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Market Research Report

Mobile Music - Videos, Streamed, Full Tracks, Ringbacks, Ringtones & Downturn Analysis 2009-2013 (Fifth edition)

Published by Juniper Research Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2009/03 Content info 157 pages
Product code JP82684
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Description TOC

Table of Contents

Glossary of Terms

Executive Summary

  • Introduction
  • Types of Mobile Music
  • The Market for Mobile Music Services
    • Figure ES1: Total End-user Generated Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music (Ringtones, Ringback Tones, Paid-for Full Tracks, Subscription-based Full Track/Streamed Music Services and Music Videos) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • Table ES1: Total End-user Generated Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music (Ringtones, Ringback Tones, Paid-for Full Tracks, Subscription-based Full Track/Streamed Music Services and Music Videos) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • Figure ES2: Total End-user Generated Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music (Ringtones, Ringback Tones, Paid-for Full Tracks, Subscription-based Full Track/Streamed Music Services and Music Videos) by Product 2007-2013
    • Table ES2: Total End-user Generated Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music (Ringtones, Ringback Tones, Paid-for Full Tracks, Subscription-based Full Track/Streamed Music Services and Music Videos) by Product 2007-2013
  • Key Hurdles to the Adoption of Mobile Music Services
    • Table ES3: Hurdles to the Adoption of Mobile Music Services
  • Recommendations
    • Recommendations for Operators
    • Recommendations for Vendors
    • Recommendations for Aggregators
    • Recommendations for Publishers

1. Mobile Music Market Development

  • 1.1 The Opportunity for Mobile Music
    • 1.1.1 DRM Issues are Being Resolved
    • 1.1.2 Digital is the Preferred Mode of Purchase
    • 1.1.3 Ubiquity
    • 1.1.4 Proven Demand for Personal Mobile Music Enjoyment
    • 1.1.5 Low Level of Penetration of Full Track Music Services
    • 1.1.6 Convergent Services are Increasingly Desirable
    • 1.1.7 Data Charges Are Being Reduced
    • 1.1.8 Technological Advances - Networks
    • 1.1.9 Technological Ad
    • 1.1.10 The iPhone Has Arrived
    • 1.1.11 Vendors are Embedding Music Content within the Handset
    • 1.1.12 Growth of Social Networking is Encouraging Service Adoption
  • 1.2 Mobile Music Definition
  • 1.3 Ringtones
    • 1.3.1 Realtones
      • ii. Pan European Operator Services
    • 1.3.2 Video Ringtones
    • 1.3.3 Karaoke Ringtones
  • 1.4 RingbackTones
  • 1.5 Full Track Downloads
    • 1.5.1 Historical Background
      • i. Factors Influencing The Introduction of Full Track Downloads
      • ii. Operators Partnering with Major Entertainment Brands
    • 1.5.2 Delivery of Full Track Mobile Music
      • i. Streaming
      • ii. Downloading
        • a. MMF Guidelines on Downloading Music Content
          • Authentication
          • Subscription
          • Payment
          • Transfer of Rights
          • Music Selection and Transfer
          • Verification and Activation of the Music
      • iii. Sideloading Music
      • iv. Embedded Music
  • 1.6 Music Video Download Service
  • 1.7 Value Chain/Value Web of Mobile Music Services
    • Figure 1.1 Traditional Mobile Music Value Chain
    • Figure 1.2: Mobile Music Value Chain
  • 1.8 Business Models
    • 1.8.1 Pay-Per-Download
      • Table 1.1: Polyphonic Ringtone, Realtone and Full track Download Prices ($), Selected Operators and Markets
    • 1.8.2 Subscription/Rental Models
    • 1.8.3 Mobile Advertising
      • i. Advertising in Mobile Content
      • ii. Advertising in Mobile Music
        • a. Deployments of Ad-Funded Mobile Music Services
        • b. Prospects for Ad-funded Mobile Music Services
        • a. Strengths
        • b. Weaknesses
        • c. Opportunities
        • d. Threats
  • 1.9 Billing for Mobile Music Services
    • 1.9.1 Billing Models
      • i. SMS-based Billing
        • a. Standard SMS Payment Model
        • b. Premium SMS Payment Model
      • ii. SMS MT Reverse Billing
      • iii. Premium Rate SMS (PRSMS)
      • iv. Premium Rate MMS (PRMMS)
      • v. WAP Billing
        • a. Payforit
      • vi. Prepaid and Postpaid Billing

2. Forecasts

  • 2.1 Forecast Definitions and Methodology
    • 2.1.1 Forecast Definitions
    • 2.1.2 Forecast Methodology
      • Figure: 2.1 Forecast Methodology
  • 2.2 Ringtone Market Forecasts
    • 2.2.1 Ringtone Market Characteristics
    • 2.2.2 Ringtone Users
      • Table 2.1: Mobile Users (%) Who Download Ringtones by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 2.2: Mobile Users (m) Who Download Ringtones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.2: Mobile Users (m) Who Download Ringtones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.2.3 Ringtone Traffic
      • Figure 2.3 Average Number of Ringtones Downloaded per User per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.3: Average Number of Ringtones Downloaded per User per Year by 8 Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.4: Total Number of Ringtones Downloaded per Year(m) by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2103
      • Table 2.4: Total Number of Ringtones Downloaded per Year(m) by 8 Key Regions 20072013
    • 2.2.4 Mobile Ringtone Revenues
      • Table 2.5: Average Price ($) Paid Per Ringtone by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.5: Total Revenues ($m) from Mobile Ringtones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.6: Total Revenues ($m) from Mobile Ringtones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.2.5 Mobile Ringtone Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 2.6: ARPU ($) for Mobile Ringtones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.7: ARPU ($) for Mobile Ringtones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
  • 2.3 RingbackTone Market
    • 2.3.1 Ringback Tone Users
      • Table 2.8: Mobile Users (%) Who Use Ringback Tones by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 2.7: Mobile Users (m) Who Use Ringback Tones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.9: Mobile Users (m) Who Use Ringback Tones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.3.2 Ringback Tone Usage Levels
      • Figure 2.8: Average Number of Ringback Tone Monthly Subscriptions per User per Year 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.10: Average Number of Ringback Tone Monthly Subscriptions per User per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.9: Total Number of Ringback Tone Monthly Subscriptions per Year(m) by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.11: Total Number of Ringback Tone Monthly Subscriptions per Year(m) by Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.3.3 Ringback Tone Revenues
      • Table 2.12: Average Price ($) Paid Per Monthly Ringback Tone Subscription by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.10: Total Revenues ($m) from Ringback Tone Subscriptions by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.13: Total Revenues ($m) from Ringback Tone Subscriptions by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.3.4 Ringback Tone Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 2.11: Monthly ARPU ($) for Ringback Tones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.14: Monthly ARPU ($) for Ringback Tones by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
  • 2.4 OTA Full Track Music Downloads Market
    • 2.4.1 OTA Full Track Music Download Users
      • Table 2.15: Mobile Users (%) Who Download OTA Full Track Music by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 2.12: Mobile Users (m) Who Download OTA Full Track Music by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.16: Mobile Users (m) Who Download OTA Full Track Music by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.4.2 OTA Full Track Download Traffic
      • Figure 2.13: Average Number of OTA Full Track Music Downloads per User per Year by Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.17: Average Number of OTA Full Track Music Downloads per User per Year 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.14: Total Number (m) of OTA Full Track Music Downloads per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.18: Total Number (m) of OTA Full Track Music Downloads per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.4.3 OTA Full Track Music Download Revenues
      • Table 2.19: Average Price Paid ($) Per OTA Full Track Music Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.15: Total Revenues ($m) from OTA Full Track Music Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.20: Total Revenues ($m) from OTA Full Track Music Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.4.4 OTA Full Track Music Download Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 2.16: ARPU ($) for OTA Full Track Music Downloads by 8 Key Regions, 2007-2013
      • Table 2.21: ARPU ($) for OTA Full Track Music Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
  • 2.5 Subscription-based Rental and Streamed Services
    • 2.5.1 Subscription-based Music Service Users
      • Table 2.22: Mobile Users (%) Who Subscribe to Subscription/Streamed Music Services by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Figure 2.17: Mobile Users (m) Who Subscribe to Subscription/Streamed Music Services by 8 Key Regions 2006-2013
      • Table 2.23: Mobile Users (m) Who Subscribe to Subscription/Streamed Services by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.18: Total Users (m) of Subscription Services split by Subscriptions/Streamed Services and Paid-for-Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.24: Total Users (m) of Subscription Services split by Subscriptions/Streamed Services and Paid-for-Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.5.2 Number of Monthly Full Track/Streamed Music Subscriptions
      • Figure 2.19: Average Number of Monthly Music Subscriptions per User per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.25: Average Number of Monthly Music Subscriptions per User per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.20: Total Number (m) of Monthly Music Subscription Services per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.26: Total Number (m) of Monthly Music Subscriptions/Services per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.5.3 Mobile Music Subscription Service Revenues
      • Table 2.27: Average Price Paid ($) Per Monthly Music Subscription by 8 Key Regions, 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.21: Total Revenues ($m) from Subscriptions to Mobile Music Services by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.28: Total Revenues ($m) from Subscriptions to Mobile Music Services by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.5.4 Mobile Music Subscription Service Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 2.22: ARPU ($) for Subscriptions to Mobile Music Services by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 2.29: ARPU ($) for Subscriptions to Mobile Music Services by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
  • 2.6 Music Video Market
    • 2.6.1 Music Video Users
      • Table 2.30: Mobile Users (%) Who Subscribe to Music Videos by 8 Key Regions 2006- 2013
      • Figure 2.23: Mobile Users (m) Who Subscribe to Music Videos by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
      • Table 2.31: Mobile Users (m) Who Download Music Videos by 8 Key Regions 2007- 2013
    • 2.6.2 Number of Music Video Downloads
      • Figure 2.24: Average Number of Music Video Downloads per User per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.32: Average Number of Music Video Downloads per User per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.25: Total Number (m) of Mobile Music Video Downloads per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.33: Total Number (m) of Mobile Music Video Downloads per Year by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.6.3 Mobile Music Video Revenues
      • Table 2.34: Average Price Paid ($) Per Music Video Download by 8 Key Regions, 2007- 2013
      • Figure 2.26: Total Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music Video Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.35: Total Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music Video Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
    • 2.6.4 Mobile Music Video Monthly ARPU
      • Figure 2.27: ARPU ($) for Mobile Music Video Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.36: ARPU ($) for Subscriptions to Mobile Music Video Downloads by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
  • 2.7 Total Market for Mobile Music
    • 2.7.1 End-User Generated Revenues
      • Figure 2.28: Total End-user Generated Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music (Ringtones & Realtones, Ringback Tones, Paid-for Full Tracks, Subscription-based Full Track/Streamed Music Services and Music Videos) by Product 2007-2013
      • Table 2.37: Total End-user Generated Revenues ($m) from Mobile Music (Ringtones & Realtones, Ringback Tones, Paid-for Full Tracks, Subscription-based Full Track/Streamed Music Services and Music Videos) by Product 2007-2013
    • 2.7.2 Advertising Revenues: Best and Worst Case Scenarios
      • Figure 2.29: Total Revenues ($m) from Advertising in Mobile Music. Best Case Scenario by 8 Key Regions 2007-2013
      • Table 2.38: Total Revenues ($m) from Advertising in Mobile Music. Best Case Scenario by 8 Key Regions, 2007-2013
      • Figure 2.30: Mobile Music Adspend ($m) Market Forecast Scenario Comparison (Best Case, Median Downturn; Worst Case) 2008-2013
      • Table 2.39: Mobile Music Adspend ($m) Market Forecast Scenario Comparison (Best Case, Median Downturn; Worst Case) 2008-2013
      • Figure 2.31: Mobile Music Adspend Market Growth Rate Comparison (% ) (Best Case; Median Downturn; Worst Case) 2009-2013
      • Table 2.40: Mobile Music Adspend Market Forecast Growth Rate Comparison (% ) (Best Case; Median Downturn; Worst Case) 2009-2013

3. Recommendations

  • 3.1 Recommendations for Operators
  • 3.2 Recommendations for Vendors
  • 3.3 Recommendations for Aggregators
  • 3.4 Recommendations for Publishers

4. Hurdles

  • 4.1 Macro Economic Issues
  • 4.2 The User Interface
    • 4.2.1 Difficulty in Discovering Services and Content
      • i. Awareness is Key
      • ii. Increased Awareness During 2008
    • 4.2.2 Difficulty in Accessing Services and Content
      • 1. Historical Time to Content
      • ii. Improvements in Time to Content in 2008
    • 4.2.3 Difficulty in Navigating Services and Content
    • 4.2.4 Difficulty in Utilising Multiple Applications Simultaneously
  • 4.3 Handset Form , Capabilities
    • 4.3.1 Form Factor
    • 4.3.2 Capacity
    • 4.3.3 Battery Life
  • 4.4 Network Speed and Coverage
    • 4.4.1 Opportunities Provided by Upgrade to 3.5G and Beyond
  • 4.5 Service Pricing
    • 4.5.1 Download Prices
      • Table 4.1: Cost of Ringtones, Full Tracks and Ringtone/Full Track Premiums of Selected Operators
      • i. How Price Points Have Been Sustained
    • 4.5.2 Subscription Services
  • 4.6 Cost of Data Services
    • Table 4.2: UK Operator Data Prices ($), 2008
  • 4.7 User Confidence
    • 4.7.1 Ringtones
    • 4.7.2 Full track Download
  • 4.8 Rights Management
  • 4.9 Industry Structure
  • 4.10 Localisation

5. Regulation and Controls

  • 5.1 Regulations for Mobile Music
    • 5.1.1 Anti-piracy Regulations
      • i. International Federation of the Phonographic Industry (IFPI)
      • ii. Australasian Performing Rights Association (APRA)
      • iii. Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA)
        • a. Music Compensation Agreement with N SAI & SGA
      • iv. Case Study: TRIPS Consultation
    • 5.1.2 Copyrights Acts
      • i. Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988
      • ii. US Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA)
      • iii. European Commission - Collective Cross-border Management of Copyright and Rights for Legitimate Online Music Services (2005/737/EC)
    • 5.1.3 Digital Rights Management
      • i. Open Mobile Alliance (O MA)
        • a. OMA-DRM
      • ii. Case Study: The French Anti-piracy Law 2006
  • 5.2 Other Regulations - Mobile Content
    • 5.2.1 Self Regulation - The Operators' Approach
      • i. Independent Mobile Classification Body (IMCB)
      • ii. Internet Content Rating Association (ICRA)
    • 5.2.2 PhonepayPlus
      • i. Significant Fines Levied by PhonepayPlus to December 2008
      • ii. Review of Mobile Premium Services
    • 5.2.3 OFCOM
    • 5.2.4 CTIA
    • 5.2.5 Pan-European Legislation
      • i. Processing Personal Data and the Protection of Privacy Directive 95/46/EC
      • ii. The E-Commerce Sector Data Protection Directive (2002/58/EC)
      • iii. The Distance Selling Directive (97/7/EC)
      • iv. The E-money Directive

6. Players in Mobile Music Services

  • 6.1 Content Providers: the Major Labels
    • 6.1.1 EMI Music
    • 6.1.2 Sony BMG
    • 6.1.3 Universal Music Group
      • i. D2C Offerings
    • 6.1.4 Warner Music Group
  • 6.2 Selected Operators
    • 6.2.1 ‘3' UK
    • 6.2.2 Bharti Airtel
    • 6.2.3 China Mobile
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Products and Services
    • 6.2.4 KDDI
    • 6.2.5 O2 (Telefonica Europe)
    • 6.2.6 SK Telecom
    • 6.2.7 Sprint Nextel
    • 6.2.8 Telenor
    • 6.2.9 T-Mobile
    • 6.2.10 Verizon Wireless
    • 6.2.11 Vodafone
  • 6.3 Aggregators
    • 6.3.1 Buongiorno/Blinko!
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Products and Services
    • 6.3.2 Hurray Holding
    • 6.3.3 Jamba/Jamster
    • 6.3.4 Myxer
  • 6.4 Vendors
    • 6.4.1 Apple
      • i. Company Background
        • a. Recent Financial Performance
          • Table 6.1: Apple Revenue and Net Income Growth 2003-2008 ($m, FYE September 30)
      • ii. Products and Services
        • a. iPhone
          • Figure 6.1: Apple iPhone
        • b. iPhone 3G
      • iii. Partners and Clients
      • iv. Corporate Strategy
    • 6.4.2 Motorola
      • i. Handsets: SLVRs, RO KRs and RAZRs
      • ii. iRadio
      • iii. MotoMusic
    • 6.4.3 Nokia
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Corporate Structure
      • iii. Products and Services
        • a. Nokia N series
          • Figure 6.2: Nokia N79 and N85
      • ii. Nokia X press Music
        • Figure 6.3: Nokia 5800X press Music
      • iii. Visual Radio
      • iv. Nokia Music Store
      • v. Comes With Music
    • 6.4.4 Sony Ericsson
      • i. Sony Ericsson Walkman Range
        • Figure 6.4: Sony Ericsson W 902 Walkman
      • ii. Play Now plus
  • 6.5 Applications Providers
    • 6.5.1 Live Wire Mobile (Groove Mobile)
    • 6.5.2 Musiwave
    • 6.5.3 Napster
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Products and Services
    • 6.5.4 Omnifone
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Products and Services
    • 6.5.5 Oxy Systems (phling!)
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Products and Services
    • 6.5.6 Real Networks
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Products and Services
        • a. RBTs and Related Services
        • b. Streamed Services
    • 6.5.7 Shazam
      • i. Company Background
  • 6.6 Billing Providers
    • 6.6.1 Bango
      • i. Company Background
      • ii. Products and Services
        • Figure 6.5: Co-existence of O n and Off-Portal Models
        • a. Bango Analytics
    • 6.6.2 mBlox
      • i. Company Background
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