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Market Research Report

Mobile Adult Subscriptions, Downloads, Video Chat & Text-Based Services 2008-2013 (Fifth Edition)

Published by Juniper Research Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2008/12 Content info 176 pages
Product code 78429
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Description TOC

Table of Contents

Glossary

Executive Summary

  • Introduction
  • Types of Adult Content for Mobiles
    • Text-based Adult Services
    • Images
    • Moantones
    • Erotic Games
    • Video-Based Services
  • The Market for Mobile Adult Services
    • Figure ES1: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • Table ES1: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • Figure ES2: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by Product (Video Chat, Subscription, Download, Text) 2007-2013
    • Table ES2: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by Product (Text, Download, Subscription, Video Chat) 2007-2013
  • Key Hurdles to the Adoption of Mobile Adult Services
    • Table ES3: Hurdles to the Adoption of Mobile Adult Services

1. Cellular Market Growth

  • 1.1 Introduction
  • 1.2 Growth of the Cellular Market
    • 1.2.1 Global Cellular Subscriber Market
      • Figure 1.1: Cellular Subscriber Growth (m) by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Table 1.1: Cellular Subscriber Growth (m) by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 1.2: Cellular Subscriber Base, Market Share (%) by 2006-2013
      • Figure 1.3: Cellular Subscribers Penetration (%) by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
    • 1.2.2 Leading Mobile Operator Groups by Subscriber Base
      • Table 1.2: Leading Mobile Operator Groups by Subscriber Base (m) Q2 2008
    • 1.2.3 Growth of 3G
      • Table 1.3: Global Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • Figure 1.4: Global Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
  • 1.3 Regional Cellular Market Growth
    • 1.3.1 North America
      • i. Mobile Phone Penetration
      • ii. US Market Structure
      • iii. 3G Adoption
        • Figure 1.5: North American Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
        • Table 1.4: North American Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
    • 1.3.2 South America
      • i. Diverse Region
      • ii. Mobile Penetration Rates
      • iii. Dominant Technology
      • iv. Players in Region
        • Figure 1.6: South American Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G,3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • v. 3G Deployments
        • Table 1.5: South American Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
    • 1.3.3 Western Europe
      • i. Mobile Penetration
        • Figure 1.7: Western Europe Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G,3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • ii. Market Structure
      • iii. 3G Penetration
        • Table 1.6: Western Europe Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
    • 1.3.4 Eastern Europe
      • i. Mobile Penetration
        • Figure 1.8: Eastern Europe Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
        • Table 1.7: Eastern Europe Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • ii. 3G Penetration
    • 1.3.5 Far East & China
      • i. Mobile Penetration
      • ii. 3G Services
        • Figure 1.9: Far East & China Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G,3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
        • Table 1.8: Far East & China Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
    • 1.3.6 Indian Sub Continent
      • i. Mobile Penetration
        • Figure 1.10: Indian Sub Continent Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • ii. 3G Services
        • Table 1.9: Indian Sub Continent Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
    • 1.3.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
      • i. Mobile Penetration
        • Figure 1.11: Rest of Asia Pacific Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • ii. 3G Adoption
        • Table 1.10: Rest of Asia Pacific Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
    • 1.3.8 Africa & Middle East
      • i. Market Background
      • ii. Mobile Penetration
        • Figure 1.12: Africa & Middle East Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • iii. Players
      • iv. ARPU
        • Table 1.11: Africa & Middle East Cellular Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2008-2013
      • v. 3G Adoption
  • 1.4 The Opportunity for Mobile Entertainment
    • Figure 1.13: Monthly Voice ARPU ($), Selected Countries (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, UK, US), 2003-2007
  • 1.5 The Opportunity for Adult Content
    • 1.5.1 Human Nature
    • 1.5.2 Return on Investment
    • 1.5.3 Convenience
    • 1.5.4 Privacy
    • 1.5.5 High Device Penetration
    • 1.5.6 3G Technology
    • 1.5.7 Mobile Internet Adoption is Increasing
    • 1.5.8 Digital Distribution Is Increasing
    • 1.5.9 Handset UIs Have Improved Dramatically
    • 1.5.10 Operator Attitudes Have Changed (Some Markets)
    • 1.5.11 Developing D2C Models

2. Mobile Adult Market Development

  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Types of Adult Content for Mobiles
    • 2.2.1 Text-based Adult Services
    • 2.2.2 Images
    • 2.2.3 Moantones
    • 2.2.4 Erotic Games
    • 2.2.5 Video-Based Services
  • 2.3 Mobile Adult Content: Value Chain
    • Figure 2.1: Value Chain of Mobile Adult Content
  • 2.4 Players in the Mobile Adult Content Market
    • 2.4.1 Content Providers and Publishers
      • i. Beate Uhse AG
      • ii. Hustler
      • iii. mGlamour/Mobilefone Media
      • iv. Penthouse
      • v. Pink Visual
      • vi. Playboy
      • vii. Princess Productions
      • viii. Private
      • ix. Vivid Entertainment Group
    • 2.4.2 Distributors, Aggregators, Application Service Providers, and Full Service Providers
      • i. 3OOOH/Enquire
      • ii. Brickhouse Mobile
      • iii. Buongiorno/Blinko!
        • a. Company Background
        • b. Products and Services
      • iv. BustBox Media
      • v. Cherrysauce
      • vi. DisplayBoy/Carmunity
      • vii. Hotfon/Playfon
      • viii. Jamba/Jamster
      • ix. Lechill Mobile
      • x. Melon Mobile
      • xi. MP Media
      • xii. MidniteMonkey
      • xiii. Minick
      • xiv. PhoneBox Entertainment
      • xv. Red Circle
      • xvi. Respond Mobile
      • xvii. Sexobile.com
      • xviii. Sport Media Group
      • xix. Waat Media
        • a. Company Background
        • b. Products and Services
      • xx. Xobile
    • 2.4.3 Other Enablers
      • i. Bango
        • a. Company Background
        • b. Products and Services
          • Figure 2.2: Co-existence of On and Off-Portal Models
            • Bango Analytics
      • ii. FoneStarz
        • Figure 2.3: Daius Delivery Platform
      • iii. CC Media Network
      • iv. Stealthnet
    • 2.4.4 Operators
      • Table: 2.1 Operator/Third-Party Adult Platform Management
      • i. Case Study - O2 69000
    • 2.4.5 Vendors
      • i. The Impact of the iPhone
  • Figure 2.2: Co-exist2.5 Billing for Mobile Adult Content
    • 2.5.1 Billing Models
      • i. SMS-based Billing
      • ii. Credit Card Billing
      • iii. IVR-based Billing
      • iv. Operator Billing
      • v. WAP Billing
        • a. Payforit
    • 2.5.2 Business Models

3. Hurdles

  • 3.1 Public Reservation to Adult Content Usage
  • 3.2 Understanding the Consumer
    • 3.2.1 Expanding the Demographic
  • 3.3 Localisation
  • 3.4 The User Interface
    • 3.4.1 Difficulty in Discovering Services and Content
    • 3.4.2 Difficulty In Accessing Services and Content
    • 3.4.3 Difficulty in Navigating Services and Content
    • 3.4.4 Difficulty in Utilising Multiple Applications Simultaneously
  • 3.5 Network Speed and Coverage
  • 3.6 Age Verification (End-User)
  • 3.7 Age Verification (Model)
    • 3.7.1 HR2257
  • 3.8 Service Pricing
  • 3.9 Cost of Data Services
    • Table 3.1: UK Operator Data Prices ($), June 2008
  • 3.10 Industry Structure
  • 3.11 Spam - Public Annoyance
  • 3.12 Handset Limitations
    • Table 3.2: High-End Handset Specification Comparison
  • 3.13 Much Adult Content is Freely Available

4. Regulation

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 National Legislation and Self-Regulation
    • 4.2.1 North America
      • i. Canada
      • ii. US
        • a. Introduction
        • b. gNipplegateh and its Implications for the Mobile Market
        • c. 18 USC 2257
        • d. CTIA Wireless Content Guidelines
        • e. Other US Mobile Content Regulation
    • 4.2.2 Europe
      • i. Pan European Activities
        • a. The EU Mobile Sweep
        • b. Human Rights Act
      • ii. France
      • iii. Germany
      • iv. Italy
      • v. Spain
      • vi. Switzerland
      • vii. UK
        • a. Mobile Content Regulation in the UK
          • UK Operator Self Regulation Approach
          • Independent Mobile Classification Body (IMCB)
          • British Board of Film Classification (BBFC)
          • PhonepayPlus
    • 4.2.3 Asia-Pacific
      • i. Australia
      • ii. Cambodia
      • iii. China
      • iv. India
      • v. Indonesia
      • vi. Japan
      • vii. South Korea
    • 4.2.4 Africa & Middle East
      • i. South Africa
        • a. ICASA
        • b. FPB (Film and Publications Board)
        • a. Wireless Application Service Providers' Association (WASPA) of South Africa

5. Mobile Adult Content Market Forecasts

  • 5.1 Market Overview
  • 5.2 Forecast Methodology
    • Figure 5.1: Mobile Adult Content Forecast Methodology
  • 5.3 The Market for Adult Text-Based Mobile Content
    • 5.3.1 Mobile Adult Text-Based Content Users
      • Table 5.1: % Mobile Phone Users Who Use Text-Based Mobile Adult Content by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 5.2 Mobile Phone Users Who Download Adult Text-Based Mobile Content (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.2: Mobile Phone Users Who Download Adult Text-Based Mobile Content (m) by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
    • 5.3.2 Mobile Adult Text-Based Download Traffic
      • Figure 5.3: Average Number of Uses of Adult Text-Based Service by Mobile Users per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.3: Average Number of Uses of Adult Text-Based Services by Mobile Users per Year. Regional Forecast 2007-2013
      • Figure 5.4: Total Number of Uses of Adult Text-Based Services (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 5.4: Total Number of Uses of Adult Text-Based Services (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 5.3.3 Adult Text-Based Mobile Service Revenues
      • Table 5.5: Average Price ($) Paid per Adult Text-Based Mobile Download by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 5.5: Total Revenues from Adult Text-Based Mobile Content ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.6: Total Revenues from Adult Text-Based Mobile Content ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 5.3.4 Adult Text-Based Mobile ARPU
      • Figure 5.6: Monthly ARPU for Adult Text-Based Mobile Services ($) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 5.7: ARPU for Adult Text-Based Mobile Content ($) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
  • 5.4 The Market for Mobile Adult Downloads
    • 5.4.1 Mobile Adult Download Users
      • Table 5.8: % Mobile Phone Users Who Download Adult Content (m) by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 5.7: Mobile Phone Users Who Download Adult Content (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 5.9: Mobile Phone Users Who Download Adult Content (m) by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
    • 5.4.2 Mobile Adult Download Volumes
      • Figure 5.8: Average Number of Adult Downloads by Mobile Users per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.10: Average Number of Adult Downloads by Mobile Users per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 5.9: Total Number of Adult Downloads by Mobile User per Year (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.11: Total Number of Adult Graphics & Tones Downloads by Mobile Users per Year (m) by 8 Key Region 2007-2013
    • 5.4.3 Mobile Adult Download Revenues
      • Table 5.12: Average Price ($) Paid per Mobile Adult Download by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Figure 5.10: Total Revenues from Adult Downloads ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.13: Total Revenues from Adult Downloads ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 5.4.4 Mobile Adult Download Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 5.11: Monthly ARPU for Adult Downloads ($) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.14: Monthly ARPU for Adult Downloads ($) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
  • 5.5 The Market for Subscription-Based Adult Mobile Content
    • 5.5.1 Mobile Adult Subscribers
      • Table 5.15: % of Mobile Phone Users Who Subscribe to Adult Content Services by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 5.12: Mobile Phone Users Who Subscribe to Mobile Adult Content (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.16: Mobile Phone Users Who Subscribe to Mobile Adult Content (m) by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
    • 5.5.2 The Number of Mobile Adult Subscriptions
      • Figure 5.13: Average Number of Subscription Transactions by Adult Mobile Users per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.17: Average Number of Subscription Transactions by Adult Mobile Users per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 5.14: Total Number of Adult Subscriptions by Mobile Users (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.18: Total Number of Adult Subscriptions by Mobile Users (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 5.5.3 Mobile Adult Subscription Revenues
      • Table 5.19: Average Price ($) Paid for Mobile Adult Subscription by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Figure 5.15: Total Revenues from Mobile Adult Subscriptions ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 5.20: Total Revenues from Mobile Adult Subscriptions ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 5.5.4 Mobile Adult Subscription Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 5.16: ARPU for Mobile Adult Subscriptions ($) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.21: ARPU for Mobile Adult Subscriptions ($) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
  • 5.6 The Market for Adult Video Chat Services
    • 5.6.1 Users of Mobile Adult Video Chat Services
      • Table 5.22: % of Mobile Phone Users Who Subscribe to Adult Content Services by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 5.17 Mobile Phone Users Who Use Adult Video Chat (m) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 5.23: Mobile Phone Users Who Use Adult Video Chat (m) by 8 Key Regions 2006- 2013
    • 5.6.2 Mobile Video Chat Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 5.18: Monthly ARPU for Adult Video Chat Services by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.24: Monthly ARPU for Adult Video Chat Services by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 5.6.3 Mobile Adult Video Chat Revenues
      • Figure 5.19: Total Revenues from Mobile Adult Video Chat ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 5.25: Total Revenues from Mobile Adult Video Chat ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
  • 5.7 The Total Market for Adult Mobile Content
    • 5.7.1 Consolidated Product Forecasts
      • Figure 5.20: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by Product (Text, Download, Subscription, Video Chat) 2007-2013
      • Table 5.26: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by Product (Text, Download, Subscription, Video Chat) 2007-2013
      • Figure 5.21: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 5.27: Total Revenues from Adult Mobile Services ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 5.22: Reconciliation of Total Mobile Adult Service Revenues ($m) from Editions 3, Edition 4 and Edition 5

6. Recommendations

  • 6.1 Recommendations for Operators
  • 6.2 Recommendations for Service Providers
  • 6.3 Recommendations for Regulators

7. Technology

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 2G
    • 7.2.1 Communication Technologies of 2G
      • i. GSM
      • ii. TDMA
      • iii. CDMA
      • iv. D-AMPS
    • 7.2.2 Data Services
      • i. SMS .
        • a. The Working of SMS
          • Figure 7.1: SMS Message Flow
        • b. Types of Messaging Services
          • Mobile-originated SMS
          • Mobile-terminated SMS
        • c. Premium-rate SMS (PRSMS)
  • 7.3 2.5 & 2.75G
    • 7.3.1 Communication Technologies of 2.5/2.75G
      • i. GPRS
      • ii. EDGE
      • iii. CDMA2000
    • 7.3.2 Data Services
      • i. MMS
        • a. How Does MMS Work?
          • Figure 7.2: MMS Application Services
        • b. MMS Services
          • MMS Entertainment and Information Services
          • Figure 7.3: Nokia' s 6280 3G Handset Supporting Video Streaming
        • c. Personalisation
    • 7.3.3 The SMS/MMS Value Chain
  • 7.4 3G
    • Figure 7.4: 3G Access Technologies
    • Figure 7.5: Percentage of Mobile Users Who Own 3G Devices, December 2007 (Selected Countries)
    • Figure 7.6: Global 3G Subscriber Base, December 2007 (255.7 million users)
    • 7.4.1 UMTS
      • Figure 7.7: Evolution of UMTS
      • i. WCDMA
      • ii. EV-DO
      • iii. TD-SCDMA
  • 7.5 Beyond 3G
    • 7.5.1 HSPA
    • 7.5.2 3GLTE
    • 7.5.3 CDMA2000 1x EV-DO Revisions A and B
    • 7.5.4 UMB
    • 7.5.5 Mobile WiMAX 802.16e-2005
      • Figure 7.8: WiMAX Timeline
  • 7.6 Mobile Technologies Compared
    • Table 7.1: Comparative Chart of Mobile Technologies
  • 7.7 Other Enabling Technologies
    • 7.7.1 Wireless Internet Technologies
      • i. WAP
        • a. The Development of WAP
        • b. The Future of WAP - Where is WAP Heading?
          • Figure 7.9: Future Path of WAP
      • ii. The i-mode Alternative
        • Figure 7.10: NTT DoCoMo, i-mode Subscriber Growth (m) and i-mode Penetration of Total User Base (%) 2000-Q2 2008
      • iii. Dotmobi
    • 7.7.2 Languages, Platforms and Operating Systems
      • i. Languages
        • a. Java
      • ii. Platforms
        • a. J2ME
        • b. BREW
      • iii. Operating Systems
        • a. Palm OS
        • b. Symbian
        • c. Windows Mobile
        • d. Android
    • 7.7.3 Other Relevant Technologies and Standards
      • i. MP3
        • Figure 7.11: MP3 Phones: Nokia N91 and Sony Ericsson K800
      • ii. MP4
      • iii. MIDI
      • iv. Bluetooth
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