Table of Contents
DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Gas Market
Overview 2
Industry Landscape 2
Retail Market Players 2
Switching
4
Regulation 4
Gas Supply and Demand Analysis 5
Gas Infrastructure
9
Pipelines 9
Storage 10
Electricity Market Overview 11
Industry Landscape 11
Retail Market Players 11
Switching 11
Regulation 11
Wholesale Environment 13
Electricity Supply and Demand
Analysis 14
Electricity Infrastructure 18
Generation Capacity 18
Electricity Networks 19
Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview 21
Datamonitor' s MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the
development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 21
The MCI Index shows
how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new
entrants seeking to enter the market, and established players and former
monopoly incumbents seeking to defined their market share from new entrants.
21
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2009 and
forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in July 2012, five years after
full market opening 21
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics
grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer
Pull 22
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the
comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 23
Gas
Market Competitive Intensity 24
Like many other less competitive markets,
the Czech gas score is impacted by the lack of a traded market 24
Strength
in the regulation and TPA metrics support the overall score 25
The
development of liberalisation will drive all of the Market Framework scores
higher 25
Effectiveness of Regulator [2009: 10/10 2012: 10/10] 25
Ease
of Third Party Access [2009: 8/10 2012: 9/10] 26
Pricing Regime [2009:
4/10 2012: 5.5/10] 26
Supplier Push scores remain modest during the
forecast period 26
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2009: 2/10 2012: 2/10]
26
Retail Market Fragmentation [2009: 2.5/10 2012: 3.5/10] 26
Traded
Market Maturity [2009: 0.1/10 2012: 0.1/10] 27
Customer Pull factors all
score at the lower end of the scale 27
Access to Market Information [2009:
2/10 2012: 2.5/10] 27
Consumer Representation [2009: 3.5/10 2012: 5/10]
27
Propensity to Switch [2009: 2/10 2012: 3.5/10] 27
Electricity
Market Competitive Intensity 28
The Czech Republic power score remains
around the centre point of the sliding scale 28
Strong market framework
scores offset weakness in the customer pull metrics 29
Market Framework
factors are likely to show incremental change by 2012 29
Effectiveness of
Regulator [2009: 8/10 2012: 9/10] 29
Ease of Third Party Access [2009:
8/10 2012: 9/10] 29
Pricing Regime [2009: 6/10 2012: 7/10] 30
Supplier
Push factors are curtailed by the lack of a traded market and the dominance of
CEZ 30
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2009: 5/10 2012: 6/10] 30
Retail Market Fragmentation [2009: 5/10 2012: 6/10] 30
Traded Market
Maturity [2009: 6/10 2010: 8/10] 30
Customer Pull factors achieve only
limited scores both now and in July 2012 30
Access to Market Information
[2009: 3.5/10 2012: 5.5/10] 30
Consumer Representation [2009: 3/10 2012:
4/10] 31
Propensity to Switch [2009: 2/10 2012: 3.5/10] 31
Near term
opportunities in the power market are likely to exceed those in the gas market
31
COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX 32
MCI Scores Summary
32
MCI Scoring Scales 35
APPENDIX 41
List of power stations in
Czech Republic 41
Definitions 42
Ask the analyst 43
Datamonitor
consulting 43
Disclaimer 43
List of Tables
Table 1: Czech
Republic gas retail market players 2
Table 2: Czech Republic gas supply
and demand balance, 2007-08e 6
Table 3: Czech Republic gas transmission
pipelines 9
Table 4: Czech Republic gas storage sites 10
Table 5:
Czech Republic power retail market players 11
Table 6: Czech Republic
power supply and demand balance,2007-08e 14
Table 7: Czech Republic power
transmission lines 20
Table 8: Market Competitive Intensity, Czech
Republic 2009 and 2012 32
Table 9: MCI Additive, Europe 2009 and 2012
33
Table 10: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2009 and 2012 34
Table 11:
Czech Republic power generation assets 41
List of Figures
Figure 1:
Major gas retail players market share in B2B segment, 2008 3
Figure 2:
Major gas retail players market share in B2C segment, 2008 4
Figure 3:
Czech Republic indigenous gas production, 1990-2008e 7
Figure 4: Czech
Republic gas import supply sources, 2008e 7
Figure 5: Czech Republic gas
sectoral consumption, 2008e 8
Figure 6: Czech Republic gas consumption,
trends and forecast, 1990-2020f 8
Figure 7: Czech Republic power
production by fuel type, 1990-2008e 15
Figure 8: Czech Republic power
production by fuel type, 2008e 16
Figure 9: Czech Republic power sectoral
consumption, 2008e 16
Figure 10: Czech Republic power consumption, trends
and forecast, 1990-2020f 17
Figure 11: Czech Republic generation capacity
by fuel type, 2008 19
Figure 12: MCI Assessment Scale 21
Figure 13:
MCI Assessment Framework 22
Figure 14: MCI Scales 23
Figure 15:
European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2009-12 24
Figure 16: Gas
Market Competitive Intensity, Czech Republic 25
Figure 17: European Power
Market Competitive Intensity, 2009-12 28
Figure 18: Power Market
Competitive Intensity, Czech Republic 29
Figure 19: Market Competitive
Intensity, Czech Republic 31
Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment,
Effectiveness of Regulator 35
Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of
Third Party Access 35
Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime
36
Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation
36
Figure 24: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 37
Figure 25: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 37
Figure 26:
Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information 38
Figure 27: Scale
for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 38
Figure 28: Scale for MCI
Assessment, Propensity to Switch 40
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