US demand to grow 13.3% annually through 2008
Demand for electronic polymer products is forecast to expand 13.3 percent per
year to $4.5 billion in 2008. Production of these products will require 510
million pounds of resin valued at $2.2 billion. Growth will be driven by a
strong recovery in the semiconductor industry and a shift to new technologies
that are more intensive users of polymers. For example, direct chip attachment
is intensifying the need for new materials such as underfills and conductive
adhesives. This encourages close collaboration between chipmakers and backend
(packaging) operations and favors firms with US operations. These trends in
back-end technologies, and the general shift toward higher cost specialty
resins, will result in electronic polymer products outpacing gains in electronic
component shipments through 2008.
Area array, chip scale packages to spur gains
For electronic polymers used in fundamental applications such as printed
circuit board laminates and semiconductor packaging, the primary competitive
focus will be the continuing replacement of wire bonded packages by flip chip
and other types of area array and chipscale packaging in many applications.
Standard wire bonded packages will still predominate, but the move to area array
packaging will cause significant shifts in material requirements as formerly
niche materials become major segments of the industry. For instance, chip
underfills, used in flip chip assemblies, see annual growth of nearly 30 percent
per year through 2008. Conductive adhesives will also see strong gains as these
materials replace lead solders due to environmental factors and the use of less
expensive compounds in molded interconnect devices. Conversely, epoxy molding
compounds and die attach adhesives, both used traditional wire bonded packaging,
will post slower gains.
Low-k, liquid crystal, polysulfone polymers among best prospects
A few segments of the electronic polymer products market are expected to
experience particularly good growth. For example, annual gains for low-k
dielectric polymers are projected to reach $285 million in 2008 from less than
$10 million in 2003. Polymers with a low dielectric constant, such as Dow
Chemicalfs SILK and Rohm and Haasf ZIRKON materials, are challenging
traditional silicon dioxide (SiO2) in crucial ILD (interlayer dielectric)
applications in semiconductor fabrication. The primary competition for low-k
polymers, which are applied via a spin-on process, is from CVD (chemical vapor
deposition) processes utilizing carbondoped SiO2. The outcome of this
competition is likely to be a combination of spin-on polymers and CVD-applied
materials. Compounds made of high temperature thermoplastics such as liquid
crystal polymer and polyethersulfone used in molded interconnect devices are
another area of strong growth.
Study coverage
Electronic Polymers, a 302-page Freedonia study. It provides historical demand
data (1993, 1998, 2003) plus forecasts to 2008 and 2013 by resin, type and
end-use. It also presents company market share data and profiles 36 US industry
competitors. |