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Market Research Report
Global Wind Turbine Markets and Strategies, 2009-2020
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Table of Contents
I.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- 1. Global Demand Forecasts, 2009 - 2020: Rebounding Toward Steady Growth
- *Crisis Deepens in 2009, Early 2010 Followed by Strong 2011 Rebound
- 2. Turbine Size Forecast: 1.5 MW to 2 MW Products Reign, 3 MW Poised for
Take Up
- 3. Inflection Point for Turbine Prices Before Long - Term Recovery
- 4. Industry Globalization Sparks Market Share Dogfight
- 5. As Order Flow Slows, Players Regroup for Global Competition
- 6. Product Strategies Favor Over 2 MW Technology, Incremental Innovations
- 7. Manufacturing Capacity Adjusted to New Markets, New Demand Reality
- 8. Investment Outlook
II.GLOBAL WIND TURBINE MARKET FORECASTS
- 1. Global Wind Power Forecasts: 2009 - 2020
- *Crisis Deepens in 2009, Early 2010 Followed by Strong 2011 Rebound
- *Long - Term Forecast: Annual MW Added Rises to Over 60 GW by 2020
- 2. Global Onshore Wind Market Forecasts: 2008 - 2020
- *Europe Onshore Wind Market Forecast
- *North America Onshore Wind Market Forecast
- *Asia Pacific Onshore Wind Market Forecast
- *Rest of World Onshore Wind Market Forecast
- Brazil, Chile Pushing Latin America Wind Forward
- State - Driven Project Tenders in Egypt and Morocco Lift Regional
Growth
- 3. Global Offshore Wind Market Forecasts: 2008 - 2020
- *Europe Offshore Wind Market Forecast
- *North America Offshore Wind Market Forecast
- *Asia Pacific Offshore Wind Market Forecast
III.WIND TURBINE MARKET TRENDS
- 1. Large - Scale Wind Plant Goes Mainstream
- 2. US Drives Average Turbine Size Scale - up to 1.5 MW
- 3. Wind Turbine Market Forecasts by Turbine Size
- *Global Wind Turbine Size Forecast
- *Europe Wind Turbine Size Forecast
- *North America Wind Turbine Size Forecast
- *Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Size Forecast
- *Rest of World Wind Turbine Size Forecast
- *Offshore Wind Turbine Size Forecast
- 4. Wind Turbine Pricing Trends and Forecast
- *Global Market Size Evolution
- *Europe Onshore Wind Turbine Pricing
- Announced Orders Vary Greatly in Price and Size
- Europe Pricing Scenario: 2009 Drops, Consolidation Leads to Stability
in 2011 - 2015
- *North America Onshore Wind Turbine Pricing
- Downward Pressure on Wind Turbine Pricing Likely to Ripple Through US
Market
- North America Pricing Scenario: Gradual 2010 - 2015 Rebound
- *Asia Pacific Onshore Wind Turbine Pricing
- Scope of Supply Wide - Ranging, with Rapid Growth, New Entrant
Proliferation
- China Turbine Prices Reflect Learning Curve, Shift to Local Sourcing
- Asia Pacific Pricing Scenario: Economies of Scale Perpetuate
Competitive Chinese Turbine Pricing
- *Global Offshore Wind Turbine Pricing
- UK Sets Price Benchmark for Offshore Build - out
- *Global Investment Outlook
- 5. Trends in Wind Project Size
- *Global Onshore Project Size Trends
- *Global Offshore Project Size Trends
IV. COMPETITIVE TRENDS IN WIND TURBINE SUPPLY
- 1. Wind Turbine Market Share Analysis
- *Market Share by Region
- Europe' s Mature Market Structure Consolidates Around Leading Players
- North America Dominated by GE, Vestas, But Near - Term Competition
Tightening
- Asia Pacific Increasingly Supplied by Local Providers, Emerging
Chinese Vendors
- Increased Latin America Supplier Presence Sets Stage for Further
Competition
- Gamesa Tightens Grip on Africa/Middle East Market
- *Global Market Share by Turbine Size Under 1.00 MW Segment Served with
Workhorse Turbine Platforms in Emerging Markets
- 1.00 MW to 1.49 MW Segment Tapering Off for Leading Players Migrating
to 2 MW or Greater
- 1.50 MW to 1.99 MW Segment Provides Class I Base for Multi - Megawatt
Platforms
- 2.00 MW to 2.49 MW Turbines Anchor Global Multi - Megawatt Industry
- Few Players Address 2.50 MW to 2.99 MW Segment with Incremental
Scaling Up
- 3.00 MW and Larger Turbines Push Logistical Limits Onshore
- *Offshore Turbine Market Share
- 2. Competitive Analysis of Wind Turbine OEMs
- *Product and Technology Strategies
- Leaders Leverage Dual - Product Platforms for Global Market Share
- New Turbine Rollout Forces Key Decisions Based on Markets, Internal
Research, and Development
- Generator Solutions Under Consideration as Turbines Scale
- Drive Train Innovations Leading to Gearless Solutions
- Weight vs. Generator Size Shapes Turbine Scale - up Strategies
- Siemens Leads Offshore Turbines, Vying for Track Record
- *Wind Turbine Sales Strategies
- Facing Downturn, Order Book Management and Communication Under Pressure
- Players Retrench for Lean Year of US Orders
- Europe Less Bleak with Political Drivers, Long - Term Utility Plans in
Place
- Asia Pacific Dominated by Chinese, Capturing Bulk of Orders
- Leading Utilities, IPPs Anchor Longer - Term Order Books
- Frame Agreements Increasingly Underpin Sales Position
- Geographic Diversity Key to Hedge Order Risks
- Order Terms, Scope of Supply Adjusting to Buyer' s Market
- *Wind Turbine Manufacturing Strategies
- Consolidated European Manufacturing Builds on Investments in Iberia,
Offshore
- Vestas Leads US Manufacturing Explosion
- Asia Pacific Manufacturing Base Builds Up in China
- *Operations and Maintenance Strategies
- Turbine Suppliers Vary O&M Offer
V. WIND TURBINE MANUFACTURER PROFILES
- 1. Top Tier Turbine OEMs
- *Vestas
- *GE Energy
- *Gamesa Eolica
- *Enercon GmbH
- *Suzlon Energy
- *Siemens Wind Power
- *Acciona Windpower
- *REpower Systems AG
- *Goldwind Science and Technology
- *Sinovel Wind Co
- *Nordex AG
- *Dongfang Turbine
- 2. Second Tier Turbine OEMs
- *AAER
- *Alstom Ecotecnia
- *Clipper Windpower
- *DeWind Inc
- *EOZEN
- *Fuhrlander AG
- *IMPSA
- *Mitsubishi Power Systems
- *MTorres Disenos Industriales
- *Multibrid GmbH
- *Nordic Windpower
- *WinWinD Ltd
- 3. Emerging Chinese OEMs
- *Baoding Huide Wind Power Engineering
- *CSIC (Chongqing) Haizhuang Windpower Equipment
- *CSR Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Research Institute
- *Hanwei Wind Power Equipment (Daqing)
- *Hunan Hara XEMC Windpower Co. Ltd
- *Liaoning GaoKe Energy Group (A - Power)
- *Guangdong MingYang Wind Power Technology
- *CPC New Unite (Jiangsu) Wind Power Equipment
- *Sewind Co
- *Shenyang Huachuang Wind Energy Corp
- *Zhejiang Huayi Wind Energy Development Co. Ltd. (HeWind)
- *Zhejiang Yunda Wind Power (Windey)
- 4. Emerging Korean OEMs
- *Unison Energy Co. Ltd.
- *Hyosung Corp.
- *Hyundai Heavy Industries Co.
- *Doosan Heavy Industries and Construction Co. Ltd.
- *Samsung Heavy Industries Ltd.
- 5. Emerging Offshore Turbine Suppliers
- *BARD Engineering GmbH
- *Blue H Technologies BV
- *Darwind
- 6. Other New Entrants
- *Kenersys
- *PowerWind GmbH
- *Leitwind AG
LIST OF EXHIBITS
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- 1. Global Wind Cumulative MW Installed by Region: 2000 - 2020
- 2. Key Sources of MW Growth Progress Through Recession
- 3. Global Annual MW Added by Turbine Size
- 4. Key Markets Pricing Evolution: 2005 - 2009
- 5. Global Wind Turbine Market Share, Megawatts Installed: 2001 - 2008
- 6. Order Books Position Global Suppliers Against Entrenched Regional
Players
- 7. Recent Turbine Rollouts and Projects
- 8. Global Turbine Manufacturing Trends Overview by Region
- 9. Global Wind Turbine Investment Evolution: 2005 - 2015
II. GLOBAL WIND TURBINE MARKET FORECASTS
- 1. EER Four - Phase Forecast Methodology Overview
- 2. Global Wind Cumulative MW Installed by Region: 2000 - 2020
- 3. Key Sources of MW Growth: 2008 - 2011
- 4. Core Assumptions by Region, Global MW Added: 2009 - 2020
- 5. Global Wind MW Added by Region: 2000 - 2020
- 6. Global Wind MW Added, Onshore vs. Offshore: 2000 - 2020
- 7. Global Wind Onshore Cumulative MW Installed by Region: 2000 - 2020
- 8. Global Wind Onshore MW Added by Region: 2000 - 2020
- 9. Europe Wind Onshore Cumulative MW Installed by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 10. Europe Wind Onshore MW Added by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 11. North America Onshore Cumulative MW Installed by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 12. North America Onshore MW Added by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 13. Asia Pacific Wind MW Onshore Cumulative Installed by Country: 2000 -
2020
- 14. Asia Pacific Wind MW Onshore Added by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 15. Rest of World Wind Cumulative MW Installed by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 16. Rest of World Wind MW Added by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 17. Global Wind Offshore Cumulative MW Installed: 2000 - 2020
- 18. Global Wind Offshore MW Added by Region: 2000 - 2020
- 19. Europe Wind MW Offshore Cumulative Installed by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 20. Europe Wind MW Offshore MW Added by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 21. North America Wind MW Offshore Cumulative Installed by Country: 2000 -
2020
- 22. North America Wind MW Offshore MW Added by Country: 2000 - 2020
- 23. Asia Pacific Wind MW Offshore Cumulative Installed by Country: 2000 -
2020
- 24. Asia Pacific Wind MW Offshore Added by Country: 2000 - 2020
III. WIND TURBINE MARKET TRENDS
- 1. Global Wind Penetration by Region: 2009
- 2. Global Average Wind Turbine Size: 2001 - 2008
- 3. Global Annual MW Installed by Rated Turbine Capacity
- 4. Europe Wind Turbine Market Forecast by Turbine Size: 2008 - 2020
- 5. North America Wind Turbine Forecast by Turbine Size: 2008 - 2020
- 6. Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Market Forecast by Turbine Size: 2008 - 2020
- 7. Rest of World Wind Turbine Market Forecast by Turbine Size: 2008 - 2020
- 8. Offshore Wind Turbine Market Forecast by Turbine Size: 2008 - 2020
- 9. Wind Project Cost Breakdown Overview
- 10. Global Turbine Market Size Evolution in US$ Millions: 2005 - 2008
- 11. Indicative Europe Announced Turbine Orders in 2007 - 2008
- 12. Europe Turbine Price Forecast: 2005 - 2015
- 13. US Trends in Average Off - the - Shelf Turbine Pricing: 2004 - 2009
(est.)
- 14. US Wind Turbine Pricing Evolution: 2005 - 2015
- 15. China Turbine Supply Reference Price Points: 2008 (US$/MW)
- 16. China Projected Wind Turbine Pricing Evolution (US$/MW)
- 17. UK Offshore Cost Evolution
- 18. Global Wind Turbine Investment Evolution: 2005 - 2015
- 19. Project Size Installed 2008 Breakdown, Top
- 10 Markets by MW Installed
- 20. Project Size Trends by Region, 2008 Installed
- 21. Offshore Project Trends Overview
IV. COMPETITIVE TRENDS IN WIND TURBINE SUPPLY
- 1. Global Wind Turbine Market Share, MW Delivered: 2001 - 2008
- 2. Europe Wind Turbine Market Share, MW Delivered: 2001 - 2008
- 3. North America Wind Turbine Market Share, MW Delivered: 2001 - 2008
- 4. Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Market Share, MW Delivered: 2001 - 2008
- 5. Latin America Wind Turbine Market Share, MW Delivered: 2001 - 2008
- 6. Africa / Middle East Wind Turbine Market Share, MW Delivered: 2001 -
2008
- 7. Average Size of Turbines Delivered by Top 15 Suppliers: 2001 - 2008
- 8. Total Wind Turbine Units Delivered: 2001 - 2008
- 9. Global Wind Turbine Market Share Under 1.00 MW: 2001 - 2008
- 10. Global Wind Turbine Market Share 1.00 MW to 1.49 MW: 2001 - 2008
- 11. Global Wind Turbine Market Share 1.50 MW to 1.99 MW: 2001 - 2008
- 12. Global Wind Turbine Market Share 2.00 MW to 2.49 MW: 2001 - 2008
- 13. Global Wind Turbine Market Share 2.50 MW to 2.99 MW: 2001 - 2008
- 14. Global Wind Turbine Market Share 3.00 MW and Larger: 2001 - 2008
- 15. Global Offshore Wind Turbine Market Share, MW Delivered: 2001 - 2008
- 16. Technology Offer Overview
- 17. 2008 Turbine Deliveries by Vendor and Turbine Size
- 18. Recent Turbine Rollouts and Projects
- 19. Turbine Offer by Generator Type
- 20. Geared vs. Gearless Turbine Installations: 2001 - 2008
- 21. Multi - Megawatt Turbine Top Head Mass and Nameplate Capacity
- 22. Offshore Wind Turbines on Offer
- 23. Listed Turbine Supplier Share Price Evolution and Order Announcement
Impact, 2H 2008 - 2009
- 24. US Orders Slow Dramatically: 1Q 2009
- 25. Summary of Near - Term US OEM Production and Revenue Outlook: 2009
- 26. Europe Orders Halved: 1Q 2008 and 1Q 2009
- 27. Chinese Capture Bulk of Asia Pacific Orders, 1Q 2009 Picking Up for
Foreign Entrants
- 28. Major Wind Power Operator Cumulative Procurement Split by Supplier: YE
2008
- 29. Key Frame Agreements of More Than 200 MW: 2008 - 2009
- 30. Order Books Position Global Suppliers Against Entrenched Regional
Players
- 31. Wind Turbine Supply Agreement Terms Overview
- 32. Global Turbine Manufacturing Trends Overview by Region
- 33. Top 15 Turbine Suppliers' Manufacturing Presence
- 34. Europe Manufacturing Position
- 35. Major OEM US Manufacturing Investments
- 36. Chinese Wind Turbine Production Facility Locations, Operational and
Planned
- 37. Key Component Failure Rates vs. Downtime
- 38. Turbine Supplier O&M Overview
V. WIND TURBINE MANUFACTURER PROFILES
- 1. Vestas Facts and Figures
- 2. Vestas Turbine Deployments by Model and Region, Year - end 2008
- 3. Vestas Global Positioning Overview
- 4. GE Energy Facts and Figures
- 5. GE Wind Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 6. GE Energy Product Overview
- 7. GE Energy 2.5xl Announced Orders
- 8. GE Wind Global Positioning
- 9. Gamesa Facts and Figures
- 10. Gamesa Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 11. Gamesa Global Presence
- 12. Enercon Facts and Figures
- 13. Enercon Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 14. Enercon Global Presence
- 15. Suzlon Facts and Figures
- 16. Suzlon Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 17. Suzlon Global Positioning Overview
- 18. Siemens Wind Power Facts and Figures
- 19. Siemens Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 20. Siemens Wind Power Global Positioning
- 21. Acciona Windpower Facts and Figures
- 22. Acciona Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 23. Acciona Windpower Global Presence
- 24. REpower Facts and Figures
- 25. REpower Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 26. REpower Global Presence
- 27. Goldwind Facts and Figures
- 28. Goldwind Wind Turbines, MW Installation by Year
- 29. Sinovel Facts and Figures
- 30. Nordex Facts and Figures
- 31. Nordex Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 32. Nordex Global Presence
- 33. AAER Facts and Figures
- 34. AAER Wind Turbine Product Offering
- 35. Alstom Ecotecnia Facts and Figures
- 36. Alstom Ecotecnia Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 37. Alstom Ecotecnia Global Presence
- 38. Clipper Windpower Facts and Figures
- 39. Clipper Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 40. Clipper Product Platform
- 41. Clipper Windpower US Positioning
- 42. DeWind Facts and Figures
- 43. DeWind Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 44. DeWind Global Positioning
- 45. Fuhrlander Installations by Model and Region: 2001 - 2008
- 46. IMPSA Wind Overview
- 47. Mitsubishi Facts and Figures
- 48. Mitsubishi Turbine Deployments by Model and Region: Year - end 2008
- 49. Mitsubishi Global Positioning Overview
- 50. Multibrid Offshore Product Overview
- 51. Multibrid Key Contracts
- 52. WinWinD Facts and Figures
- 53. WinWinD Installed Wind Power Base: Yearend 2008
- 54. BARD Engineering Offshore Product Overview
- 55. BARD Engineering Key Contracts
- 56. Kenersys Global Positioning
- 57. Leitwind Installed Turbine Base
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