleevec: key facts
  • Table 92: Targretin: key facts
  • Table 93: Iressa: key facts
  • Table 94: Velcade: key facts
  • Table 95: Tarceva: key facts
  • Table 96: Ontak: key facts
  • Table 97: Forecasts for antineoplastic monoclonalantibodies in the US, 2004-14
  • Table 98: Forecasts for all other antineoplastics in theUS, 2004-14
  • Table 99: Forecasts for marketed targeted therapies inJapan, 2004-14
  • Table 100: Forecasts for marketed targeted therapies inFrance, 2004-14
  • Table 101: Forecasts for marketed targeted therapies inGermany, 2004-14
  • Table 102: Forecasts for marketed targeted therapies inItaly, 2004-14
  • Table 103: Forecasts for marketed targeted therapies inSpain, 2004-14
  • Table 104: Forecasts for marketed targeted therapies inthe UK, 2004-14
  • Table 105: Forecasts for marketed targeted therapies inthe EU5, 2004-14
  • Table 106: Global forecasts for antineoplasticmonoclonal antibodies, 2004-14
  • Table 107: Global forecasts for all otherantineoplastics, 2004-14
  • Table 108: Datamonitor drug assessment parameters
  • Table 109: Abbreviations used in Pipeline/CommercialInsight: Innovative Targeted Therapies (1 of 2)
  • Table 110: Abbreviations used in Pipeline/CommercialInsight: Innovative Targeted Therapies (2 of 2)

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Signal transduction inhibitors andangiogenesis inhibitors form the bulk of the 2005 targeted therapiespipeline
  • Figure 2: A plethora of current early-phase agents willcome to light in the short-term future
  • Figure 3: Targeting multiple tyrosine kinases appears tobe the current trend in R&D
  • Figure 4: Targeting the primary VEGF receptor appearsthe most popular development strategy
  • Figure 5: The majority of developmental agents affectunspecified apoptosis targets
  • Figure 6: CDK appears to be the primary developmentaltarget for the cell cycle regulators
  • Figure 7: The CD family of proteins appears mostfavorable for development
  • Figure 8: Big four tumor types, plus melanoma and RCC,remain popular indications
  • Figure 9: Hematological indications with the highestincidence dominate the developmental pipeline
  • Figure 10: The majority of pipeline compounds are inearly-phase trials, therefore a high level of fragmentation exists
  • Figure 11: Pipeline signal transduction inhibitors salesforecasts, 2005-14
  • Figure 12: Pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors salesforecasts, 2005-14
  • Figure 13: Pipeline apoptosis stimulators salesforecasts, 2005-14
  • Figure 14: Pipeline HDAC inhibitors sales forecasts,2005-14
  • Figure 15: Pipeline monoclonal antibodies salesforecasts, 2005-14
  • Figure 16: Datamonitor drug assessment summary forpipeline signal transduction inhibitors
  • Figure 17: Datamonitor drug assessment summary forpipeline angiogenesis inhibitors
  • Figure 18: Datamonitor drug assessment summary forpipeline apoptosis stimulators
  • Figure 19: Datamonitor drug assessment summary forpipeline HDAC inhibitors
  • Figure 20: Datamonitor drug assessment summary forpipeline monoclonal antibodies
  • Figure 21: Global oncology sales, 2002-09
  • Figure 22: Oncology pipeline, 2003
  • Figure 23: Forecast incidence of cancer across the sevenmajor markets, 2005-13
  • Figure 24: Increasing combined incidence for breast,lung, prostate and colorectal cancer with increasing age, 2003
  • Figure 25: Incidence increases, while the rate of cureand death reduces disease prevalence
  • Figure 26: Point prevalence for colorectal and lungcancer differs markedly despite similar rates of incidence
  • Figure 27: Unmet needs in cancer
  • Figure 28: The process of tumor angiogenesis
  • Figure 29: The multiple tyrosine kinase inhibitors willachieve the greatest commercial success
  • Figure 30: The multiple tyrosine kinase inhibitorsappear most attractive in terms of research/clinical and commercialaspects
  • Figure 31: PTK-787 is currently the front runner of theangiogenesis inhibitors due to the high patient potential of itsindication
  • Figure 32: Candidates with the backing of key oncologyplayers appear most attractive among the pipeline angiogenesis inhibitors
  • Figure 33: Genasense is the clear leader due to its widerange of developmental indications
  • Figure 34: Route of administration may work against thepipeline apoptosis stimulators
  • Figure 35: FK-228s sales are currently limited by itstarget indication
  • Figure 36: A lack of clinical data and commercialexperience currently limit FK-228s attractiveness
  • Figure 37: MLN-2704s commercial potential will increaseonce indications outside of prostate cancer are explored
  • Figure 38: Attractiveness of MLN-2704 will increase oncedevelopment outside of prostate cancer is initiated
  • Figure 39: Example of Datamonitor drug assessmentscorecard
  • Figure 40: Example of Datamonitor drug assessment graph
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