Table of Contents
Acronyms and Abbreviations
Executive Summary
Introduction
Section 1: Distinguishing Fixed-Mobile Substitution, Replacement, and Convergence
Section 2: Can MNOs Afford to Wait for FMC?
- MNOs under Pressure: Looking for Growth, Wherever It May Be
- Looking for Solutions (1): Emerging Markets: Attractive, but No
Longer Cheap
- Looking for Solutions (2): Mobile Data, So Close- Yet so Far
- Looking for Solutions (3): Fixed-Mobile Substitution Is the
Low-hanging Fruit
- Final Incentive: Fixed Telcos Are Pushing FMC More Aggressively
Than MNOs
- The Case Against FMC: Do MNOs Only Need to Slash Prices?
- MNOs Offering Broadband: Another Option that Has a Ways to Go
- The MNO Case for FMC: The Cost Side of Traffic Spikes, the Flip
Side of Low Price Strategies, and the Profitability of Mobile Corporate
Services
- Our Call: MNOs Can' t Afford to Be Complacent About FMC
Section 3: FMC Technologies: What Is Ready, What Is Not
- The Readiness Factor: Disruptiveness and CPE Availability
- Our Conclusion: Not Reassuring
- Option Available Now: Home Zone/Cell ID: Ideal Fixed-Mobile
Substitution Technology for Voice18
- Option Available Later: Femtocells: Fixed Indoor Coverage and
Enabling Mobile Broadband in the Home
- Femtocell Readiness: Horizon 2008, and the Set-top Box Opportunity
- UMA: The Most Mature FMC Technology, but Still a Lot of Convincing
to Do
- Dual-Mode SIP: Pre-IMS, Fixed-centric for now, and an Alternative
to UMA
- Voice Call Continuity: Horizon 2008-09
- Conclusion: Mobile-centric Consumer FMC Choices Are Down to Home
Zone and UMA Today and Femtocells Tomorrow
Section 4: FMC Case Study Analysis: What Has Worked, What Hasn' t
- CASE STUDY: FMC Initial Failures: T-One, Onephone, Unica, and Others
- CASE STUDY: Aggressive FMC Push by Orange Starts Paying Off
- CASE STUDY: FMC Helps Brasil Telecom' s Fixed and Mobile
Section 5: What Operators Can Do While Waiting for FMC, and FMC Next Steps
- FMC: A Matter of When, Not If
- Despite Slow FMC Start, Here Is why We Think Early Launches Are Good
- One Size Will Not Fit All
- However, the Question Remains: What to Do in the Meantime?
- CASE STUDY: Commercial Convergence Services
Section 6: FMC Adoption and Revenue Forecasts
- FMC Subscribers- Slow Initial Growth
- Next for FMC: Competing with Triple- and Quad-play for the Household
- FMC Revenue- Suitably Small
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