The Military Airlift Market 2009-2019

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Airlift is a Key Part of Airpower

• 2.1 Advantages of Airlift
• 2.2 Disadvantages of Airlift
• 2.3 Types of Airlift
  • 2.3.1 Fixed-Wing Airlifters
    • 2.3.1.1. Strategic Transports
    • 2.3.1.2 Strategic Tanker-Transports
    • 2.3.1.3 Tactical Transports
    • 2.3.1.4 Light Transports
  • 2.3.2 Rotary Airlifters
    • 2.3.2.1 Heavy-Lift Cargo
    • 2.3.2.2 Medium-Lift Utility/Cargo
    • 2.3.2.3 Light-Lift Utility

3. Airlift Trends

• 3.1 Strategic Transports
  • 3.1.1 C-17
  • 3.1.2 A400M
  • 3.1.3 Il-76
  • 3.1.4 An-124
  • 3.1.5 C-5M
  • 3.1.6 KC-X
  • 3.1.7 A330 MRTT
  • 3.1.8 KC-767
  • 3.1.9 Il-78
• 3.2 Tactical and Light Transports
  • 3.2.1 C-130
  • 3.2.2 An-12, Y-8
  • 3.2.3 C-27J, C-295, An-32
  • 3.2.4 M28 Skytruck, C212
• 3.3 Cargo Helicopters
  • 3.3.1 CH-47
  • 3.3.2 CH-53
  • 3.3.3 Mi-26
• 3.4 Utility Helicopters
  • 3.4.1 AW101 vs. S-92
  • 3.4.2 Black Hawk
  • 3.4.3 Mi-17
  • 3.4.4 NH90
  • 3.4.5 Cougar
  • 3.4.6 V-22
  • 3.4.7 AW149, UH-1Y
  • 3.4.8 Lynx, Dhruv
  • 3.4.9 COTS Helicopters for Light-Lift Utility Role

4. Overview of the Military Airlift Market

• 4.1 The Market Defined
• 4.2 Early Growth, Later Drop-Off in 2009-19
  • 4.2.1 Steady Growth for Fixed-Wing Airlift, 2009-19
  • 4.2.2 Rotary Airlift Growth to Slow Down in Later Years
• 4.3 Strategic Airlift Drives Fixed-Wing Market
• 4.4 Medium-Lift Dominant in Rotary Airlift Market
• 4.5 US and Europe Lead Airlift Programmes

5. Leading Markets in Military Airlift

• 5.1 US
  • 5.1.1 Forecast for the US Airlift Market
  • 5.1.2 Status of US Airlift
  • 5.1.3 Key US Airlift Programmes
• 5.2 UK
  • 5.2.1 Forecast for the UK Airlift Market
  • 5.2.2 Status of UK Airlift
  • 5.2.3 Key UK Airlift Programmes
• 5.3 Canada
  • 5.3.1 Forecast for the Canadian Airlift Market
  • 5.3.2 Status of Canadian Airlift
  • 5.3.3 Key Canadian Airlift Programmes
• 5.4 Germany
  • 5.4.1 Forecast for the German Airlift Market
  • 5.4.2 Status of German Airlift
  • 5.4.3 Key German Airlift Programmes
• 5.5 Saudi Arabia
  • 5.5.1 Forecast for the Saudi Arabian Airlift Market
  • 5.5.2 Status of Saudi Arabian Airlift
  • 5.5.3 Key Saudi Arabian Airlift Programmes
• 5.6 France
  • 5.6.1 Forecast for the French Airlift Market
  • 5.6.2 Status of French Airlift
  • 5.6.3 Key French Airlift Programmes
• 5.7 Australia
  • 5.7.1 Forecast for the Australian Airlift Market
  • 5.7.2 Status of Australian Airlift
  • 5.7.3 Key Australian Airlift Programmes
• 5.8 Japan
  • 5.8.1 Forecast for the Japanese Airlift Market
  • 5.8.2 Status of Japanese Airlift
  • 5.8.3 Key Japanese Airlift Programmes
• 5.9 India
  • 5.9.1 Forecast for the Indian Airlift Market
  • 5.9.2 Status of Indian Airlift
  • 5.9.3 Key Indian Airlift Programmes
• 5.10 China
  • 5.10.1 Forecast for the Chinese Airlift Market
  • 5.10.2 Status of Chinese Airlift
  • 5.10.3 Key Chinese Airlift Programmes
• 5.11 Italy
  • 5.11.1 Forecast for the Italian Airlift Market
  • 5.11.2 Status of Italian Airlift
  • 5.11.3 Key Italian Airlift Programmes
• 5.12 Brazil
  • 5.12.1 Forecast for the Brazilian Airlift Market
  • 5.12.2 Status of Brazilian Airlift
  • 5.12.3 Key Brazilian Airlift Programmes
• 5.13 Russia
  • 5.13.1 Forecast for the Russian Airlift Market
  • 5.13.2 Status of Russian Airlift
  • 5.13.3 Key Russian Airlift Programmes
• 5.14 South Korea
  • 5.14.1 Forecast for the South Korean Airlift Market
  • 5.14.2 Status of South Korean Airlift
  • 5.14.3 Key South Korean Airlift Programmes
• 5.15 Spain
  • 5.15.1 Forecast for the Spanish Airlift Market
  • 5.15.2 Status of Spanish Airlift
  • 5.15.3 Key Spanish Airlift Programmes

6. Factors Affecting the Military Airlift Market

• 6.1 Strengths of the Airlift Market
  • 6.1.1 Demand Persists for Airlift, which is Seen as a Key Part of Airpower
  • 6.1.2 Many Airlift Programmes were Started Before the Global Recession
  • 6.1.3 Larger, Heavier Vehicles will Spur a Demand for Larger, Newer Airlift Assets
  • 6.1.4 Revisions of Established Designs have Cut Costs for Developing New Aircraft
• 6.2 Weaknesses of The Military Airlift Market
  • 6.2.1 Transport Aircraft are Costly to Acquire and Operate, Forcing Some Countries to Downscale
  • 6.2.2 New Aircraft Development Takes Time and May Not be Financially Viable for Some Companies
  • 6.2.3 Aerospace Companies' Problems in the Commercial Front may Adversely Affect their Military-Related Projects
  • 6.2.4 A Sufficient Number of Orders are Needed to Keep a Product Viable
• 6.3 Opportunities in the Military Airlift Market
  • 6.3.1 There is Strong Demand for Developing a Strategic Airlift Capability
  • 6.3.2 Many Transport Aircraft Nearing the End of their Expected Service Lives
  • 6.3.3 Ground Forces to Acquire Larger, Heavier Vehicles, which Require Larger Transport Aircraft
  • 6.3.4 Upgrading Established Designs Allow Some Companies to Quickly Put a More Capable Product to Market
• 6.4 Threats to the Military Airlift Market
  • 6.4.1 Fierce Competition May Cause Some Companies Not to Pursue Current Projects
  • 6.4.2 Some Countries may Look to Upgrade instead of Acquire New Airlift Assets
  • 6.4.3 Cuts in Defence Spending Due to the Recession May Affect the Acquisition of Transport Aircraft
  • 6.4.4. Delays in Aircraft Programmes May Cause Disillusionment among Partner Countries and Affect Other Projects
• 6.5 The Desire to Attain a Strategic Airlift Capability will Drive Growth of the Military Airlift Market
• 6.6 The Principal Restraints in the Military Airlift Market
• 6.7 There are Major Airlift Programmes But Growth will be Moderate

7. Expert Opinion

• 7.1 James Lovell, Head of the Air Defence Section, Defence Investment Division at NATO Headquarters
  • 7.1.1 Impact of Present Conflicts on Airlift Requirements
  • 7.1.2 Focus of NATO Plans for Fixed-Wing and Rotary Airlift
  • 7.1.3 Role of A400M
  • 7.1.4 Demand Not Strong for Light Transports
  • 7.1.5 Leasing Solutions for NATO Strategic Airlift
  • 7.1.6 Growth in the Airlift Market?
  • 7.1.7 Expectations from Suppliers
• 7.2 Mary Ann Griffiths, Corporate Communications Manager, AirTanker Services
  • 7.2.1 FSTA and the PFI
  • 7.2.2 Improving Strategic Airlift
  • 7.2.3 FSTA' s PFI - a Model for Other Countries?
  • 7.2.4 FSTA Workload
  • 7.2.5 Growth, Competition in the Airlift Market
  • 7.2.6 Challenges to the FSTA Programme
  • 7.2.7 Benefits from the FSTA Programme
  • 7.2.8 Capabilities of A330 Tanker Transports

8. Key Companies Involved in Military Airlift

• 8.1 AgustaWestland
• 8.2 AirTanker
• 8.3 Alenia Aeronautica
• 8.4 Antonov
• 8.5 Boeing
• 8.6 EADS
• 8.7 Eurocopter
• 8.8 Finmeccanica
• 8.9 Ilyushin
• 8.10 Lockheed Martin
• 8.11 NHIndustries
• 8.12 PZL Mielec
• 8.13 Ruslan SALIS
• 8.14 Sikorsky

9. Conclusions

• 9.1 Demand for Strategic Airlift Drives Market
• 9.2 US Leads Market; European Nations Also Have Major Projects
• 9.3 Recession Shadows Airlift Market But Demand Will Be Stable

List of Tables

• Table 3.1 Strategic Airlift Capability (SAC) Members
• Table 3.2 A400M Orders
• Table 4.1 World Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 4.2 World Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 4.3 World Airlift Sales Forecast by Type, 2008-19
• Table 4.4 World Airlift Sales Forecast CAGR by Type, 2008-19
• Table 4.5 World Fixed-Wing Airlift Sales Forecast by Submarket, 2008-19
• Table 4.6 World Fixed-Wing Airlift Submarkets CAGR
• Table 4.7 Fixed-Wing Airlift Sales by Submarkets: 2008, 2014, 2019
• Table 4.8 World Rotary Airlift Sales Forecast by Submarket, 2008-19
• Table 4.9 World Rotary Airlift Submarkets CAGR
• Table 4.10 Rotary Airlift Sales by Submarkets: 2008, 2014, 2019
• Table 4.11 World Military Airlift Sales and Share by Leading Markets: 2008, 2014, 2019
• Table 5.1 Leading Markets Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.2 US Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.3 US Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.4 UK Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.5 UK Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.6 Canada Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.7 Canada Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.8 Germany Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.9 Germany Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.10 Saudi Arabia Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.11 Saudi Arabia Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.12 France Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.13 France Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.14 Australia Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.15 Australia Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.16 Japan Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.17 Japan Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.18 India Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.19 India Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.20 China Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.21 China Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.22 Italy Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.23 Italy Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.24 Brazil Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.25 Brazil Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.26 Russia Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.27 Russia Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.28 South Korea Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.29 South Korea Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 5.30 Spain Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Table 5.31 Spain Military Airlift Sales CAGR
• Table 6.1 SWOT Analysis for the Military Airlift Market, 2009-19

List of Figures

• Figure 4.1 World Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 4.2 World Airlift Sales Forecast CAGR by Type, 2008-19
• Figure 4.3 Market Share of Fixed-Wing vs. Rotary, 2008
• Figure 4.4 Market Share of Fixed-Wing vs. Rotary, 2014
• Figure 4.5 Market Share of Fixed-Wing vs. Rotary, 2019
• Figure 4.6 World Fixed-Wing Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 4.7 World Rotary Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 4.8 World Fixed-Wing Airlift Sales Forecast by Submarket, 2008-19
• Figure 4.9 Fixed-Wing Airlift Submarkets: 2008
• Figure 4.10 Fixed-Wing Airlift Submarkets: 2014
• Figure 4.11 Fixed-Wing Airlift Submarkets: 2019
• Figure 4.12 World Rotary Airlift Sales Forecast by Submarket, 2008-19
• Figure 4.13 Fixed-Wing Airlift Submarkets: 2008
• Figure 4.14 Fixed-Wing Airlift Submarkets: 2014
• Figure 4.15 Fixed-Wing Airlift Submarkets: 2019
• Figure 4.16 World Military Airlift Sales Shares by Leading Market, 2008
• Figure 4.17 World Military Airlift Sales Shares by Leading Market, 2014
• Figure 4.18 World Military Airlift Sales Shares by Leading Market, 2019
• Figure 5.1 US Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.2 UK Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.3 Canada Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.4 Germany Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.5 Saudi Arabia Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.6 France Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.7 Australia Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.8 Japan Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.9 India Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.10 China Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.11 Italy Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.12 Brazil Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.13 Russia Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.14 South Korea Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19
• Figure 5.15 Spain Military Airlift Sales Forecast, 2008-19

Companies and Organisations Mentioned in this Report

• Aerospatiale-Matra
• AgustaWestland
• Airbus
• Airbus Military
• AirTanker
• Alenia
• Antonov
• Aurora Flight Sciences
• BAE Systems
• Bell
• Beriev
• Boeing
• Cobham
• Construcciones Aeronauticas SA (CASA)
• DaimlerChrysler Aerospace AG (DASA)
• EADS
• EADS CASA
• EDO Corporation
• Ejercito del Aire (Spain)
• Ejercito del Tierra (Spain)
• Eurocopter
• Finmeccanica
• General Electric
• GKN
• GKN Aerospace
• Harbin
• Helibras
• Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL)
• Ilyushin
• Irkut
• Japan Air Self-Defence Force
• Japan Ground Self-Defence Force
• Kawasaki
• Korean Aeronautics Industries (KAI)
• Lockheed Martin
• Mikoyan
• Mil Moscow Helicopter
• Ministry of Defence (MoD) (UK)
• NATO Helicopter Management Agency (Nahema)
• NH Industries
• Northrop Grumman
• Onboard Systems International
• Pratt & Whitney
• PZL Mielec
• Rockwell Collins
• Rolls-Royce
• Royal Air Force (RAF) (UK)
• Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF)
• Ruslan
• Saab
• Sanmina-SCI Corporation
• Sichuan Lantian Helicopter
• Sikorsky
• Spirit AeroSystems
• Stork Fokker
• Sukhoi
• Thales UK
• Tupolev
• United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)
• US Air Force
• US Air National Guard
• US Marine Corps (USMC)
• UTC Technologies Corp
• Volga-Dnepr
• VT Group
• Yakovlev