Report: Renewable Distributed Energy Generation: Sub-Utility Scale Photovoltaics, Small Wind Power, and Fuel Cells: Market Analysis and Forecasts TOC

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Issues

2.1 Defining the Market
2.2 Photovoltaic Systems
2.3 Small Wind Systems
2.4 Fuel Cells
2.5 Energy Storage
- 2.5.1 Batteries
- 2.5.2 Compressed Air Energy Storage
- 2.5.3 Flywheels
- 2.5.4 Pumped Hydro
- 2.5.5 Supercapacitors
- 2.5.6 Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage
2.6 Greening of Conventional DEG Technologies
- 2.6.1 Microturbines
- 2.6.2 Combustion Turbines
- 2.6.3 Reciprocating Engines
2.7 Market Segmentation
- 2.7.1 Global Cumulative Electricity Capacity
- 2.7.2 Global Cumulative Renewable Electricity Capacity
- 2.7.3 Global Electricity Generation Capacity Additions
- 2.7.4 Global Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Additions
- 2.7.5 Global Distributed Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Additions
2.8 Industry Growth Drivers
- 2.8.1 Legislative, Regulatory, Incentives, and Subsidies
- 2.8.2 Improvements to Existing Technologies
- 2.8.3 Emergence of New Technologies
- 2.8.4 Cogeneration
- 2.8.5 Other Drivers
  - 2.8.5.1 Push for Energy Independence
  - 2.8.5.2 Benefits of Green Marketing
  - 2.8.5.3 Supporting Organizational Missions
2.9 Implementation Issues
- 2.9.1 Grid Interconnection
  - 2.9.1.1 Grid Integrity and Safety
  - 2.9.1.2 Grid Intelligence
    - 2.9.1.2.1 Integration with System Components
    - 2.9.1.2.2 Net Metering
    - 2.9.1.2.3 Demand-Side Management
- 2.9.2 Standards and Permitting

3. Technology Issues

3.1 Photovoltaic Systems
- 3.1.1 History
- 3.1.2 Basic Principles
- 3.1.3 Strengths and Weaknesses
- 3.1.4 Types
- 3.1.5 Market Trends
  - 3.1.5.1 Installs by Country
  - 3.1.5.2 Grid Tied vs. Off Grid
- 3.1.6 Marketability and Commercialization
  - 3.1.6.1 Cost
    - 3.1.6.1.1 Module Cost
    - 3.1.6.1.2 Economies of Scale
    - 3.1.6.1.3 Silicon Per Watt
    - 3.1.6.1.4 Silicon Supply
    - 3.1.6.1.5 PV System Installed Cost
  - 3.1.6.2 Efficiency
  - 3.1.6.3 Reliability
  - 3.1.6.4 Scalability
  - 3.1.6.5 Availability
3.2 Small Wind Systems
- 3.2.1 History
- 3.2.2. Basic Principles
- 3.2.3 Strengths and Weaknesses
- 3.2.4 Types
- 3.2.5 Market Trends
  - 3.2.5.1 Grid Tied vs. Off Grid
  - 3.2.5.2 Other Trends
- 3.2.6 Marketability and Commercialization
  - 3.2.6.1 Cost
  - 3.2.6.2 Efficiency
  - 3.2.6.3 Scalability
  - 3.2.6.5 Availability
3.3 Fuel Cells
- 3.3.1 History
- 3.3.2 Basic Principles
- 3.3.3 Strengths and Weaknesses
- 3.3.4 Types
- 3.3.5 Market Trends
- 3.3.6 Marketability and Commercialization
  - 3.3.6.1 Cost
  - 3.3.6.2 Efficiency
  - 3.3.6.3 Reliability
  - 3.3.6.4 Scalability
  - 3.3.6.5 Availability
  - 3.3.6.6 Fuel Cell Summary Comparison
3.4 RDEG Applications
- 3.4.1 Residential Off Grid
- 3.4.2 Residential Grid Tied
- 3.4.3 Residential Cogeneration
- 3.4.4 Commercial and Retail
- 3.4.5 Institutions, Schools, and Government
- 3.4.6 Farms
- 3.4.7 Community Micro Grid
- 3.4.8 Telecom Primary and Backup Power
- 3.4.9 Industrial / Large Commercial
- 3.4.10 Hybrid Systems
- 3.4.11 Application Comparison

4. Demand Drivers

4.1 Legislation, Regulations, Incentives, and Subsidies
- 4.1.1 North America
  - 4.1.1.1 United States
  - 4.1.1.2 Canada
- 4.1.2 Latin America
- 4.1.3 Europe
  - 4.1.3.1 Germany
  - 4.1.3.2 Spain
  - 4.1.3.3 Italy
  - 4.1.3.4 United Kingdom
  - 4.1.3.5 France
  - 4.1.3.6 European Union
  - 4.1.3.7 Rest of Europe
- 4.1.4 Asia Pacific
  - 4.1.4.1 China
  - 4.1.4.2 Japan
  - 4.1.4.3 India
  - 4.1.4.4 Korea
- 4.1.5 Rest of the World
4.2 Nonlegislative, Regulatory, Incentives, and Funding Drivers
- 4.2.1 Conventional Energy Demand Trends
- 4.2.2 Economics Overview
  - 4.2.2.1 Conventional Electricity Price
  - 4.2.2.2 RDEG Technology Price
- 4.2.3 Break-Even Analysis
  - 4.2.3.1 Photovoltaics
  - 4.2.3.2 Small Wind
  - 4.2.3.3 Fuel Cells

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 World Energy Generation
5.2 World Renewable Distributed Energy Generation
5.3 Photovoltaic Systems
- 5.3.1 North America
- 5.3.2 Europe
- 5.3.3 Asia Pacific
- 5.3.4 Rest of the World
5.4 Wind Systems
- 5.4.1 North America
- 5.4.2 Europe
- 5.4.3 Asia Pacific
- 5.4.4 Rest of the World
5.5 Fuel Cells
- 5.5.1 North America
- 5.5.2 Europe
- 5.5.3 Asia Pacific
- 5.5.4 Rest of the World

6. Industry Players / Competitive Landscape

6.1 Photovoltaic Systems
- 6.1.1 Q-Cells
- 6.1.2 SolarWorld
- 6.1.3 Suntech
- 6.1.4 First Solar
- 6.1.5 SunPower
- 6.1.6 Solaria
6.2 Wind Systems
- 6.2.1 Southwest Windpower
- 6.2.2 Proven Energy
- 6.2.3 Bergey Windpower
- 6.2.4 Gaia-Wind
- 6.2.5 Northern Power
- 6.2.6 Entegrity Wind Systems
6.3 Fuel Cells
- 6.3.1 FuelCell Energy
- 6.3.2 Ballard Power Systems
- 6.3.3 IdaTech
- 6.3.4 Ceramic Fuel Cells Limited
- 6.3.5 ReliOn

7. Company Directory

7.1 Solar
7.2 Wind
7.3 Fuel Cells

8. Acronym List

9. Table of Contents

10. Table of Figures

11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

Table of Charts and Figures

Segmentation of Major Electricity Generation Sources into Renewable and Distributed
Global Cumulative Electricity Capacity by Source, 2007
Global Cumulative Renewable Electricity Capacity, Distributed vs. Centralized - 2007
Global Cumulative Renewable Electricity Capacity by Source - 2007
Global Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Add, Distributed vs. Centralized - 2007
Global Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Additions by Source - 2007
Annual PV Installations for OECD Countries, 2003-2008
Cumulative Installed PV Systems, Grid Tied vs. Off Grid, 2003-2008
Representative Global Deployments of Telecom Backup Power by Technology
U.S. Renewable Portfolio Standards, Goals, and Required Renewables
Comparative Household Electricity Prices for Industrialized Countries, 1999-2006
Comparative Industry Electricity Prices for Industrialized Countries, 1999-2006
Electricity Generation Sources for U.S., OECD, Europe, and Japan - 2007
Comparative Prices of Conventional and RDEG Electricity Generation Sources
SunPower PV Value Chain Cost Reduction Model, 2006-2012
Installed PV System Price Projection, 2007-2013
Range of Installed Prices for 10-kW Small Wind System - 2007
Estimate of Payback on 10-kW Small Wind System - 2007
Installed Small Wind System Price Projection, 2007-2013
Ballard Power Stationary Application Shipment and Price Plans, 2007-2010
Ballard Power Cost Reduction Plans for Telecom Backup Fuel Cell Stack, 2008-2010
Ballard Power Cost Reduction Plans for Residential Micro CHP Fuel Cell Stack, 2008-2010
FuellCell Energy Production Cost Reductions and Comparison to Grid Power Costs, 1996-2008
Installed Fuel Cell System Price Projections by Application, 2007-2013
Global Installed Electricity Generating Capacity by Geographic Region, 2005-2025
Annual RDEG Technologies Capacity Additions, 2007-2013
Annual RDEG Technology Revenue, 2007-2013
Distributed Sub-Utility Scale PV Deployments as % of Total, 2008
Schematic of Basic Fuel Cell Operation by Electrolyte and Application
Summary Comparison of RDEG Technologies
Summary of Relevant RDEG Standards and Permitting Agencies
Summary Comparison of Fuel Cell Technologies and Applications
Summary Comparison of Applications by RDEG Technology
Summary of Emission Reduction Targets for Major Industrialized Countries and Regions
Summary Comparison of U.S. Federal Tax Credit for RDEG Technologies
Summary of U.S. Federal Subsidies and Incentives for RDEG Technologies
Worldwide PV Capacity Projection Scenarios for Total and Distributed Capacity, 2007-2010

Table of Tables

Annual Growth of Distributed PV Capacity, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
Distributed PV Global Installed Capacity, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Distributed PV System Installed Price, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Distributed PV Installed System Revenue, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Annual Growth of Small Wind Capacity, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
Small Wind Global Installed Capacity, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Small Wind System Installed Price, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Small Wind Installed System Revenue, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Annual Growth of Fuel Cell Capacity - Large Stationary, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
Fuel Cells Global Capacity - Large Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Fuel Cells Installed Price - Large Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Fuel Cells System Revenue - Large Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Annual Growth of Fuel Cell Capacity - Small Stationary, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
Fuel Cells Global Capacity - Small Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Fuel Cells Installed Price - Small Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Fuel Cells System Revenue - Small Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Annual Growth of Fuel Cell Capacity - Combined Stationary, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
Fuel Cells Global Capacity - Combined Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Fuel Cells Installed Price - Combined Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Fuel Cells System Revenue - Combined Stationary, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
Annual Growth of RDEG Technologies, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
RDEG Technologies Global Capacity, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
RDEG Technologies Installed Price, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
RDEG Technologies System Revenue, World Markets: 2007 to 2013