Table of Contents
Chapter I : Executive Summary
- 1.1 Development of a Fixed Mobile Convergence Market
- 1.2 Market Forecast
Chapter II : Introduction And Background
- 2.1 Introduction
- 2.2 The Four Fixed-Mobile Convergence Scenarios
- 2.2.1 The Cellular Scenario
- 2.2.2 The Enterprise Scenario
- 2.2.3 The Consumer Scenario
- 2.2.4 The Fixed Cellular Scenario
- 2.3 Migration Paths Toward FMC
- 2.4 History and Background of Fixed-Mobile Convergence
- 2.4.1 Commercial Wireless Service Background
- 2.4.2 WLAN Background
- 2.4.3 VoIP Background
- 2.5 Fixed-Mobile Convergence: Overview and Statistics
- 2.5.1 The Shift from Fixed To Mobile
- 2.5.2 Cellular Spending Exceeds Wireline
- 2.5.3 Who Is Abandoning Wireline?
- 2.5.4 Wireline Replacement Statistics
- 2.5.5 Cellular Subscriber and Usage Trends
- 2.5.6 Landline Subscriber and Usage Trends
- 2.6 International Trends
- 2.7 Industry Trends
Chapter III : The Four Fixed-Mobile Convergence Scenarios
- 3.1 The Cellular Scenario
- 3.1.1 Overview
- 3.1.2 Pricing Differences Between Cellular and Landline
- 3.1.3 Other Factors In Mobile Substitution
- 3.1.4 Access Transparency
- 3.1.5 FMC Cellular Pricing Plans and Promotions
- 3.1.5.1 Landline Comparison Example
- 3.1.5.2 Cellular FMC Pricing Plan Types
- 3.1.5.3 Adding A Fixed Wireless Account To Cellular
- 3.1.6 Third Generation (3G) Cellular
- 3.2 The Enterprise Scenario
- 3.2.1 Overview
- 3.2.2 The VoWLAN/Cellular Solution
- 3.2.2.1 The VoWLAN/Cellular Dual-Mode Integrated Handset
- 3.2.2.2 The VoWLAN/Cellular Controller
- 3.2.3 A Standard for VoWLAN/Cellular: Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA)
- 3.2.4 Limitations of VoWLAN
- 3.2.5 The Handoff Tradeoff
- 3.2.6 Integrated VoWLAN/Cellular Solution Issues
- 3.3 The Consumer Scenario
- 3.3.1 Overview
- 3.3.2 Bundling
- 3.3.2.1 SBC/Cingular Bundling Example
- 3.3.2.2 SBC Wireless Call Forwarding Device Offering
- 3.3.3 Bundling In Reverse
- 3.3.4 The Consumer Scenario VoWLAN/Cellular Offering
- 3.3.5 Bell Canada VoWLAN/Cellular Trial
- 3.3.6 British Telecoms BluePhone
- 3.3.7 Drawbacks of the Consumer Scenario
- 3.3.8 Limitations On Subscribers
- 3.4 Fixed Cellular
- 3.4.1 Overview
- 3.4.2 Equipment and Configuration
- 3.4.3 Illustrative Rate Comparison of Landline vs. Fixed Cellular
- 3.4.4 Landline Bill Analysis
- 3.4.5 Wireless Operator Participation ? The Sprint Trial
- 3.4.6 Enterprise Least-Cost Routing Solution
- 3.4.7 Additional Fixed Wireless Terminal Products
Chapter IV : Technologies and Standards
- 4.1 IP and FMC
- 4.2 IPs Impact on FMC
- 4.2.1 Transition to IPv6
- 4.2.1.1 Transition Strategies from IPv4 to IPv6
- 4.2.2 Mobile IP
- 4.2.2.1 Mobility and Routing
- 4.2.2.2 Mobile IP Improvements in IPv6
- 4.2.2.3 The Future of Mobile IP
- 4.2.3 Voice over IP
- 4.3 Mobile Wireless and FMC
- 4.3.1 First and Second Generation Wireless Technologies
- 4.3.2 Third Generation Wireless Systems
- 4.4 Wireless LANs & FMC
- 4.4.1 Issues with 802.11
- 4.4.2 WiFi Interworking with 3G Networks
- 4.5 Fixed Wireless & FMC
- 4.6 Personal Area Networks
- 4.6.1 Ultra Wide Band (UWB)
- 4.6.2 Bluetooth
- 4.7 The Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) Standard
- 4.7.1 UMA Operation
- 4.7.2 UMA Technology Operation
- 4.7.3 UMA Interoperability
- 4.8 The Fixed-Mobile Convergence Alliance
Chapter V : Segment Strategies
- 5.1 Strategy Overview
- 5.2 Cellular Carrier Strategies
- 5.2.1 Enablers
- 5.2.2 Inhibitors
- 5.2.2.1 Price
- 5.2.2.2 Service Quality
- 5.2.3 The Sprint Example
- 5.3 LEC Strategies
- 5.3.1 Enablers
- 5.3.2 Inhibitors
- 5.3.2.1 Mindset
- 5.3.2.2 Billing Systems
- 5.3.2.3 Resale
- 5.3.2.4 Marketing and Channels
- 5.4 Cable Strategies
- 5.5 Other Carrier Strategies
- 5.6 Equipment Provider Strategies
- 5.6.1 The Adjunct Approach
- 5.6.2 The Displacement Approach
- 5.6.3 SIP-Oriented Approaches
- 5.6.3.1 SIP Architecture
- 5.6.3.2 The SIP-Based Network Application Server Approach
- 5.6.3.3 The Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) Approach with SIP Migration
- 5.6.3.4 The VMSwitching Center (MSC)/Home Location Registry (HLR) Approach
- 5.6.3.5 The SIP-Based Premises Application Server Approach
- 5.7 Impacts on the Four Scenarios
- 5.7.1 The Cellular Substitution Scenario
- 5.7.2 The Enterprise Scenario
- 5.7.3 The Consumer Bundling Scenario
- 5.7.4 The Fixed Cellular Scenario
- 5.8 INSIGHT Strategy Recommendations
Chapter VI : FMC Market Forecasts
- 6.1 Summary
- 6.2 Methodology
- 6.3 Historical Wireless/Wireline Trends
- 6.4 Replacement Trends: The Cellular Scenario
- 6.4.1 Propensity of Cell Phone Users to Become Wireless Only
- 6.4.2 Wireless Carrier Pricing & Coverage Trends
- 6.4.3 Wireless Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts
- 6.5 Broadband, VoIP, and WLAN
- 6.5.1 Broadband Access
- 6.5.2 VoIP
- 6.5.3 WLAN
- 6.6 VoWLAN-based FMC Trends
- 6.6.1 Consumer Service Provider Strategies
- 6.6.2 Enterprise Service Provider Strategies
- 6.6.3 VoWLAN Forecasts
- 6.7 Wireless Replacement Forecast
- 6.7.1 Cellular-Only Households
- 6.7.2 Effect on Minutes of Use and Access Lines
- 6.7.3 Effect on Wireline Service and ILEC Revenue
- 6.8 3G and Wireline Broadband Substitution
Table of Figures
Chapter I
- I-1 SIP-Based Network Application Server Approach
- I-2 US Primary Residential Access Line Forecast, 2005-2010 (Millions)
Chapter II
- II-1 Wireline vs. Mobile Phone Growth 1995-2004 (Millions)
- II-2 Estimated US Cellular Subscribers, 1988-2004 (Millions)
- II-3 Average Local Monthly US Cellular Bill, 1988-2004
- II-4 Average Monthly US Cellular Minutes of Use, 1997-2004
- II-5 Landline Telephone Penetration Percentage, 1998-2004
- II-6 Cell Phone Penetration as a Percentage of All Phone Subscribers
Chapter III
- III-1 UMA Overview
- III-2 SBC Wireless Call Forwarding Device
- III-3 Fixed Wireless Configuration
- III-4 Wireless PBX Trunks For Corporate Least Cost Routing
Chapter IV
- IV-1 Mobile IP Operation
- IV-2 SIP Network Architecture
- IV-3 UMA Functional Architecture
Chapter V
- V-1 Basic Components of a SIP Network
- V-2 The SIP-Based Network Application Server Approach
- V-3 The Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) Approach
- V-4 The Virtual MSC/HLR Approach
- V-5 Motorola CN620 MOD
- V-6 Motorola`s Enterprise Seamless Mobility Solution
Chapter VI
- VI-1 Timeline for US Rollout of Consumer and Enterprise FMC
- VI-2 Wireless-Only Households, 2001-2004 (Millions)
- VI-3 Access Line Substitution, Residential and Business, 2000-2004 (Millions)
- VI-4 Average Monthly MOU, Interstate Wireless vs. Res WL Toll, 2000 2004
- VI-5 Wireline vs. Wireless Revenue, 2000-2004 ($Billions)
- VI-6 US Cellular Subscribers, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-7 Wireless Monthly Minutes of Use per User, 2005-2010
- VI-8 US Wireless Revenue, 2005-2010 ($Billions)
- VI-9 Residential Broadband Subscriber Growth, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-10 Residential Broadband Revenue Growth, 2005-2010 ($Billions)
- VI-11 US Residential Broadband VoIP Subscribers, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-12 US Residential Broadband VoIP Revenue, 2005-2010 ($Millions)
- VI-13 US Home Networks, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-14 US VoWLAN/Cellular Dual-Mode Users, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-15 US Cellular-Only Households, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-16 US Yearly Wireline/Wireless Porting, 2005-2010 (Thousands)
- VI-17 US Primary Residential Access Line Forecast, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-18 US Monthly LD Minutes of Use per User, Wireline vs. Wireless, 2005-2010
- VI-19 US ILEC and IXC Wireline Narrowband Revenue, 2005-2010 ($Billions)
Table of Tables
Chapter I
- I-1 US Access Lines, Residential and Business, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- I-2 US Primary Residential Access Line Forecast, 2005-2010 (Millions)
Chapter II
- II-1 US Wireline Telephone Lines
- II-2 US Wireline Telephone Calls
Chapter III
- III-1 Cellular Service Only Scenario: Advantages and Disadvantages
- III-2 Typical Landline Bill
- III-3 Typical Cell Phone Bill
- III-4 Landline-Cellular Bill Comparison
- III-5 Cellular Bill With 1000 Minutes of Use
- III-6 Savings With Landline Cancellation
- III-7 Consumer VoWLAN/Cellular Service Scenario: Advantages and Disadvantages
- III-8 Landline vs. Wireless Rates
Chapter IV
- IV-1 WiFi Standards Under the 802.11 Umbrella
Chapter VI
- VI-1 Access Line Substitution, Residential and Business, 2000-2004 (Millions)
- VI-2 Average Monthly MOU, Interstate Wireless vs. Res WL Toll, 2000 2004
- VI-3 Wireline vs. Wireless Revenue, 2000-2004 ($Billions)
- VI-4 Cell Phone-Only Usage by Region and Household Type, 2004
- VI-5 Cell Phone Usage for the US Population by Demographic, 2004
- VI-6 % of Cell Phone Users Who Make Most Calls on Cell Phones, 2002-2005
- VI-7 Likelihood of Res Household Giving up Reg Telephones & Using Just Cell Phones, 2003-2005
- VI-8 Top Priorities of US Cellular Users for Dropping Landline Service
- VI-9 US Cellular-Only Households vs. Total Households, 2005-2010
- VI-10 US Cellular-Only Subscribers by Age Range, 2005-2010 (Thousands)
- VI-11 US Access Lines, Residential and Business, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-12 US Primary Residential Access Line Forecast, 2005-2010 (Millions)
- VI-13 US Res Primary Access Line Declines by Wireless and Broadband VoIP
- VI-14 US Monthly LD MOU per User, Wireline vs. Wireless, 2005-2010
- VI-15 US ILEC and IXC Wireline Narrowband Revenue, 2005-2010 ($Billions)
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