Abstract
Distributed energy generation, using a variety of renewable power
technologies, is one of the most important tools for addressing the challenge
of meeting the world' s growing electricity demand. Within the Renewable
Distributed Energy Generation (RDEG) market, sub-utility scale solar
photovoltaics (PV) are by far the largest and most significant segment,
representing approximately 98% of the total.
Solar PV growth has been spearheaded in recent years by markets such as
Germany, Japan, Spain, and the United States. Remaining countries in the
European Union are starting to pick up strong momentum as well. Emerging
markets in India and China show significant promise in the longer term. Of
all the opportunities in PV, Pike Research finds that the most compelling
growth potential lies in decentralized electricity generation, whether in
small rooftop or large commercial installations. PV has the advantage of
being truly modular, as it can reach cost efficiencies with installations that
are just a few kilowatts to 20 MW or even 200 MW. For purposes of our study,
distributed PV is considered to be those systems less than 20 MW in size,
where electricity does not pass through the traditional transmission and
distribution system prior to being used. The estimated size of the
distributed PV market in 2008 was 3.6 GW, and we forecast that it will grow to
9.7 GW by 2013, representing a compound annual growth rate of 22%. This
translates into a $30 billion market in 2008, growing to nearly $60 billion by
2013.
This Pike Research report analyzes the market for distributed solar PV in the
context of the broader RDEG market, which also includes small wind energy
generation and fuel cell technologies. The study covers key business issues
and drivers of demand for sub-utility scale solar power, including
government-driven legislation and incentives as well as market-based factors.
Technology and cost issues are examined in depth, as are a number of key
industry players. Market forecasts include distributed solar energy
generation capacity, system revenues, and installed prices through 2013 for
installations in all regions of the world, with line-item segmentation for 12
key countries.
Key questions addressed:
- Why is distributed solar energy generation an important part of meeting
the world' s growing electricity demands?
- How does sub-utility scale solar PV compare to other RDEG technologies
such as small wind and fuel cells?
- How large is this market segment today and how large is it forecast to
grow by 2013?
- What are the key applications for RDEG technologies in general and
distributed solar in particular?
- What are the key drivers of growth?
- Who are the key industry players?
Who needs this report?
- Solar Installers/Integrators
- Solar Cell and Module Manufacturers
- Solar Equipment Vendors
- Government Energy and Environmental Agencies
- Investment Community
- Industry Associations and Non-Profit Organizations
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