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Market Research Report

Fixed WiMAX- Opportunities, Strategies & Forecasts, 2006-2011

Published by Juniper Research Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2006/05 Content info 225+ PAGES
Product code JP38331
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Description TOC

Table of Contents

Glossary

Executive Summary

  • Who Should Read This Report?
  • Fixed WiMAX (802.16d-2004)
    • Difference between Fixed WiMAX and Other Broadband Access Technologies
      • Table ES-1: Comparison of Fixed WiMAX and 802.11
  • Fixed WiMAX Applications: Backhaul
    • Technical Comparisons
    • Demand Drivers
    • Demand Suppressants
  • Fixed WiMAX Applications: Last Mile Wireless Broadband
    • The Opportunity
      • Table ES-2: The Old and the New Broadband Wireless Initiatives
      • Proprietary Systems; High cost
      • Standard driven, industry consensus, interoperable equipment
      • Truckroll Installation
      • Self-install, auto provisioning
      • Unestablished market, technology first-market later
      • Established demand (WiFi), user-pull market
      • Primarily telco driven market
      • IT-driven market
    • Demand Drivers
    • Demand Suppressants
  • Forecasts
    • Methodology
      • Gompertz Curve
      • Fisher Pry Model
    • Backhaul
      • Figure ES-1: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station ($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Figure ES-2: Comparison between Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Hotspots and Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Figure ES-3: Total Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market (Cellular+ Hotspot + Mesh) ($m) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011 Last Mile Broadband Wireless
      • Figure ES-4: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) Global Forecasts (Post Shift) 2006 - 2011
      • Figure ES-5: Fixed WiMAX Subscribers That Will Transition to Mobile WiMAX ('000) - Global Forecast 2006-2012
      • Figure ES-6: Value of Fixed WiMAX Equipment (Base Station + CPE) Market by Developed and Developing World ($m) - Global Forecast 2006-2011
      • Figure ES-7: Value of Fixed WiMAX Services Market ($m) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Comparison of Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Subscribers
      • Figure ES-8: Fixed & Mobile WiMAX Subscribers ('000) - Global Forecast 2006-2012
  • Value Chain Analysis
    • Silicon Vendors
    • Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs/ODMs)
    • Network Operators/Service Providers (NO/SP)

1. Fixed WiMAX - The Technology

  • 1.1What is WiMAX?
    • Figure 1-1: WiMAX Timeline
    • 1.1.1 OFDM
      • Figure 1-2: OFDM Spectrum
  • 1.2 Fixed WiMAX (802.16-2004)
  • 1.3 Competing Broadband Access Technologies
    • 1.3.1 ADSL
      • i. Comparison of ADSL with Fixed WiMAX
    • 1.3.2 WiFi
      • Table 1-1: List of WiFi Standards
      • i. QoS in WiFi
      • ii. Differences between Fixed WiMAX and WiFi
      • Table 1-2: Comparison of Fixed WiMAX and 802.11
    • 1.3.3 Mesh Networking
      • Figure 1-3: WiFi Mesh Network
      • i. WiFi Mesh and Fixed WiMAX
    • 1.3.4 Satellite
      • i. Satellite and Fixed WiMAX

2. WiMAX Spectrum

  • 2.1 WiMAX Frequencies
    • 2.1.1 Licensed Frequencies
      • i. 2.5 GHz
      • ii. 3.5 GHz
    • 2.1.2 Unlicensed Frequencies
      • i. 5.8 GHz
  • 2.2 Duplexing Techniques
    • 2.2.1 Frequency Division Duplexing (FDD)
      • Figure 2.1: Frequency Division Duplexing
    • 2.2.2 Time Division Duplexing (TDD)
      • Figure 2-2: Time Division Duplexing
  • 2.3 WiMAX Forum
    • 2.3.1 Working Groups
      • i. Marketing Working Group
      • ii. Service Provider Working Group
      • iii. Regulatory Working group
      • iv. Technical Working Group
      • v. Networking Working Group
      • vi. Applications Group
      • vii. Certification Group
    • 2.3.2 WiMAX Certification
      • i. Development of Test Scripts and Validation
      • ii. Lab Preparation
      • iii. Validation of Test Scripts
      • iv. Certification Testing
      • a. Conformance Testing
      • b. Interoperability Testing
    • 2.3.3 WiMAX Forum View
      • i. Fixed WiMAX
      • ii. Mobile WiMAX

3. Fixed WiMAX Applications - Backhaul

  • 3.1 What is Backhaul?
    • Figure 3-1: Typical Backhaul Network
  • 3.2 Backhaul Technologies
    • Figure 3-2: Fibre Space Optics (FSO)
    • 3.2.1 Wired Backhaul
      • i. ADSL
      • ii. VDSL
      • iii. Leased Line
    • 3.2.2 Wireless Backhaul
      • Figure 3-3: Wireless Backhaul
      • i. Satellite Backhaul
      • ii. Microwave Backhaul
      • Figure 3-4: Microwave Backhaul in a Cellular Base Station
      • iii. Wireless Backhaul - Topologies
      • a. Point to Point (PTP) Backhaul
      • Figure 3-5: Point to Point Backhaul
      • b. Point to Multipoint (PMP) Backhaul
      • Figure 3-6: Point to Multipoint Network Topology
      • c. Mesh Backhaul
      • Figure 3-7: Wireless Mesh Network
      • - Unconstrained Mesh
      • - Constrained Mesh
      • Figure 3-8: Backhaul Links for a WiFi Mesh Network
  • 3.3 The WiMAX Backhaul Opportunity
    • 3.3.1 WiMAX Backhaul - Technical Advantages
      • i. Spectral Efficiency
      • ii. NLOS (None Line of Sight)
      • Figure 3-9: The NLOS Advantage
      • iii. Range
      • iv. Throughput
      • Table 3-1: Fixed WiMAX Throughputs
    • 3.3.2 Standardised Backhaul vs Proprietary Backhaul
      • i. Colubris Networks
    • 3.3.3 The Cost Advantage
      • Figure 3-10: Price Comparison of PMP and PTP Solutions
      • Table 3-2: Cost Comparisons of Backhaul Solutions (Euros)
      • i. The Akshaya Project
      • Figure 3-11: Akshaya Project Access/Backhaul Cost Comparisons
    • 3.3.4 Demand Drivers for WiMAX Backhaul
      • i. Number of Cellular Subscribers
      • Figure 3-12: Global Cellular Subscribers - Developed and Developing World 2001-2010
      • ii. WLAN Usage
      • Figure 3-13: Municipal Wireless Mesh Network in South Texas, USA
      • iii. Demand for Bandwidth Hungry Applications
      • iv. Need for Standards Based Backhaul Technology
    • 3.3.5 Demand Suppressants for WiMAX Backhaul
      • i. Large Installed Base of Wired Backhaul Solutions
      • ii. Delay in WiMAX Certified Equipment
      • iii. Spectrum Issues in Certain Regions
      • iv. Legacy Backhaul Solutions
    • 3.3.6 Rural vs Metro Backhaul
      • Table 3-3: Rural vs Suburban vs Urban areas
  • 3.4 WiMAX Backhaul for Cellular Networks
    • 3.4.1 Business Case
      • Table 3-4: Assumptions for WiMAX Cellular Backhaul Cost Model
      • Table 3-5: Capex and Opex Costs for WiMAX Cellular Backhaul
      • i. Business Case - I: Standalone WiMAX Backhaul
      • Table 3-6: ROI for Standalone WiMAX Backhaul Business Case
      • ii. Business Case II: WiMAX Backhaul + Broadband Wireless Access
      • Table 3-7: ROI for the Backhaul + Broadband Wireless Access Case
      • iii. Business Case III: WiMAX Backhaul + WiMAX Mobile Service
      • Table 3-8: ROI for Backhaul + BWA + WiMAX Mobile
  • 3.5 WiMAX Backhaul for WLANs
    • Figure 3-14: WiMAX as a Backhaul for WLANs
    • 3.5.1 Tropos Networks
      • Figure 3-15: Phase 1 and Phase 2 of Tropos WiMAX Backhaul Solution
      • Figure 3-16: Phase 3 of the Tropos WiMAX Backhaul Solution
      • Figure 3-17: Throughput vs Number of Hops in a WiFi Mesh Network

4. Applications: Fixed Wireless Broadband

  • 4.1 The Broadband Market
    • 4.1.1 Growth in Subscriber Demand
      • Table 4-1: Broadband Applications
      • Figure 4-1: Broadband Subscription by Technology
    • 4.1.2 Developing vs Developed Regions
      • Figure 4-2: Incremental Growth of Broadband Lines
      • Figure 4-3: Top 10 Broadband Countries by Percentage Growth
  • 4.2 Fixed Wireless - The Future of 'Last Mile' Broadband Access
    • 4.2.1 The Last Mile Cost Advantage for New Installations
      • Table 4-2: Cost of Laying Fibre
    • 4.2.2 Time to Market
    • 4.2.3 WiFi Growth - An Indicator of Fixed WiMAX Demand on the Access End
      • i. The Home Wireless Access Market
      • Figure 4-4: WiFi Shipments
      • ii. The Hotspot Market
      • Figure 4-5: WiFi Hotspot Forecasts 2006-2011 by Region
      • Table 4-3: WiFi Hotspot Forecasts 2006-2011by Regional
    • 4.2.4 Cost per bit - Wired vs Wireless Broadband Comparisons
      • Table 4-4: Cost per bit of Wired and Wireless Broadband Technologies

5. Fixed Wireless Broadband Market Characteristics

  • Table 5-1: The Old and the New Broadband Wireless Initiatives
    • Proprietary Systems; High cost
    • Standard driven, industry consensus, interoperable equipment
    • Truckroll Installation
    • Self-install, auto provisioning
    • Unestablished market, technology first-market later
    • Established demand (WiFi), user-pull market
    • Primarily telco driven market
    • IT-driven market
  • 5.1 Demand Drivers for Fixed WiMAX Broadband
    • 5.1.1 Standardisation and Certification of Fixed WiMAX Equipment
      • Table 5-2: Industry Equipment Timelines for Fixed WiMAX
    • 5.1.2 Penetration of Broadband Internet in Developing Countries
      • Figure 5-1: Main Barriers to Wired Broadband Deployment in Developing Regions
      • Figure 5-2: The Digital Divide in Terms of Internet Users
    • 5.1.3 'White spots' in Developed Countries
      • Figure 5-3: UK Broadband Penetration by Constituency
    • 5.1.4 Low Cost, Fast Deployment Internet Service
      • Table 5-3: Comparisons of Cost and Deployment Time Fixed WiMAX and DSL for Businesses
    • 5.1.5 Worldwide Fixed WiMAX Trials
    • 5.1.6 Incumbent ISPs View of Fixed WiMAX
    • 5.1.7 Silicon Vendor Presence
      • i. Sequans Communications
  • 5.2 Demand Suppressants for Fixed WiMAX broadband
    • 5.2.1 Incompatibility of Fixed WiMAX with Mobile WiMAX
    • 5.2.2 Frequency Harmonisation
    • 5.2.3 Operators Avoiding the First Release of WiMAX
      • i. WiMAX Wary: Leap Broadband (Ireland)
  • 5.3 Business and Residential Customers
    • Table 5-4: Difference Between Residential and SME Customers for Fixed WiMAX
    • Figure 5-4: Typical Revenue Earned from Residential and SME Customers for a Fixed WiMAX Service
  • 5.4 Customer Demographics: Rural and Urban
    • Table 5-5: WiMAX Retail Markets
    • Figure 5-5: Village Kiosk in India with High Speed Internet
    • Figure 5-6: Telabria's Skylink Broadband Network Backbone in South East UK
    • Table 5-6: PC Shipment Growth in Developing Regions
    • Table 5-7: Urban and Rural Fixed WiMAX market characteristics
    • 3.5 GHz licensed spectrum
    • 5.8 GHz unlicensed spectrum
    • Average spacing between base stations1-3 km
    • Average spacing between base stations 5-10 km
    • 3-channel base station
    • 4-6 channel base stations
    • CPE cost borne by subscriber
    • CPE subsidised by operator
    • Higher ARPU; Higher Capex
    • Lower ARPU; Lower Capex
    • Average no. of subscribers per base station is 500-1000
    • Average no. of subscribers per base station is 1000-2000
    • Figure 5-7: NPV Comparisons for Rural and Urban markets
  • 5.5 Customer Services: Data and Voice
    • Figure 5-8: Growth of VoIP Services in the US
    • 5.5.1 The Current VoIP Scenario
      • Figure 5-9: A Typical VoIP Network in the Present Day Routed through a PSTN
    • 5.5.2 How can WiMAX change the VoIP Scenario?
  • 5.6 Fixed WiMAX CPE
    • 5.6.1 Outdoor CPE
      • Figure 5-10: Outdoor CPE for Fixed WiMAX style network from Skylink
    • 5.6.2 Self-Install Indoor CPE
      • Figure 5-11: Average Selling Price of Outdoor vs Indoor CPE for WiMAX
      • Table 5-8: Outdoor CPE vs. Indoor CPE for Fixed WiMAX
      • Figure 5-12: Trade-off between Range and Capacity in Fixed WiMAX using Indoor and Outdoor CPEs

6. Equipment Providers and Operators

  • 6.1 Equipment Providers
    • 6.1.1 Alvarion
      • i. The Company
      • ii. Products
      • iii. Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.2 Aperto Networks
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.3 Redline Communications
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.4 Airspan
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.5 Cambridge Broadband
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.6 ZTE Corp
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.7 Proxim Wireless Corporation
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.8 Siemens Communications
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
    • 6.1.9 SR Telecom
      • i. The Company
      • ii. WiMAX Products
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
      • iv. Customers
  • 6.2 Operators
    • 6.2.1 Telabria
      • i. Company
      • ii. Operating Environment
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
    • 6.2.2 Towerstream
      • i. Company
      • ii. Operating Environment
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
    • 6.2.3 Altitude Telecom
      • i. Company
      • ii. Operating Environment
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
    • 6.2.4 Irish Broadband
      • i. Company
      • ii. Operating Environment
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
    • 6.2.5 WiMAX Telecom
      • i. Company
      • ii. Operating Environment
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
    • 6.2.6 Covad Communications
      • i. Company
      • ii. Operating Environment
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy
    • 6.2.7 transARIA
      • i. Company
      • ii. Operating Environment
      • iii. WiMAX Strategy

7. Backhaul Forecasts

  • 7.1Forecasting Technique
    • 7.1.1Statistical Analysis
      • i. Gompertz Curve
      • Figure 7-1: Typical Gompertz curve
      • ii. Fisher Pry Model
      • Figure 7-2: Fisher Pry Modelling for Digital vs Analog Subscribers
      • Key Assumptions
    • 7.1.2 Methodology
      • i. Backhaul
      • Figure 7-3: Backhaul Forecast Model
      • ii. Last Mile Broadband Wireless
      • Figure 7-4: Last Mile Broadband Wireless Forecast Model
  • 7.2 Backhaul Forecasts
    • 7.2.1 WiMAX Backhaul - Cellular
      • i. Number of Cellular Base Stations
      • a. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 7-5: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-1: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • b. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 7-6: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-2: Number of Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • c. Global Forecasts
      • Table 7-3: Number of Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 7-7: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • ii. Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
      • a. % Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
      • Table 7-4: % Cellular Base Stations ('000) with WiMAX Backhaul links - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-5: % Cellular Base Stations ('000) with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • b. Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
      • - Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 7-8: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-6: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • - Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 7-9: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-7: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • - Global Forecasts
      • Figure 7-10: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-8: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • c. Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Stations
      • - Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 7-11: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Stations ($m) - Developed World Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Table 7-9: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station ($m) - Developed World Forecasts 2006-2011
      • - Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 7-12: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station ($m) - Developing World Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Table 7-10: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station ($m) - Developing World Forecasts 2006-2011
      • - Global Forecasts
      • Figure 7-13: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station ($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Table 7-11: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station ($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
    • 7.2.2 WiMAX Backhaul - WiFi Hotspots
      • i. Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots
      • Figure 7-14: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-12: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • ii. WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links
      • Table 7-13: % WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Regional Forecasts 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 7-15: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-14: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 7-16: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for WiFi Managed Hotspots ($m) - Regional Forecast 2006-2011
      • Table 7-15: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Managed Hotspots ($m) - Regional Forecast 2006-2011
    • 7.2.3 WiMAX Backhaul - WiFi Mesh
      • Figure 7-17: Number of WiFi Mesh Access Points - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-16: Number of WiFi Mesh Access Points - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-17: % WiFi Mesh Links with WiMAX Backhaul - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 7-18: Number of WiFi Mesh WiMAX Backhaul Links - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 7-18: Number of WiFi Mesh WiMAX Backhaul Links - Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 7-19: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecast 2006-2011
      • Table 7-19: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecast 2006-2011
    • 7.2.4 WiMAX Backhaul - Combined Value of Market
      • Figure 7-20: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Hotspots and Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Table 7-20: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Hotspots and Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Figure 7-21: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links by Category (WiFi Hotspots and Mesh Networks) ($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Table 7-21: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links by Category (WiFi Hotspots and Mesh Networks) ($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
      • Table 7-22: Total Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market (Cellular+ Hotspot + Mesh) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011

8. Fixed WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts

  • 8.1 Internet Users - Base Data
    • 8.1.1 Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-1: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-1: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 8.1.2 Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-2: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-2: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 8.1.3 Global Forecasts
      • Figure 8-3: Number of Internet Users (m) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-3: Number of Internet Users (m) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
  • 8.2 Fixed WiMAX Subscribers
    • 8.2.1 Optimistic Scenario (Potential)
      • i. Internet Users Converting to Fixed WiMAX
      • Table 8-4: % Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) Converting to Fixed WiMAX - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Optimistic Scenario)
      • Table 8-5: % Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) Converting to Fixed WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Optimistic Scenario)
      • ii. Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (Optimistic Scenario)
      • a. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-4: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-6: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • b. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-5: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-7: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • c. Global Forecasts
      • Figure 8-6: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic Scenario) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-8: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic Scenario) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • iii. Conservative Scenario (Potential)
      • Table 8-9: % Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) Converting to Fixed WiMAX - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Conservative Scenario)
      • Table 8-10: % Internet Users/Households ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) Converting to Fixed WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Conservative Scenario)
      • a. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-7: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-11: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • b. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-8: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-12: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • iv. Moderate Scenario (Potential)
      • a. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-9: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table: 8-13: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • b. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-10: Total Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 8-14: Total Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • c. Global Forecasts
      • Table 8-15: Total Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 8.2.2 Mobile WiMAX Effect
      • i. Shift Subscribers
      • Figure 8-11: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Shifting to Mobile WiMAX Developed World Forecast 2007 - 2011
      • Table 8-16: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Shifting to Mobile WiMAX Developed World Forecast 2007 - 2011
      • a. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-12: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Shifting to Mobile WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2007 - 2011
      • Table 8-17: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) Shifting to Mobile WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2007 - 2011
      • Table 8-18: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario) After Shift to Mobile WiMAX Forecast 2007 - 2011
      • Figure 8-13: The Effect of the shift of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers to Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscriber Numbers - Global Forecast 2006-2012
      • ii. Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (Post Shift)
      • a. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-14: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
    • Table 8-19: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
      • b. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 8-15: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
      • Table 8-20: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
      • c. Global Forecasts
      • Figure 8-16: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers Global Forecasts 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
      • Table 8-21: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers Global Forecasts 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)

9. Fixed WiMAX Equipment Forecasts

  • 9.1 Fixed WiMAX Base Stations
    • 9.1.1 Number of Base Stations
      • i. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 9-1: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-1: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • ii. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 9-2: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-2: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • iii. Global Forecasts
      • Figure 9-3: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-3: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 9.1.2 Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations
      • i. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 9-4: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ($m) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-4: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ('$m) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • ii. Developing World Forecasts
      • Table 9-5: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ($m) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 9-5: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ('$m) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • iii. Global Forecasts
      • Figure 9-6: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ('$m) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-6: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ($m) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
  • 9.2 CPE (Installed Base)
    • 9.2.1 Units
      • i. Developed World Indoor CPE Forecasts
      • Figure 9-7: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-7: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • ii. Developing World Indoor CPE Forecasts
      • Figure 9-8: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-8: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • iii. Global Indoor CPE Forecasts
      • Table 9-9: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 9-9: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • iv. Developed World Outdoor CPE Forecasts
      • Figure 9-10: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-10: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • v. Developing World Outdoor CPE Forecasts
      • Table 9-11: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 9-11: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • vi. Comparison between Indoor and Outdoor CPE
      • a. Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 9-12: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-12: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • b. Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 9-13: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-13: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • c. Global Forecasts
      • Figure 9-14: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 9-14: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • vii. Value of CPE Equipment
      • Table 9-15: Average Prices of Fixed WiMAX CPE - Developed and Developing World ($) Forecast 2006-2011
      • a. Global Forecast
      • Table 9-16: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX CPE Market by Indoor & Outdoor Installed Base ($m) Global Forecast 2006-2011
      • Figure 9-15: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX CPE Market by Indoor & Outdoor Installed Base ($m) - Global Forecast 2006-2011
      • Figure 9-16: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX CPE Market by Outdoor & Indoor Installed Base ($m) Split by Developed & Developing Region Forecast 2006-2011
      • Table 9-17: Value of Fixed WiMAX Indoor CPE Market - Developed and Developing World Forecast ($m) 2006-2011
      • Table 9-18: Value of Fixed WiMAX Outdoor CPE Market - Developed and Developing World Forecast ($m) 2006-2011
  • 9.3 Total Value of Equipment Market
    • Figure 9-17: Value of Fixed WiMAX Equipment (Base Station + CPE) Market by Developed and Developing World - Global Forecast 2006-2011
      • Table 9-19: Value of Fixed WiMAX Equipment (Base Station +CPE) Market by Developed and Developing World ($m) - Global Forecast 2006-2011

10. Business/Residential Adoption Forecasts

  • 10.1 Business Adoption
    • 10.1.1 Developed World Forecasts
      • Table 10-1: % of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Business users - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 10-1: Number of Fixed WiMAX Business Subscribers ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 10-2: Number of Fixed WiMAX Business Subscribers ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 10.1.2 Developing World Forecasts
      • Table 10-3: % of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Business Users - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 10-2: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are Business Users - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 10-4: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are Business Users - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 10.1.3 Global Forecasts
      • Figure 10-3: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are Business Users - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 10-5: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are Business Users - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
  • 10.2 Fixed WiMAX Residential Users
    • 10.2.1 Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 10-4: Number of Fixed WiMAX Residential Subscribers ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 10-6: Number of Fixed WiMAX Residential Subscribers ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 10.2.2 Developing World Forecasts
      • Table 10-7: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential Users ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 10-5: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential Users ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 10.2.3 Global Forecasts
      • Table 10-8: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential Users ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 10-6: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential Users ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
  • 10.3 Business versus Residential Subscribers
    • Figure 10-7: Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006-2011
    • Figure 10-8: Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006-2011
    • Figure 10-9 Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) - Global Forecast 2006-2011
    • Table 10-9: Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) - Global Forecast 2006-2011

11. Voice/Data Services Forecasts

  • 11.1 Fixed WiMAX Data Market
    • Table 11-1: Fixed WiMAX Average Revenue per User - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 11.1.1 Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-1: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-2: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 11.1.2 Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-2: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-3: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 11.1.3 Global Forecast
      • Figure 11-3: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) by Developed and Developing - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-4: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) by Developed and Developing - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
  • 11.2 WiMAX Fixed Wireless Voice
    • 11.2.1 Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-4: Fixed WiMAX Voice Service Users ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-5: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 11.2.2 Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-5: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-6: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 11.2.3 Global Forecasts
      • Table 11-7: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Figure 11-6: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
  • 11.3 Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers by Data & Voice
    • 11.3.1 Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-7: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice - Developed World Forecast 2006-2011
      • Table 11-8: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice - Developed World Forecast 2006-2011
    • 11.3.2 Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-8: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice - Developing World Forecast 2006-2011
      • Table 11-9: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice - Developing World Forecast 2006-2011
    • 11.3.3 Global Forecasts
      • Table 11-10: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice - Global Forecast 2006-2011
      • Figure 11-9: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice - Global Forecast 2006-2011
  • 11.4 WiMAX Fixed Wireless Voice Revenue
    • Table 11-11: Average Revenue per Fixed Wireless Voice User
    • 11.4.1 Developed World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-10: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-12: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 11.4.2 Developing World Forecasts
      • Figure 11-11: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-13: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • 11.4.3 Global Forecasts
      • Figure11-12: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) by Developed vs Developing Regions 2006 - 2011
      • Table 11-14: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) by Developed vs Developing Regions 2006 - 2011
  • 11.5 Global Fixed WiMAX Voice & Data Revenue
    • Figure 11-13: Value of Fixed WiMAX Services Market ($m) Split by Voice Services & Data Services - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
    • Table 11-15: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) Split by Voice Services & Data Services - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011

12. WiMAX Security

  • 12.1 Security Features in WiMAX
    • 12.1.1 Encryption: DES3 and AES
      • Figure 12-1: Block Cipher Encryption
      • Figure 12-2: CBC Mode
    • 12.1.2 Authentication: X.509 Certificates and EAP
      • Figure 12-3: EAP used in a WLAN
  • 12.2 Security Processors
    • Figure 12-4: Security Processor Configuration
    • 12.2.1 WiMAX Security Processor: Vendors
      • i. Cavium Networks
      • a. The Company
      • b. Products
      • c. OEM Client
      • ii. Hifn
      • a. The company
      • b. Products
      • c. OEM Client
      • iii. SafeNet
      • a. The company
      • b. Products
      • c. OEM Client
      • iv. Elliptic Semiconductor
      • a. The company
      • b. Products
      • Figure 12-5: Block Diagram of Elliptic Semiconductor LLP-01 Core
      • c. OEM Client
  • 12.3 Security for WiMAX Applications
    • 12.3.1 Application Layer Security
      • Figure 12-6: Application Layer Security Infrastructure
      • Figure 12-7: Securing the perimeter in a WiMAX network
    • 12.3.2 Network Layer Security

13. WiMAX: Value-Chain Analysis

  • 13.1 The WiMAX Value-Chain
    • Figure 13-1: WiMAX Value Chain
    • 13.1.1 Silicon Vendors
    • 13.1.2 Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM)/Original Device Manufacturer (ODM)
    • 13.1.3 Wholesale Service Provider/Network Operator
    • 13.1.4 Retail Service Provider
  • 13.2 Analysis
    • 13.2.1 Silicon Vendors
      • i. Intel's Focus: Fixed or Mobile WIMAX?
      • ii. What are the Focus Areas for WiMAX Silicon Start-ups?
      • iii. Are There Any Limitations in the First Wave of Fixed WiMAX Certifications?
      • iv. What are the Opportunity Areas within WiMAX Silicon?
    • 13.2.2 OEM/ODMs
      • i. How Will the Mobile WiMAX Timeline Affect Fixed WiMAX Adoption?
      • ii. What Form Factors Can We Expect for WiMAX CPEs?
      • iii. Is There An Immediate Need to Switch From Pre-Fixed WiMAX to Certified Fixed WiMAX Equipment?
      • iv. Is There a Mobile WiMAX Strategy For Fixed WiMAX OEMs?
      • v. What is Driving OEM Vendors to Certify Their Equipment?
      • vi. Are OEMs Religious About WiMAX?
    • 13.2.3 Network Operator/Service Provider (NO/SP)
      • i. What Are The Target Costs For The CPE?
      • ii. What Advantages Does Fixed WiMAX Bring to SMEs?
      • iii. Are WiMAX Operators Open To Using WiMAX For Backhaul?
      • iv. What Are Operators Looking For Initially in WiMAX?
      • v. How Does Software Defined Radio help a WiMAX Operaotr?
      • vi. Do WiMAX Strategies Differ With Size of Operator?
      • vii. What Cost Metrics Do Operators use in Evaluating WiMAX?

Appendix 1 - Web Addresses for Companies Included in Report

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