MPEG4 and DVB-S2: Assessing Implementation Schedules for Advanced Video Compression and Satellite Modulation

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1 Scope
• 1.2 Forecast Methodology
• 1.3 DVB-S2 and MPEG-4 AVC (H.264) Technology and Market Trends
• 1.4 Implementation Projections

2. Market Overview

• 2.1 Report Overview and Primary Trends
• 2.2 Advanced Compression and Modulation
  • 2.2.1 Advanced Video Compression: MPEG-4 Advanced Video Coding (AVC)/H.264
  • 2.2.2 DVB Second-Generation Satellite Channel Coding: DVB-S2 LDPC
• 2.3 MPEG-4/DVB-S2 Combos and their Empowering Factor
• 2.4 Moore' s Law and Future Proofing Considerations
• 2.5 Forecast Methodology & Assumptions
  • 2.5.1 Forecast Methodology
  • 2.5.2 End Unit Shipments Forecast Methodology
  • 2.5.3 Definition of Rating Elements
  • 2.5.4 Revenue Forecast
  • 2.5.5 Forecast Model Assumptions

3. Analysis

• 3.1 Service Scenarios
  • 3.1.1 DTH and Free-to-Air Broadcasting for SD and HDTV
  • 3.1.2 Professional TV Contribution and Newsgathering
  • 3.1.3 "Headend in the Sky" (HITS) B2B Distribution
  • 3.1.4 Single-Site Satellite Broadband
  • 3.1.5 Enterprise-Class Satellite Broadband
  • 3.1.6 Multipoint Internet Trunking and Application Backhaul
  • 3.1.7 "Push" and Live Content Delivery
  • 3.1.8 Primary Distribution
• 3.2 DVB-S2 and MPEG-4 Relevant Hardware Components
  • 3.2.1 Video Encoder
  • 3.2.2 Professional Integrated Receiver-Decoder (IRD)
  • 3.2.3 Edge Processors (Transmodulation, Transcoding, Transrating)
  • 3.2.4 Satellite Modulator
  • 3.2.5 Satellite Demodulator / DVB Receiver
  • 3.2.6 Satellite Modem
  • 3.2.7 Consumer Satellite Set-Top Box
  • 3.2.8 Satellite Broadband Indoor Unit (IDU)
  • 3.2.9 Edge Receiver and Media Gateway
• 3.3 Services-to-Components Association Matrix
• 3.4 Description of Sample DVB-S2/H.264 Implementations
  • 3.4.1 DTH HDTV: DirecTV
  • 3.4.2 Satellite Free-to-Air HDTV: BBC
  • 3.4.3 Professional TV Contribution and Newsgathering: DC-Sat.Net
  • 3.4.4 IP "Headend in the Sky" (HITS): SES IP-Prime
  • 3.4.5 Cable HITS: WWIL
  • 3.4.6 Hybrid Cable HITS and DTH: Red Intercable
  • 3.4.7 Single-Site Satellite Broadband: Bentley Walker
  • 3.4.8 Multipoint Internet Trunking: Intelsat DVB-ITS
  • 3.4.9 "Push" of Audio-Visual Content: Access Integrated Technologies
• 3.5 Migration Collective Switching Costs
• 3.6 Licensing
• 3.7 Role of HDTV and New B2B Delivery Models

4. Market and Technology Trends

• 4.1 HDTV as Catalyst for MPEG-4/DVB-S2
• 4.2 Trends in Direct to Home (DTH)
  • 4.2.1 The Cable / Telco Threat
  • 4.2.2 The Set Top Box Lifecycle and the DVR Paradigm
  • 4.2.3 The OPEX-CAPEX Trade-off: Satellite Capacity vs. Set Top Box Costs
  • 4.2.4 Migration Strategies and the Role of HDTV and Premium Services
  • 4.2.5 Greenfield DTH Operators
• 4.3 Emerging Advanced Super Headend Systems
  • 4.3.1 IPTV HITS
  • 4.3.2 Cable HITS
• 4.4 Trends in Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking
  • 4.4.1 Reality Check on DVB-S2 Adaptive Code Modulation (ACM)
  • 4.4.2 ACM Compatibility with DVB-RCS and Other Broadband Satellite Systems
  • 4.4.3 VCM and Trends in Internet Trunking and Application Backhaul
• 4.5 Trends in Content Delivery: The Storage Factor
• 4.6 Trends in Contribution and SNG
• 4.7 Regional Economic Differences
• 4.8 Technology Trends
  • 4.8.1 Lifecycles and Future Proofing of DVB-S2 / MPEG-4 AVC
  • 4.8.2 DVB-S2 Efficiency and Flexibility
  • 4.8.3 Adaptive Code Modulation (ACM) and Variable Code Modulation (VCM)
  • 4.8.4 MPEG-4 AVC Compression Efficiency Roadmap
  • 4.8.5 Scaleable Video Coding (SVC) Extension and Compatibility with AVC
  • 4.8.6 Semiconductors: Processing and Storage Trends

5. Regional Analysis and Implementation Schedules

• 5.1 Global Summary
• 5.2 Global Hardware Demand Forecast
  • 5.2.1 DTH and FTA Distribution
  • 5.2.2 Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking
  • 5.2.3 HITS
  • 5.2.4 Video Distribution and Contribution
  • 5.2.5 Digital Media Distribution
• 5.3 North America
  • 5.3.1 Key Trends
  • 5.3.2 Key Players
  • 5.3.3 Service Specific Implementation Schedules
• 5.4 Latin America
  • 5.4.1 Key Trends and Players
  • 5.4.2 Service Specific Implementation Schedules
• 5.5 Europe
  • 5.5.1 Key Trends
  • 5.5.2 Key Players
  • 5.5.3 Service Specific Implementation Schedules
• 5.6 Asia
  • 5.6.1 Key Trends and Players
  • 5.6.3 Service Specific Implementation Schedules
• 5.7 Africa & Middle East
  • 5.7.1 Key Trends and Players
  • 5.7.2 Service Specific Implementation Schedules

• Ex. 2.1 Service-Related Hardware
• Ex. 2.2 HDTV Forecast Methodology
• Ex. 2.3 DTH Forecast Methodology
• Ex. 2.4 Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking Forecast Methodology
• Ex. 2.5 HITS Forecast Methodology
• Ex. 2.6 Video Distribution and Contribution Forecast Methodology
• Ex. 2.7 Digital Media Distribution Forecast Methodology
• Ex. 2.8 Rating Elements Description
• Ex. 2.9 Growth Factor Calculations
• Ex. 2.10 Assumed End Unit Prices
• Ex. 2.11 Switching Factors

• Ex. 3.1 Video Broadcast Scenarios
• Ex. 3.2 The Satellite IP Multicast Advantage
• Ex. 3.3 Sample Vendor List for DVB-S2 and MPEG-4 Hardware
• Ex. 3.4 Service-Component Association Matrix
• Ex. 3.5 DirecTV HD and SD Multi-Standard Platform
• Ex. 3.6 SES IP Prime IPTV HITS
• Ex. 3.7 WWIL Cable HITS
• Ex. 3.8 Red Intercable Dual Cable HITS / DTH Platform
• Ex. 3.9 Intelsat DVB Internet Trunking Platform
• Ex. 3.10 Access IT Digital Cinema DVB-S2 Platform
• Ex. 3.11 MPEG-4 AVC License Parts
• Ex. 3.12 Market for Video Chipsets

• Ex. 4.1 Yearly Satellite/STB Cost Comparison- MPEG-2/DVB-S vs. MPEG-4/DVB-S2
• Ex. 4.2 DVB-S2 ACM and VCM
• Ex. 4.3 DVB-S2 Performance Curves
• Ex. 4.4 DVB-S2 ACM
• Ex. 4.5 MPEG-4 AVC HD Efficiency Roadmap
• Ex. 4.6 Scaleable Video Codec

• Ex. 5.1 Global End Unit Shipments
• Ex. 5.2 Global End Unit Shipments Chart
• Ex. 5.3 Global End Unit Revenues
• Ex. 5.4 Global End Unit Revenues Chart
• Ex. 5.5 Global DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Shipments
• Ex. 5.6 Global DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Shipments Chart
• Ex. 5.7 Global DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Revenues
• Ex. 5.8 Global DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Revenues Chart
• Ex. 5.9 Global Satellite Broadband / IP Trunking End Unit Shipments
• Ex. 5.10 Global Satellite Broadband / IP Trunking End Unit Shipments Chart
• Ex. 5.11 Global Satellite Broadband / IP Trunking End Unit Revenues
• Ex. 5.12 Global Satellite Broadband / IP Trunking End Unit Revenues Chart
• Ex. 5.13 Global HITS End Unit Shipments
• Ex. 5.14 Global HITS End Unit Shipments Chart
• Ex. 5.15 Global HITS End Unit Revenues
• Ex. 5.16 Global HITS End Unit Revenues Chart
• Ex. 5.17 Global Video Distribution / Contribution Shipments
• Ex. 5.18 Global Video Distribution and Contribution Shipments Chart
• Ex. 5.19 Global Video Distribution / Contribution Revenues
• Ex. 5.20 Global Video Distribution / Contribution Revenues Chart
• Ex. 5.21 Global Digital Media Distribution Shipments
• Ex. 5.22 Global Digital Media Distribution Shipments Chart
• Ex. 5.23 Global Digital Media Distribution Revenues
• Ex. 5.24 Global Digital Media Distribution Revenues Chart
• Ex. 5.25 North America- Total DVB-S2/MPEG-4 End Unit Market
• Ex. 5.26 North America DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.27 North America Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.28 North America HITS- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.29 North America Video Distribution / Contribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.30 North America Digital Media Distribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.31 Latin America - Total DVB-S2/MPEG-4 End Unit Market
• Ex. 5.32 Latin America DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.33 Latin America Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.34 Latin America HITS- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.35 Latin America Video Distribution / Contribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.36 Europe - Total DVB-S2/MPEG-4 End Unit Market
• Ex. 5.37 Europe DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.38 Europe Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.39 Europe HITS- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.40 Europe Video Distribution / Contribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.41 Europe Digital Media Distribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.42 Asia - Total DVB-S2/MPEG-4 End Unit Market
• Ex. 5.43 Asia DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.44 Asia Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.45 Asia HITS- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.46 Asia Video Distribution / Contribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.47 Asia Digital Media Distribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.48 Africa and Middle East - Total DVB-S2/MPEG-4 End Unit Market
• Ex. 5.49 Africa and Middle East DTH and Satellite FTA- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.50 Africa and Middle East Satellite Broadband and IP Trunking- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.51 Africa and Middle East HITS- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.52 Africa and Middle East Video Distribution / Contribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues
• Ex. 5.53 Africa and Middle East Digital Media Distribution- End Unit Shipments and Revenues