Table of Contents
- CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Key Findings
- Main Conclusions
- CHAPTER 2 FORECAST SUMMARY
- Expenditure Summary
- Specialists Summaries
- CHAPTER 3 KEY MARKET ISSUES
- Demographic Changes
- Convenience
- Polarisation Risk to Midmarket
- Impact of Seasonality - Greater Flexibility
- Store Expansion and Investment
- CHAPTER 4 CLOTHING SPECIALISTS OUTLOOK
- Key Issues
- Retail Sales & Sources of Sales Growth
- Retail Sales & Sources of Sales Growth
- Share of Total Sales & Store Numbers
- Space Growth
- Sales Densities
- CHAPTER 5 FOOTWEAR SPECIALISTS OUTLOOK
- Key Issues
- Retail Sales & Sources of Sales Growth
- Share of Total Sales & Store Numbers
- Space Growth
- Sales Densities
- CHAPTER 6 CHANNELS OF DISTRIBUTION
- Sales & Spending
- Forecast Changes for Major Channels
- Clothing Market Shares
- Footwear Market Shares
- CHAPTER 7 CATEGORY FORECAST
- Expenditure Summary
- Expenditure Analysis
- Expenditure Growth
- Clothing
- Womenswear
- Women' s Outerwear
- Women' s Underwear
- Menswear
- Men' s Outerwear
- Men' s Underwear
- Childrenswear
- Girlswear
- Boyswear
- Infantswear
- Accessories
- Footwear
- CHAPTER 8 UK ECONOMIC FORECASTS
- Key Messages
- Gross Domestic Product - GDP
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Earnings Growth
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Real Household Disposable Income
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Employment
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Inflation
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Exchange Rates
- How do they affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Interest Rates
- How do they affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Savings Ratio
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Consumer Debt
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Equities
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- House Price Inflation
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Housing Equity Withdrawal
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- Housing Transactions
- How does it affect retail?
- What' s happened?
- What will happen?
- CHAPTER 9 UK RETAILING FORECASTS
- Key Indicators
- Retail Expenditure 1997-2012
- Sales by Location 2007-2012
- Sources of Growth 1997-2012
- Store Numbers by Location 1997-2012
- Space by Location 1997-2012
- Sales Density by Location 1997-2012
- Average Store Size 1997-2012
- Average Store Sales 1997-2012
- Online Retail Spending
- CHAPTER 10 GLOSSARY
- Terminology
- Market Definition
- Location Definitions
- Town Centre
- Out-of-town
- Neighbourhood
- Non-store Retail
- Forecasting Methodology
- Abbreviations
- List of Tables
- Table 1: Clothing & footwear expenditure summary 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 2: Clothing summary 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 3: Footwear summary 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 4: The impact of rising costs on demographic groups and its affect
on the clothing and footwear market 2007-2012
- Table 5: Effect of seasonality - issues for clothing and footwear
retailers 2008
- Table 6: Shopping Center Developments 2008-2012
- Table 7: Clothing specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 8: Sources of growth for clothing specialists 1997-2012
- Table 9: Total selling space for clothing specialists 1997-2012
- Table 10: Footwear specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 11: Sources of growth for footwear specialists 1997-2012
- Table 12: Total selling space for footwear specialists 1997-2012
- Table 13: Clothing and Footwear channels of distribution by retailer type
2006, 2007 and 2012e
- Table 14: Clothing market shares 2003-2008e
- Table 15: Footwear market shares 2003-2008e
- Table 16: Clothing and footwear expenditure summary 1997, 2002, 2007
& 2012
- Table 17: Clothing & footwear expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 18: Total clothing & footwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 19: Total clothing expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 20: Womenswear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 21: Women' s outerwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 22: Women' s underwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 23: Menswear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 24: Men' s outerwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 25: Men' s underwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 26: Childrenswear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 27: Girlswear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 28: Boyswear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 29: Infantswear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 30: Accessories expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 31: Footwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 32: Economic drivers for retail 2008
- Table 33: Measures of inflation 2008
- Table 34: UK retailing forecasts summary 2007-2012
- Table 35: Forecast chronology 2008-2012
- Table 36: Total consumer retail expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 37: Sales by location 1997-2012
- Table 38: Total UK physical store sales Table 39: Sources of sales
growth for physical stores 1997-2012
- Table 40: Store numbers 1997-2012
- Table 41: Space by location 1997-2012
- Table 42: Sales densities by location at current prices 1997-2012
- Table 43: Average store size by location 1997-2012
- Table 44: Average sales per store by location at current prices 1997-2012
- Table 45: Clothing & footwear market definition 2008
- List of Figures
- Figure 1: Clothing & footwear expenditure growth 1997-2007 and
forecast to 2012
- Figure 2: Clothing & footwear specialists growth 1997-2007 and
forecast to 2012
- Figure 3: UK population by age group 2007 and forecast 2012
- Figure 4: Clothing & footwear market split by value,mid and premium
- Figure 5: Clothing specialists sales as a % of total retail consumer
spending 1997-2012
- Figure 6: Clothing specialists store numbers (000)1997-2012
- Figure 7: Space growth for clothing specialists 1997-2012
- Figure 8: Clothing specialists sales densities at current prices 1997-2012
- Figure 9: Clothing specialists sales densities at constant (2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 10: Footwear specialists sales as a % of total retail consumer
spending 1997-2012
- Figure 11: Footwear specialists outlet numbers (000)1997-2012
- Figure 12: Space growth for footwear specialists 1997-2012
- Figure 13: Footwear specialists sales densities at current prices
1997-2012
- Figure 14: Footwear specialists sales densities at constant (2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 15: Clothing & footwear channels of distribution 2006, 2007
& 2012
- Figure 16: Changes in shares of clothing & footwear market 2012 on
2007
- Figure 17: Clothing retailers change in market share 2007e on 2002
- Figure 18: Footwear retailers change in market share 2007e on 2002
- Figure 19: Clothing & footwear expenditure growth rates 1997-02,
2002-07 & 2007-12
- Figure 20: Clothing & footwear expenditure as a % of total spending
1997-2012
- Figure 21: Clothing & footwear expenditure growth at constant (2003)
prices 1997-2012
- Figure 22: Clothing expenditure as a % of clothing &footwear
spending 1997-2012
- Figure 23: Clothing expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices 1997-2012
- Figure 24: Womenswear expenditure as a % of clothing& footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 25: Womenswear expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 26: Women' s outerwear expenditure as a % of clothing &
footwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 27: Women' s outerwear expenditure growth at constant (2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 28: Women' s underwear expenditure as a % of clothing &
footwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 29: Women' s underwear expenditure growth at constant (2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 30: Menswear expenditure as a % of clothing &footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 31: Menswear expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices 1997-2012
- Figure 32: Men' s outerwear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 33: Men' s outerwear expenditure growth at constant (2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 34: Men' s underwear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 35: Men' s underwear expenditure growth at constant (2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 36: Childrenswear expenditure as a % of clothing& footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 37: Childrenswear expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 38: Girlswear expenditure as a % of clothing& footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 39: Girlswear expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 40: Boyswear expenditure as a % of clothing &footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 41: Boyswear expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices
1997-2012e
- Figure 42: Infantswear expenditure as a % of clothing& footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 43: Infantswear expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 44: Accessories expenditure as a % of clothing& footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 45: Accessories expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices
1997-2012
- Figure 46: Footwear expenditure as a % of clothing &footwear
expenditure 1997-2012
- Figure 47: Footwear expenditure growth at constant(2003) prices 1997-2012
- Figure 48: Real gross domestic product (GDP) at constant(2003) prices
1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 49: Inflation vs average earnings growth 1997-2007 and forecast to
2012
- Figure 50: Tax & Prices vs Average Earnings 1997-2007 and forecast to
2012
- Figure 51: Real household disposable income at constant(2003) prices
1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 52: UK employment 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 53: UK employment 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 54: Inflation rates Y-o-Y 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 55: Sterling, dollar and euro exchange rates 1997-2007 and
forecast to 2012
- Figure 56: UK average base rates 1997-2007 and forecast by quarter for
2008
- Figure 57: UK average base rates 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 58: Savings ratio 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 59: Growth in consumer debt 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 60: FTSE 100 Index 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 61: UK house price inflation 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 62: Housing Equity Withdrawal (England &Wales) 1996-2007 and
forecast to 2012
- Figure 63: Housing transactions (England & Wales)1997-2007 and
forecast to 2012
- Figure 64: Retail spending value, volume and inflation/deflation trends
1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 65: Retail spending as percentage of total consumer spending
1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 66: Consumer, retail and non-retail spending trends % 1997-2007
and forecast to 2012
- Figure 67: Retail sales by location 2007 and 2012
- Figure 68: Share of turnover by location 1997, 2002,2007 & 2012
- Figure 69: % share of store numbers by location 1997,2002, 2007 &
2012
- Figure 70: % share of space by location 1997, 2002, 2007& 2012
- Figure 71: Online retail spending 1997-2012
- Figure 72: Verdict forecasting methodology
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