Abstract
The Saudi communications market (including pay-TV) generated almost $9.9bn in
service revenue in 2008, a figure we expect to reach about $13.1bn in 2014.
Mobile revenue dominated the market in 2008, contributing 72% of total
revenue. The rise in fixed broadband revenue, which we expect to grow at a
CAGR of 13% over the next five years, will more than compensate for declining
fixed voice revenue over the same period, but the mobile sector will continue
to out-perform the fixed. Rapid mobile broadband adoption and aggressive
competition between the three mobile operators will keep mobile service
revenue growing at a CAGR of 5% over the forecast period, despite its current
penetration level of 119%. Revenue will rise from $7.9bn in 2008 to almost
$10bn in 2014.
The pay-TV sector in Saudi Arabia is still small but has ample potential for
growth. However, we believe that pay-TV adoption will not begin to boom until
one or more operators have deployed FTTx networks allowing for sophisticated
IPTV services.
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