Russian Federation Broadband and WiMAX Market Analysis and Forecasts 2006-2010 1st

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

METHODOLOGY & ASSUMPTIONS

1. OVERVIEW OF RUSSIAS TELECOM MARKET

• 1.1 TELECOM MARKET DEVELOPMENT
• 1.2 HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
• 1.3 MOBILE MARKET ANALYSIS
• 1.4 TELECOMS ARE DOMINATED BY LARGE HOLDING COMPANIES
• 1.5 MAJOR TELECOM TRENDS IN 2006-2007
• 1.6 OVERVIEW OF THE INTERNET MARKET
• 1.7 ISPS
• 1.8 BROADBAND MARKET
• 1.9 ACCESS TECHNOLOGIES
  • 1.9.1 Cable/Ethernet
  • 1.9.2 ADSL
  • 1.9.3 Mobile access
  • 1.9.4 Wi-Fi operators
  • 1.9.5 Satellite access

2. BROADBAND WIRELESS ANALYSIS

• 2.1 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF BWA IN RUSSIA
• 2.2 THE CURRENT STATE OF BWA IN RUSSIA
  • 2.2.1 Network deployments
  • 2.2.2 Network geographical distribution
  • 2.2.3 Network distribution by city
• 2.3 RUSSIAN BWA/WIMAX MARKET SIZING
• 2.4 EXPECTATIONS OF WIMAX
• 2.5 CHALLENGES IN THE RUSSIAN MARKET
• 2.6 WHAT TO EXPECT IN 2006-2007

3. REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

• 3.1 CURRENT BWA REGULATION IN RUSSIA
  • 3.1.1 2.4 GHz band
  • 3.1.2 2.5-27 GHz band
  • 3.1.3 3.5 GHz band
  • 3.1.4 5-6 GHz bands
  • 3.1.5 10.5 GHz band
  • 3.1.6 26 GHz bands
• 3.2 WIMAX REGULATION: WHAT TO EXPECT (2006-2007)
• 3.3 LICENSING OVERVIEW
  • 3.3.1 How to get a license for spectrum
  • 3.3.2 Licensing rules
• 3.4 WIMAX PLAYERS IN RUSSIA
  • 3.4.1 Vympelcom
  • 3.4.2 MTS
  • 3.4.3 Megafon
• 3.5 3G LICENSES

4. BWA/WIMAX SERVICE PROVIDERS ANALYSIS

• 4.1 BACKGROUND
• 4.2 TOP-10 RUSSIAN BWA OPERATORS
  • 4.2.1 Mediaseti
  • 4.2.2 Art Communications
  • 4.2.3 Netprovodovru (Enforta)
  • 4.2.4 Tascom
  • 4.2.5 Quantum
  • 4.2.6 Enforta
  • 4.2.7 Comstar-UTS
  • 4.2.8 MCC (Alaris brand)
  • 4.2.9 Infoseti
  • 4.2.10 Synterra/Komet

5. BWA/WIMAX VENDOR ANALYSIS

• 5.1 ALVARION
• 5.2 INFINET WIRELESS
• 5.3 ALCATEL
• 5.4 MOTOROLA
• 5.5 AIRSPAN
• 5.6 APERTO NETWORKS
• 5.7 NATEKS

6. MARKET FORECASTS 2006-2012

• 6.1 RUSSIA COUNTRY FORECASTS
• 6.2 RUSSIA REGIONAL FORECASTS

LIST OF EXHIBITS

• EXHIBIT 1 MAJOR RUSSIAN TELECOM FIRMS
• EXHIBIT 2 MAP OF RUSSIA AND SURROUNDING REGION
• EXHIBIT 3 SIZE OF RUSSIAN TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES MARKET FROM 2000 TO PRESENT
• EXHIBIT 4 RUSSIAN MOBILE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH FROM 1995 TO THE PRESENT
• EXHIBIT 5 RUSSIAN MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS IN MAJOR METROPOLITAN AREAS
• EXHIBIT 6 BREAKDOWN OF RUSSIAN TELECOM MARKET BY SERVICE
• EXHIBIT 7 INTERNET GROWTH IN RUSSIA FROM 2001 TO PRESENT - GOVERNMENT DATA
• EXHIBIT 8 INTERNET GROWTH IN RUSSIA FROM 2001 TO PRESENT - INDUSTRY DATA
• EXHIBIT 9 SALES OF PCS IN RUSSIA FROM 2002 TO PRESENT
• EXHIBIT 10 BREAKDOWN OF INTERNET USERS BY ACCESS METHOD
• EXHIBIT 11 MAJOR RUSSIAN BWA/WIMAX PROJECTS
• EXHIBIT 12 DEPLOYMENT OF RUSSIAN BWA/WIMAX NETWORKS SINCE 2002
• EXHIBIT 13 RUSSIAN DEPLOYMENT OF BWA/WIMAX NETWORKS, PERCENTAGE BY CITY SIZE32
• EXHIBIT 14 RUSSIAN DEPLOYMENT OF BWA/WIMAX NETWORKS, PERCENTAGE BY MACROREGION
• EXHIBIT 15 RUSSIAN DEPLOYMENT OF BWA/WIMAX NETWORKS, AVERAGE PER CITY SIZE
• EXHIBIT 16 VOLUME OF RUSSIAN BWA/WIMAX EQUIPMENT MARKET
• EXHIBIT 17 NUMBER OF RUSSIAN BWA/WIMAX SUBSCRIBERS FROM 1998 TO PRESENT
• EXHIBIT 18 EXAMPLES OF PRE-BWA/WIMAX NETWORKS DEPLOYED IN MAJOR RUSSIAN CITIES
• EXHIBIT 19 TOP 20 RUSSIAN REGIONS IN INCOME AND PRODUCT, PER CAPITA
• EXHIBIT 20 RUSSIAN BWA/WIMAX OPERATORS AT 35 MHZ BAND
• EXHIBIT 21 SPECTRUM ALLOCATION WITHIN THE 5 GHZ BAND
• EXHIBIT 22 MAXIMUM BWA/WIMAX TRANSMITTER POWER, BY FREQUENCY AND CITY SIZE
• EXHIBIT 23 MAXIMUM BWA/WIMAX BS AND CPE POWER, BY FREQUENCY AND CITY SIZE
• EXHIBIT 24 MAXIMUM BWA/WIMAX BS COVERAGE RADIUS, BY FREQUENCY AND CITY SIZE
• EXHIBIT 25 TOP 10 RUSSIAN BWA/WIMAX OPERATORS
• EXHIBIT 26 BWA/WIMAX PRICING PLANS OFFERED BY MEDIASETI
• EXHIBIT 27 BWA/WIMAX PRICING PLANS OFFERED BY ART COMMUNICATIONS - CORPORATE
• EXHIBIT 28 BWA/WIMAX PRICING PLANS OFFERED BY ART COMMUNICATIONS - RESIDENTIAL
• EXHIBIT 29 SERVICES OFFERED BY ART COMMUNICATIONS TO MAJOR MARKET SEGMENTS
• EXHIBIT 30 MARKET SEGMENTS FOR ART COMMUNICATIONS, BY PERCENTAGE
• EXHIBIT 31 POPULATION OF CITIES SERVED BY NETPROVODOV
• EXHIBIT 32 CITIES WITH NETPROVODOV BWA/WIMAX PRESENCE
• EXHIBIT 33 BWA/WIMAX PRICING PLANS OFFERED BY NETPROVODOV
• EXHIBIT 34 INTERNET ACCESS PRICING PLANS OFFERED BY TASCOM
• EXHIBIT 35 WIRELINE ETHERNET PRICING PLANS OFFERED BY QUANTUM
• EXHIBIT 36 REGIONS WHERE QUANTUM HOLDS LICENSES
• EXHIBIT 37 BWA/WIMAX DEPLOYMENTS PLANNED BY ENFORTA
• EXHIBIT 38 ENFORTA BWA/WIMAX CUSTOMER BASE, BY MARKET SEGMENT
• EXHIBIT 39 COMSTAR-UTS CUSTOMERS, BY SERVICE
• EXHIBIT 40 ALARIS CUSTOMERS, BY MARKET SEGMENT
• EXHIBIT 41 INFOSETI UPPER MANAGEMENT
• EXHIBIT 42 TELECOMINVEST MAJOR HOLDINGS
• EXHIBIT 43 SHARE OF DEPLOYED RUSSIAN COMMERCIAL BWA/WIMAX NETWORKS, BY VENDOR
• EXHIBIT 44 MAJOR BWA/WIMAX EQUIPMENT AVAILABLE IN RUSSIA
• EXHIBIT 45 MAJOR CORPORATE CLIENTS AND PROVIDERS OF BREEZENET
• EXHIBIT 46 MAJOR CORPORATE CLIENTS AND PROVIDERS OF BREEZEACCESS
• EXHIBIT 47 MAJOR CORPORATE CLIENTS AND PROVIDERS OF WALKAIR
• EXHIBIT 48 BWA/WIMAX NETWORKS DEPLOYED BY ALVARION, BY MARKET SEGMENT AND FREQUENCY BAND
• EXHIBIT 49 INFINET WIRELESS BWA/WIMAX COMMERCIAL DEPLOYMENT - BY REGION
• EXHIBIT 50 TOP 10 RUSSIAN CUSTOMERS OF INFINET WIRELESS
• EXHIBIT 51 AIRSPAN NETWORK DEPLOYMENT SCHEDULE
• EXHIBIT 52 APERTOS MOST SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS IN RUSSIA
• EXHIBIT 53 ANNUAL BWA/WIMAX CPE SHIPMENT FORECASTS FOR 2005-2010, IN UNITS
• EXHIBIT 54 ANNUAL BWA/WIMAX BASE STATION SHIPMENT FORECASTS FOR 2005-2010, UNITS
• EXHIBIT 55 ANNUAL BWA/WIMAX BS AND CPE SHIPMENT FORECASTS FOR 2005-2010, US DOLLARS
• EXHIBIT 56 CUMULATIVE BWA/WIMAX EQUIPMENT SALES FORECASTS, FROM 2005-2010
• EXHIBIT 57 ANNUAL BWA/WIMAX EQUIPMENT SALES FORECAST, BY FREQUENCY BAND
• EXHIBIT 58 WIMAX EQUIPMENT PENETRATION FORECAST FOR 2005-2010, AS A PERCENTAGE OF BWA SHIPMENTS
• EXHIBIT 59 ANNUAL BWA/WIMAX EQUIPMENT SHIPMENT FORECASTS, IN UNITS
• EXHIBIT 60 ANNUAL EQUIPMENT SALES FORECAST FOR BWA VERSUS WIMAX, IN US DOLLARS
• EXHIBIT 61 ACCUMULATED SUBSCRIBER FORECAST FOR BWA AND WIMAX, 2005-2010
• EXHIBIT 62 ACCUMULATED WIMAX SUBSCRIBER FORECAST, FIXED AND MOBILE
• EXHIBIT 63 MAP OF RUSSIAN REGIONS, WITH POTENTIAL BWA/WIMAX MARKET PERCENTAGE
• EXHIBIT 64 CUMULATIVE BWA SUBSCRIBER FORECAST BY REGION, 2005-2010
• EXHIBIT 65 GROSS PRODUCT FOR RUSSIAN MACROREGIONS IN 2004
• EXHIBIT 66 GROSS PRODUCT OF CENTRAL MACROREGION IN 2004
• EXHIBIT 67 GROSS PRODUCT OF NORTH-WEST MACROREGION IN 2004
• EXHIBIT 68 GROSS PRODUCT OF SOUTH MACROREGION IN 2004
• EXHIBIT 69 GROSS PRODUCT OF VOLGA MACROREGION IN 2004
• EXHIBIT 70 GROSS PRODUCT OF URAL MACROREGION IN 2004
• EXHIBIT 71 GROSS PRODUCT OF SIBERIA MACROREGION IN 2004
• EXHIBIT 72 GROSS PRODUCT OF FAR EAST MACROREGION IN 2004