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Market Research Report

Forecast Insight: Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder - Shire to stay on top despite drug safety fears and generic competition

Published by Datamonitor Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2009/07 Content info 143 pages
Product code DC94601
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Description TOC

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Strategic scoping and focus
  • Datamonitor insight into the disease market
  • Related reports

MARKET DEFINITION AND OVERVIEW

  • Market definition for this report
  • Countries and regions included in this report
  • Seven major market assessment
    • Current and future market overview
    • Regional market dynamics
    • Class market dynamics
  • Comparison with previous market forecast
    • Total ADHD market downgraded since 2008 forecast
    • Launch of neuronal nicotinic receptor agonists represents the most fundamental change to pipeline ADHD drug forecast
  • Rest of the world snapshot
    • Rest of the world sales accounted for just 2.4% of the ADHD market in 2008

BRAND DYNAMICS

  • Major market events
    • US study links ADHD stimulant treatments and pediatric sudden death
    • New NICE guidelines published in September 2008
  • Overview of competitive landscape
    • Brand dynamics
  • Update of key marketed ADHD drugs
    • Adderall XR (amphetamine extended release, Shire)
    • Vyvanse (lisdexamfetamine dimesylate, Shire)
    • Concerta (methylphenidate, Johnson & Johnson)
    • Daytrana (methylphenidate transdermal system, Shire)
    • Strattera (atomoxetine, Eli Lilly)
    • Metadate franchise (methylphenidate hydrochloride, Shire)
    • Liquadd (dextroamphetamine sulfate, Auriga Laboratories Inc)
  • Forecasted pipeline products
    • Intuniv (guanfacine hydrochloride, Shire)
    • Clonicel (clonidine hydrochloride, Addrenex/Sciele)
    • ABT-894 (, Abbott/NeuroSearch)
    • ABT-089 (pozanicline, Abbott)
  • Update of unforecasted pipeline products
    • Histamine H3 Antagonist (Johnson & Johnson)
    • AZD3480 (Ispronicline, AstraZeneca/Targacept)
    • Eltoprazine (PsychoGenics Inc)
    • SPN-810 (Supernus Pharmaceuticals)
    • MK-0249 (Merck)
  • Discontinued projects
    • SPD-465 (mixed amphetamine salt, Shire)

BIBLIOGRAPHY

  • Journal papers/Books
  • Websites
  • Datamonitor reports

APPENDIX A - MARKET ASSUMPTIONS

  • New product launches
  • Patent expiries
  • Data definitions, limitations and assumptions
    • Standard units
    • Derivation of sales forecasts and pricing trends
  • Forecast methodology

APPENDIX B

  • Contributing experts
  • Conferences attended
  • Report methodology

TABLES

  • Table: Performance of the attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) markets in the US, 5EU and Japan, 2004 - 08
  • Table: Sales forecasts of drugs currently marketed for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in the seven major markets ($m), 2008 - 2018
  • Table: Comparison of leading branded drug sales ($m) for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in the seven major markets and the rest of the world (ROW), 2008
  • Table: Limitations of Gould et al.' s (2009) study into sudden death in children and use of stimulant medication
  • Table: Top 6 branded drug sales ($m) for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Table: Key products in late-stage R&D pipeline for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), 2009
  • Table: Off-label prescribing of Vyvanse, 2008
  • Table: Summary of Phase III results for Intuniv in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), announced May 2008 - May 2009
  • Table: Summary of Phase III results for Clonicel (clonidine hydrochloride) for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), announced in 2008 - 09
  • Table: Clinical trial summary for ABT-894 (sofinicline) in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD)
  • Table: Clinical trial summary for ABT-089 (pozanicline) in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD)
  • Table: Top-line results from Phase II study of AZD3480 in adult attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD)
  • Table: Key facts: Phase IIa trial of SPN-810 in children with attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and persistent serious conduct problems
  • Table: Datamonitor' s estimated launch dates for in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) products in the seven major markets, 2009 - 2018
  • Table: Patent expiry dates for the approved in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) products in the seven major markets, 2009 - 2018

FIGURES

  • Figure: Sales of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) drugs, ($m) in the US, 5EU and Japan, 2004 - 08
  • Figure: Key events impacting the attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) market, April 2008 - April 2009
  • Figure: Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) market value in the seven major markets, 2005 - 2018
  • Figure: Impact of key events on the attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) market, 2009 - 2018
  • Figure: Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) market value ($m) in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Revenues of stimulant and non-stimulant attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) drugs across the seven major markets, 2005 - 2018
  • Figure: Comparison of Datamonitor' s updated seven major market attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) market forecast to 2018 with previous 2008 market forecast to 2017
  • Figure: Datamonitor' s previous and updated sales ($m) forecast for total pipeline attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) drugs in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: The global attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) market split by region, 2008
  • Figure: Rest of the world sales in the attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), major depressive disorder and insomnia markets in 2007 and 2008
  • Figure: Revenue market share of the leading branded attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) drugs, 2004 - 08
  • Figure: Shire' s attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) franchise forecast ($m), across the seven major markets 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Shire' s promotional spend for Adderall XR and Vyvanse in the US, 2006 - 08
  • Figure: Datamonitor' s 2008 and updated sales ($m) forecast for Shire' s Adderall XR in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Approval of key brands for the treatment of adult attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD)
  • Figure: Datamonitor' s updated sales ($m) forecast for Shire' s Vyvanse (lisdexamfetamine) in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Concerta sales revenue ($m) across the seven major markets, markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Datamonitor' s updated sales ($m) forecast for Daytrana in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Datamonitor' s 2008 and updated sales ($m) forecast for Strattera in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Datamonitor' s updated sales ($m) forecast for the Metadate franchise in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Datamonitor' s 2008 and updated sales ($m) forecast for Liquadd in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) sales ($m) for Intuniv in the seven major markets, 2008 - 2018
  • Figure: Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) sales ($m) for Clonicel in the seven major markets, 2009 - 2018
  • Figure: Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) sales ($m) for ABT-894/ABT-089 in the seven major markets, 2009 - 2018
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