Abstract
Overview
This annual report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and
developments in Nigeria' s telecommunications market.
Subjects covered include:
- Key statistics;
- Market and industry overviews;
- Regulatory environment and structural reform;
- Major players (fixed, mobile and broadband);
- Infrastructure development;
- Mobile voice and data markets, including 3G;
- ARPU trends;
- Internet development;
- Broadband, including 3G mobile
- Convergence (voice/data, fixed/wireless/mobile).
Key highlights:
- Forecasts for fixed-line, mobile and Internet markets to 2010 and 2015;
- CDMA-based 3G networks are outpacing their GSM rivals with triple digit
growth rates;
- Profiles of major players, including financial results;
- ARPU is expected to continue falling before turning around on the back of
broadband services;
- Competition in international fibre bandwidth set to arrive in 2009 will
revolutionise the market;
- IP-based next-generation networks are enabling converged voice, data and
video services;
- Sub-Saharan Africa' s first Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) network rollout;
- Privatisation of Nitel scheduled for 2009 after three unsuccessful
attempts in the past.
The following notes provide some background to our scenario forecasting methodology:
- This report includes what we term scenario forecasts. By describing
long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect market growth
to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth
trend within this band.
- The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own
historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from
official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a
possible deviation of 15-20% around this data.
- All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc, are shown in US$, in order to
maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we
acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.
For those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on
the telecommunications sector in Nigeria, this report is essential reading
and gives further information on:
- The largest mobile market and the most competitive fixed-line market in
the region;
- Government policies affecting the telecoms industry;
- Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
- Telecoms operators - privatisation, acquisitions, financial results, new
licences;
- Internet and broadband development and growth;
- 3G mobile broadband rollouts and pricing;
- Average Revenue per User (ARPU);
- Mobile application and content developments.
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