Next Generation Add-Drop Multiplexers 2003-2008

Table of Contents

Chapter I EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Chapter II ADMS IN TELECOM NETWORKS

2.1 Subdivisions of Telecom Networks

2.1.1 Access

2.1.2 Collection

2.1.3 Inter-office

2.1.4 Long Haul Networks

2.2 The Network Positions of an ADM

2.3 Functions of an ADM

2.3.1 Network Transport

2.4 Basic ADM Functions

2.4.1 Transmission

2.4.2 Transmission Management

2.4.3 Multiplexing

2.4.4 Add-Drop

Chapter III MARKET DRIVERS

3.1 Growth of Data Traffic

3.1.1 Peak Traffic Forecast for US

3.2 Increasing Dynamics of Network Usage

3.3 Growth of Broadband Access

3.4 Growth of Local Only Data Traffic

3.4.1 Replacement of Voice by Data

3.4.2 Local Chains (Government, Schools, Retail)

3.4.3 Caching

3.5 Growth of Telecom Participants

3.5.1 xLECs

3.5.2 xSPs

3.5.3 CATV

3.5.4 Wireless

3.6 Growing Impact of OpEx

3.6.1 Provisioning

3.6.2 Maintenance

3.6.3 Management

3.7 Variety of Technologies

3.7.1 Transmission

3.7.1.1 Media

3.7.1.2 Transponders

3.7.1.3 Interfaces

3.7.1.4 Line Protocols

3.7.2 Transmission Management

3.7.2.1 SONET

3.7.2.2 Ethernet

3.7.3 Multiplexing

3.7.3.1 TDM

3.7.3.2 STDM

3.7.3.3 WDM

3.7.4 Network Management

3.7.4.1 GMPLS

3.7.5 Topology

3.7.5.1 P-P and Tree

3.7.5.2 Linear

3.7.5.3 Ring

3.7.5.4 Dual Homing

3.7.5.5 Mesh

3.7.5.6 Cross Connect

3.8 Semiconductors

3.9 Cable Laying

Chapter IV CONSTANTS

4.1 Voice Traffic

4.2 Copper Loops

4.3 Telco Cos

4.4 End User Premises

4.4.1 Residential

4.4.2 Small Business

4.4.3 Large Business

4.5 Revenue Sources

4.6 Standards

4.7 Dominance of the RBOCs

4.7.1 SONET Base

4.7.2 Embedded SONET Vendors

4.7.3 OSS

4.7.4 Caution

Chapter V APPLICATIONS

5.1 Voice

5.2 Private Line

5.3 Bandwidth Leases

5.4 Other Data Network Services

5.5 Internet Access

5.6 Extended LAN

5.7 VPN

5.8 Storage (FDDI, ESCON)

5.9 Video

5.10 Third Party Vendors

5.11 Intra-Site Rings

Chapter VI METRO NETWORK ARCHITECTURES

6.1 Metro Network Architectures

6.2 Metro Sites

6.3 Metro Connections

6.4 OADM Locations in the Metro Network

6.5 Trends in OADM Requirements

6.5.1 Multiple Rings per Location

6.5.2 Hub-to-Mesh Traffic

6.5.3 Functions Nearer to End User

6.5.4 Melding of Functions (ADM/DCX)

6.6 Access Nodes

6.7 Metro Network Nodes

6.8 Number of Connections between Nodes

Chapter VII NEXT GENERATION OADM

7.1 Categories of Next Generation ADMs

7.1.1 Next Generation SONET

7.1.2 Ethernet

7.1.3 WDM

7.1.4 Private Network ADM

7.2 The Functions of a Next Generation ADM

7.2.1 Transmission

7.2.2 Transmission Management

7.2.3 Multiplexing

7.2.3.1 Virtual Concatenation

7.2.3.2 Link Capacity Adjustment Scheme

7.2.3.4 Ethernet as a Transport Scheme

7.2.3.5 Protocol Stacks

7.2.3.6 Other Forms of Multiplexing

7.3 Add-Drop Multiplexing

7.3.1 SONET

7.3.2 Ethernet

7.3.3 WDM

7.4 Cross Connect

7.5 Data Adaptation

7.6 Network Management

7.7 Equipment Logistics

Chapter VIII ADM VENDORS

8.1 Broadline ADM Vendors

8.2 SONET Standard Vendors

8.3 SONET Proprietary Vendors

8.4 Ethernet Vendors

8.5 WDM Vendors

8.6 ADM Blade Vendors

Chapter IX MARKET FORECAST

9.1 ADM Market Segments

9.1.1 Changing Collection Network Market

9.1.2 Changing Inter-office Market

9.1.3 Changing Long Haul Market

9.1.4 Changing Enterprise Market

9.2 Existing ADM Market

9.2.1 Network Service Vendor Market

9.2.2 Enterprise ADM Market

9.3 Bandwidth Demand

9.3.1 Bandwidth Based Forecast

9.3.2 Variations on the Forecast

9.4 Future of ADM Market

9.5 An ADM Per Site Forecast

9.6 OADM Forecast

9.7 Revenue Forecast

9.8 Forecast Summary

9.9 Business Opportunities

Appendix GLOSSARY

Table of Figures

• II-1 Network Levels
• II-2 ADM Locations
• II-3 Pre-ADM Connections
• II-4 ADM Ring Topology vs. Traffic Pattern
• II-5 Impact of New Carriers
• II-6 Anatomy of an ADM
• II-7 ADM Transmission
• II-8 Transmission Management in an ADM
• II-9 Multiplexing in an ADM
• II-10 A SONET Analogy
• II-11 SONET Add-Drop Functions in an ADM
• III-1 US Peak Time Traffic Demand: Residential vs. Enterprise, 2000-2008
• III-2 US Overall Peak Time Traffic Demand, 2000-2008
• III-3 US Aggregated Bandwidth of End User Data Connections, 2000-2008
• III-4 Aggregated Bandwidth by Type of End User Data Connections, 2000-2008
• IV-1 Space Requirement of Legacy ADMs
• IV-2 TIRKS and Associated OSS
• V-1 Evolution of the Collection Network
• V-2 Intra-Site Rings
• VI-1 PSTN Switching Hierarchy
• VI-2 ADM Metro Sites and Connections
• VI-3 ADM Locations in the Metro Network
• VI-4 Metro Network Ring Topology
• VI-5 Ring Configurations
• VI-6 Introduction of Cross Connect to ADMs
• VII-1 Back-to-Back Multiplexers with Cross Connect, Pre ADM
• VII-2 Overlay Network
• VII-3 Wrap and Steer Protection in RPR
• VII-4 Protocol Stacks
• VII-5 Example of WDM-ADM Function
• IX-1 Increased Complexity of Metro Networks

Table of Tables

• II-1 Basic Functions of an ADM
• II-2 SONET- and Ethernet-defined Transmission Rates
• III-1 US Peak Time Traffic Demand: Residential vs. Enterprise, 2000-2008
• III-2 Number of US End-user Data Connections, 2000-2008
• III-3 Bandwidth of US End-user Data Connections, 2000-2008
• III-4 Aggregated Bandwidth of US End-User Data Connections, 2000-2008
• III-5 Number of Carrier Identification Codes in US
• III-6 Ten Largest National Service Providers, 2001
• III-7 Typical Cost of Transponders
• IV-1 Number of Telco Cos and Other Carrier Nodes, 2003
• IV-2 Total Number of US User Premises, 2000
• IV-3 Non-Residential Buildings
• IV-4 Standards Relevant to ADMs
• V-1 Impact of Applications on ADMs
• V-2 New Types of Service Providers and Their Impact of the Networks
• VI-1 Network Locations
• VI-2 Network Locations and Characteristics
• VI-3 US Access to Metro Point Connections, 2000 and 2008
• VII-1 OADM Applications
• VII-2 Basic Functions of a Next Generation OADM
• VIII-1 Broadline ADM Vendors
• VIII-2 ADM Acquisitions
• VIII-3 SONET Standard Vendors
• VIII-4 SONET Proprietary ADM Vendors
• VIII-5 Ethernet ADM Vendors
• VIII-6 RPR ADM Vendors
• VIII-7 WDM ADM Vendors
• IX-1 Differential Impact on ADM Market Segments
• IX-2 Potential Markets for ADMs
• IX-3 Estimate of Current ADM Installations
• IX-4 Summary of Current ADM Installations
• IX-5 US Peak Time Data Traffic Demand
• IX-6 US Aggregated Bandwidth of End User Data Connections
• IX-7 Summary of ADM Forecast for 2008
• IX-8 ADM Market Forecast, 2003-2008
• IX-9 ADM Market Forecast Adjusted for Multi-Ring ADMs, 2008
• IX-10 Estimate of 2008 ADM Installations
• IX-11 ADM Market Forecast Adjusted for Multi-Ring ADMs, 2008
• IX-12 Prices of ADMs, 2003-2008
• IX-13 Revenue Forecast for ADMs, 2003-2008