Thin-Film Photovoltaics 2008 and Beyond (Revised Edition)

Table of Contents

• E.1 Thin Film Photovoltaics: The Opportunities
  • E.1.1 Applications and Markets
  • E.1.2 TFPV and Global Energy Markets
• E.2 Thin-Film Photovoltaics: The Risks
  • E.2.1 Will Silicon Abundance Hurt the TFPV Business?
  • E.2.2 How Long Will the PV Boom Last?
  • E.2.3 Political Risks
  • E.2.4 Other Concerns
• E.3 Technologies and Materials to Watch
  • E.3.1 Amorphous Silicon
  • E.3.2 CIGS
  • E.3.3 CdTe
  • E.3.4 GaAs
• E.4 Firms to Watch
• E.5 Summary of Eight-Year Market Projections
  • E.5.1 What Has Changed Since Last Year
  • E.5.2 Summary of Forecasts

• 1.1 Background to Report
  • 1.1.1 Thin-Film Photovoltaics: Lighter and Less Expensive
  • 1.1.2 Where Thin-Film Photovoltaics Fits in the Energy Market
  • 1.1.3 TFPV and Socioeconomic Factors
  • 1.1.4 Materials and Production Issues
  • 1.1.5 Productization
• 1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report
• 1.3 Methodology of this Report
• 1.4 Plan of this Report

• 2.1 Evolution and Current State of Photovoltaics Markets
• 2.2 Thin-Film Silicon
  • 2.2.1 Evolution of Manufacturing Processes for Thin-film Silicon PV
  • 2.2.2 Performance and Expected Improvements
  • 2.2.3 Silicon Inks and Nanocrystalline Silicon
  • 2.2.4 Other Forms of Silicon TFPV
  • 2.2.5 Manufacturers of Amorphous Silicon PV
• 2.3 CIS/CIGS
  • 2.3.1 Evolution of Manufacturing Processes for CIS/CIGS
  • 2.3.2 Performance and Expected Improvements
  • 2.3.3 Manufacturers of CIGS PV
• 2.4 CdTe
  • 2.4.1 Evolution of Manufacturing Processes for CdTe
  • 2.4.2 Performance and Expected Improvements
  • 2.4.3 Manufacturers of CdTe PV
• 2.5 GaAs and Other Compound Semiconductors
  • 2.5.1 Manufacturers of GaAs PV Panels

• 3.1 Introduction: Drivers for the Thin-Film PV Market
  • 3.1.1 The Basic Value Proposition of TFPV
  • 3.1.2 TFPV, Geography and Public Policy
  • 3.1.3 Ability to Create New Products
• 3.2 Large Projects and Central Generation
• 3.3 Building Integrated Systems
  • 3.3.1 Residential Systems
  • 3.3.2 Commercial and Industrial Buildings
  • 3.3.3 Roofing Systems
  • 3.3.4 FaA�˜ade Systems
  • 3.3.5 TFPV for BIPV
  • 3.3.6 TFPV and Smart Windows
• 3.4 Consumer Electronics
  • 3.4.1 PV, TF and Mobile Electronics
• 3.5 Military and Emergency Applications
• 3.6 Other Applications

• 4.1 Forecasting Methodology
  • 4.1.1 Data Sources
  • 4.1.2 Forecasting in a Hyper-Growth Market and Alternative Scenarios
  • 4.1.3 Scope of Forecast
  • 4.1.4 Other Factors Taken into Consideration in the Forecast
  • 4.1.5 How Much Confidence Should You Have in These Forecasts?
  • 4.1.6 Comparison with Previous NanoMarkets Forecasts
• 4.2 Forecasts of Thin-Film, Organic and Printable PV Markets by Applications
  • 4.2.1 Forecast of Thin-Film Share of Worldwide PV Market
• 4.3 Forecasts of Application Revenue Broken Out by Material
  • 4.3.1 a-Si
  • 4.3.2 CIS/CIGS
  • 4.3.3 CdTe
  • 4.3.4 GaAs
  • 4.3.5 Other Materials
• 4.4 Summaries of Eight-Year Thin-Film Film Market Forecasts by Materials
• 4.5 Summaries of Eight-Year Thin-Film Film Market Forecasts by Applications
• 4.6 Forecast of Printed PV Markets by Production Technology

Acronyms and Abbreviations Used in this Report

About the Author

• Exhibit E-1: Claimed Advantages of Thin-Film Approaches
• Exhibit E-1: Claimed Advantages of Thin-Film Approaches
• Exhibit E-2: Opportunities for TFPV
• Exhibit E-3: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Material ($ Million)
• Exhibit E-4: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Application ($ Million)
• Exhibit 2-1: List of Materials Used for PV
• Exhibit 2-2: Selected Firms Active in the a-Si PV Market
• Exhibit 2-3: Manufacturing Approaches Adopted by CIGS Solar Panel Firms
• Exhibit 2-4: Firms Active in the CIS/CIGS PV Market
• Exhibit 3-1: Top States Installed Grid-Connected PV
• Exhibit 3-2: Solar America Cities - 2008
• Exhibit 3-3: Selected Solar Panel Products
• Exhibit 3-4: Selected Building-Integrated Solar Products
• Exhibit 3-5: PV Technology and Applications Matrix for BIPV Products
• Exhibit 3-6: Power Consumption and Area of Typical Electronic Devices (1)
• Exhibit 3-7: Selected Portable Electronics Products (Consumer and Military)
• Exhibit 4-1: Alternative Scenarios for the Evolution of Thin-Film Photovoltaics
• Exhibit 4-2: Eight-Year Forecasts of TFPV Market Penetration
• Exhibit 4-3: Worldwide production of a-Si Photovoltaics
• Exhibit 4-4: Breakout of a-Si Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Millions)
• Exhibit 4-5: Worldwide production of CIS/CIGS Photovoltaics
• Exhibit 4-6: Breakout of CIS/CIGS Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Millions)
• Exhibit 4-7: Short-Term Expansion of CdTe TFPV Capacity
• Exhibit 4-8: Worldwide Production of CdTe Photovoltaics
• Exhibit 4-9: Breakout of CdTe Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Million)
• Exhibit 4-10: Worldwide Production of GaAs Photovoltaics
• Exhibit 4-11: Breakout of GaAs Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Million)
• Exhibit 4-12: Worldwide Production of "Other" Thin-Film Photovoltaics (Not OPV)
• Exhibit 4-13: Breakout of Other Thin Film Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Million)
• Exhibit 4-14: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Material ($ Million)
• Exhibit 4-15: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Application ($ Million)
• Exhibit 4-16: Printed PV by Material ($ Millions)
• Exhibit 4-17: Printed PV by Application ($ Millions)