Abstract
The Netherlands is one of most developed European markets in terms of
next-generation access (NGA). Although DSL competition is relatively weak,
cable modem competition is very strong and this is pushing the incumbent
operator, KPN, into an aggressive NGA deployment that will allow it to deliver
advanced triple-play offerings to its customers. By 2010, KPN plans to
complete a nationwide NGA deployment using a mix of fibre-to-the-cabinet
(FTTCab) plus VDSL and fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) technology. In turn, this
development is pushing the cable competition into action, and within a similar
timeframe, Ovum would expect the cable companies to also have upgraded their
own networks to high-speed broadband technology such as DOCSIS3.0.
The Netherlands also has a growing independent FTTx industry, largely pushed
by building corporations, local authorities and private investors. Although
relatively small today, Ovum believes the industry could cover 15 - 20% of
households in four years' time. This market is based on an ' open access
network' principle, allowing all service providers to access these networks on
an equal access basis. However, today the networks are too fragmented and
isolated to make them attractive to large national service providers. To make
this system work, the industry would either have to consolidate, or somehow
bring the networks together to create a single, standard interface for service
providers to access them.
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