Abstract
This report covers trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile,
Internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media including VoIP and IPTV
developments.
Subjects include:
- Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
- Facts, figures and statistics;
- Industry and regulatory issues;
- Infrastructure;
- Major players, revenues, subscribers, ARPU, MOU;
- Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
- Mobile voice and data markets;
- Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
- Convergence and digital media;
- Telecom market forecasts for selective years to 2019.
Key highlights:
- Approximately 40% of households enjoy fixed broadband access. DSL and
cable alone represent nearly 95% of all fixed broadband connections. The
incumbent announced plans in late 2008 to invest in FTTx infrastructure during
2009-2013 reaching 780,000 households, as well as upgrade existing cable
networks with EuroDOCSIS 3.0 technology to 380,000 households.
- Encouraging business usage of e-government services is evident, with up to
56% of businesses using e-government services to obtain information, forms and
return forms online. Recognising the potential market, the incumbent launched
a project to introduce and demonstrate Internet society applications related
to the health care, education, public administration, tourism and culture.
- A healthy digital TV market is evident; digital terrestrial TV broadcasts
based on DVB-T and DVB-H technology commenced in December 2008 and a total of
five satellite-based digital TV platforms are in service. Cable TV is widely
available, with approximately 80% of households able to access CATV networks.
The incumbent introduced a wholesale IPTV offering in June 2009; a number of
alternative operators have taken up the wholesale offer and commenced offering
competing IPTV services.
- Mobile broadband is the next growth opportunity for mobile network
operators, as mobile broadband penetration is currently at 3-5%. Mobile TV is
also a potential growth area following the launch of mobile broadcasting based
on DVB-H in December 2008.
The following notes provide some background to our scenario forecasting methodology:
- This report includes what we term scenario forecasts. By describing
long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect market growth
to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth
trend within this band.
- The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own
historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from
official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a
possible deviation of 15-20% around this data.
- All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc, are shown in US$, in order to
maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we
acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.
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