The European Dairy Outlook to 2006

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Introduction

• Dairy foods in Europe to 2006
• Dairy foods in France to 2006
• Dairy foods in Germany to 2006
• Dairy foods in Italy to 2006
• Dairy foods in Spain to 2006
• Dairy foods in the UK to 2006

Chapter 1 Introduction

• The aim of this report
• Country coverage in this report
• Chapter structure
• Chapter 2 Dairy Foods in Europe to 2006
• Summary
• Introduction
• Market dynamics
• Leading markets set to grow by 6.1% to 2006
• In volume terms, Spain and Italy are leading growth

Chapter 3 Dairy Foods in France to 2006

• Summary
• Introduction
• Market dynamics
• Natural cheese is the largest sector by value
• France will remain one of the largest markets over the next five years
• Standard grocers dominate dairy sales
• Leading sectors to 2006
• Brand recognition is an important factor in the growth of natural cheese
• markets
• The French ice cream market is set for strong growth
• Producers are reformulating, repackaging and re-labelling liquid milk

Chapter 4 Dairy Foods in Germany to 2006

• Summary
• Introduction
• Market dynamics
• Natural cheese accounts for over one-third of the market
• Low, but consistent, growth in the years to 2006
• Discount grocers command a significant share of the market
• Leading sectors to 2006
• Natural cheese to register CAGR of 1.2% to 2006
• Reduced fat and 'organic'  products increase in popularity
• The German ice cream market is reaching saturation point

Chapter 5 Dairy Foods in Italy to 2006

• Summary
• Introduction
• Market dynamics
• Italian market to reach almost $16 billion by 2006
• The Italian dairy market is one of Europe' s largest
• Distribution of dairy products is set to remain fragmented
• Consumer expenditure set to reach $276/year by 2006
• Leading sectors to 2006
• Natural cheese market growth will be slow
• Ice cream markets are set for marginal decline
• Liquid milk innovations include probiotics and flavours

Chapter 6 Dairy Foods in Spain to 2006

• Summary
• Introduction
• Market dynamics
• Dairy markets to reach $7.2 billion by 2006
• Liquid milk and yoghurts dominate volumes
• Standard grocers dominate retail channels
• Consumer spending to reach $180/year by 2006
• Leading sectors to 2006
• Domestically produced cheeses enjoy high sales
• Liquid milk markets set for marginal growth
• Yoghurt markets set to grow, but at declining rates

Chapter 7 Dairy Foods in the UK to 2006

• Summary
• Introduction
• Market dynamics
• Liquid milk leads the dairy market in value terms
• Volumes fluctuate in UK dairy markets
• Daily home deliveries remain an important channel
• Leading sectors to 2006
• Natural cheese markets are much less fragmented
• Liquid milk markets have suffered from 'health'  concerns
• Water and yoghurt based ice cream varieties yet to succeed

Chapter 8 Appendix

• Category segmentation table
• Category definitions
• Distribution definitions
• Index

List of Figures

Figure 3.1: France dairy food sales value and value forecast (US$ m), by category, 1996-2006

Figure 3.2: France dairy food sales volume and volume forecast (kg m), by category, 1996-2006

Figure 4.3: Germany dairy food sales value and value forecast (US$ m), by category, 2002-2006

Figure 4.4: Germany dairy food sales volume and volume forecast (kg m), by category, 2002-2006

Figure 5.5: Italy dairy food sales value and value forecast (US$ m), by category, 1996-2006

Figure 5.6: Italy dairy food sales volume and volume forecast (kg m), by category, 1996-2006

Figure 6.7: Spain dairy food sales value and value forecast (US$ m), by category, 1996-2006

Figure 6.8: Spain dairy food sales volume and volume forecast (kg m), by category, 1996-2006

Figure 7.9: UK dairy food sales value and value forecast (US$ m), by category, 1996-2006

Figure 7.10: UK dairy food sales volume and volume forecast (kg m), by category, 1996-2006

List of Tables

Table 2.1: European dairy food sales value (US$ m), by country, 1996-2001

Table 2.2: European dairy food sales value forecast (US$ m), by country, 2002-2006

Table 2.3: European dairy food sales volume (kg m), by country, 1996-2001

Table 2.4: European dairy food sales volume forecast (kg m), by country, 2002-2006

Table 3.5: France dairy food sales value (US$ m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 3.6: France dairy food sales value forecast (US$ m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 3.7: France dairy food sales volume (kg m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 3.8: France dairy food sales volume forecast (kg m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 3.9: France dairy food distribution (% volume), by channel, 2000-2001

Table 3.10: France natural cheese sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 3.11: France natural cheese sales volume forecast (kg m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 3.12: France natural cheese market share (% volume), by company, 2001-2002

Table 3.13: France ice cream sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 3.14: France ice cream sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 3.15: France ice cream market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 3.16: France liquid milk sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 3.17: France liquid milk sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 3.18: France liquid milk market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 4.19: Germany dairy food sales value (US$ m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 4.20: Germany dairy food sales value forecast (US$ m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 4.21: Germany dairy food sales volume (kg m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 4.22: Germany dairy food sales volume forecast (kg m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 4.23: Germany dairy food distribution (% volume), by channel, 2000-2001

Table 4.24: Germany natural cheese sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 4.25: Germany natural cheese sales volume forecast (kg m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 4.26: Germany natural cheese market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 4.27: Germany fats and spreads sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 4.28: Germany fats and spreads sales volume forecast (kg m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 4.29: Germany fats and spreads market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 4.30: Germany ice cream sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 4.31: Germany ice cream sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 4.32: Germany ice cream market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 5.33: Italy dairy food sales value (US$ m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 5.34: Italy dairy food sales value forecast (US$ m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 5.35: Italy dairy food sales volume (kg m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 5.36: Italy dairy food sales volume forecast (kg m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 5.37: Italy dairy distribution (% volume), by channel, 2000-2001

Table 5.38: Italy dairy food expenditure (US$ per head), by category, 1996-2006

Table 5.39: Italy dairy food consumption (kg per head), by category, 1996-2006

Table 5.40: Italy natural cheese sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 5.41: Italy natural cheese sales volume forecast (kg m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 5.42: Italy natural cheese market share (% value), by company, 2001-2002

Table 5.43: Italy ice cream sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 5.44: Italy ice cream sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 5.45: Italy ice cream market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 5.46: Italy liquid milk sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 5.47: Italy liquid milk sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 5.48: Italy liquid milk market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 6.49: Spain dairy food sales value (US$ m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 6.50: Spain dairy food sales value forecast (US$ m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 6.51: Spain dairy food sales volume (kg m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 6.52: Spain dairy food sales volume forecast (kg m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 6.53: Spain dairy distribution (% volume), by channel, 2000-2001

Table 6.54: Spain dairy food expenditure (US$ per head), by category, 1996-2006

Table 6.55: Spain dairy food consumption (kg per head), by category, 1996-2006

Table 6.56: Spain natural cheese sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 6.57: Spain natural cheese sales volume forecast (kg m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 6.58: Spain natural cheese market share (% value), by company, 2001-2002

Table 6.59: Spain liquid milk sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 6.60: Spain liquid milk sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 6.61: Spain liquid milk market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 6.62: Spain yoghurt sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 6.63: Spain yoghurt sales volume forecast (kg m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 6.64: Spain yoghurt market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 7.65: UK dairy food sales value (US$ m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 7.66: UK dairy food sales value forecast (US$ m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 7.67: UK dairy food sales volume (kg m), by category, 1996-2001

Table 7.68: UK dairy food sales volume forecast (kg m), by category, 2002-2006

Table 7.69: UK dairy distribution (% volume), by channel, 2000-2001

Table 7.70: UK natural cheese sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 7.71: UK natural cheese sales volume forecast (kg m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 7.72: UK natural cheese market share (% value), by company, 2000-2001

Table 7.73: UK liquid milk sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 7.74: UK liquid milk sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 7.75: UK liquid milk market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001

Table 7.76: UK ice cream sales value forecast (US$ m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 7.77: UK ice cream sales volume forecast (litres m), by segment, 2002-2006

Table 7.78: UK ice cream market share (% volume), by company, 2000-2001