The Biofuels Market Outlook: Market drivers, growth opportunities and regulatory change

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

• What is biofuel?
• Industry forecasts for biofuels
• Biofuels market drivers and inhibitors
• The biofuel economy
• Biofuels market size and forecast
• Regulations and policies

Chapter 1 Introduction

• Audience
• How to read this report

Chapter 2 What is biofuel?

• Summary
• World energy demand
• Climate change
• Renewable energy
• Biomass
• What is biomass?
• Population, energy consumption and biomass
• What is biofuel?
  • Solid biofuels
  • Liquid biofuels
  • Gas biofuels
• Biofuels in current use
• Ethanol
  • Distribution, storage and blending
  • End-use
• Biodiesel
  • Distribution, storage, blending
  • End-use
• Advanced biofuels

Chapter 3 Industry forecasts for biofuels

• Summary
• Introduction
• Economic competitiveness of biofuels and biomass
• Biofuel technology development
• Biofuel drivers and inhibitors
• Conclusions

Chapter 4 Biofuel drivers and inhibitors

• Summary
• Market background
• Drivers of the biofuels market
• Greenhouse gases and environmental concerns
• Regulatory incentives/pressure
• Concern about energy security
• Rising cost of existing fuel supplies
• Consumer pressure
• Inhibitors of the biofuels market
• The biofuel economy
• Sustainability concerns and the rising price of food crops
• Limited biofuels infrastructure
• Biomass and land availability

Chapter 5 The biofuel economy

• Summary
• Introduction
• The biofuel economy
• Production costs
• Cost of distribution
• Cost at filling station
• Car costs and fuel efficiency
• Conclusions

Chapter 6 Biofuels market size and forecasts

• Summary
• Worldwide energy demand
• Biofuels market sizing
• Worldwide
  • Ethanol
  • Biodiesel
• Europe
  • Ethanol
  • Biodiesel
• The US
  • Ethanol production
  • Biodiesel
• Brazil
  • Ethanol
• India
  • Ethanol
  • Biodiesel
• China

Chapter 7 Biofuels policies and regulations

• Summary
• Introduction
• Policy frameworks
• Renewable energy targets
• Kyoto Protocol
• European Union
• The United States
• Developing nations
• Biofuels targets
• Biofuels policy overview by region
• The European Union
  • Biofuels Directive
  • Directive 2003/96/EC
  • Incentives for biofuels
  • Tax incentives
• The United States
  • US Energy Policy Act 2005
• Brazil
  • Proalcool Program
• India
  • National Biodiesel Mission
• China
  • National Biomass Ethanol Gasoline Project
  • The Renewable Energy Law of the People' s Republic of China
• Conclusions
• References
• Index

List of Figures

• Figure 3.1: Relative competitiveness of alternative energies in five years
• Figure 3.2: Relative economic competitiveness of biofuels now and in the next five years
• Figure 3.3: What proportion of world fuel/demand will biofuels and biomass account for by 2017?
• Figure 3.4: Within how long will biofuels account for 50% of global fuel/energy production?
• Figure 3.5: Which regions will lead the development of biofuels over the next five years?
• Figure 3.6: How important will the following factors be in driving the biofuels market over the next five years?
• Figure 3.7: How important will the following factors be in inhibiting the biofuels market over the next five years?
• Figure 3.8: What impact will biofuels production have on the global price of food crops?
• Figure 4.9: Projected worldwide oil consumption
• Figure 4.10: Opting for green energy is one behavioural aspect of rising environmental attitudes
• Figure 4.11: The potential biomass availability of EU15, AC10 and/or Europe according to five studies (left part of the figure)
• Figure 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facility to a filling station (€/GJ)
• Figure 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)
• Figure 5.14: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and engine system
• Figure 6.15: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005
• Figure 7.16: Mechanisms to incentivize renewable energy generation
• Figure 7.17: Renewable electricity production in Germany and UK, 1995-2005
• Figure 7.18: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012

List of Tables

• Table 2.1: World Renewable Energy 2005
• Table 2.2: Population, energy consumption and biomass contribution in selected regions
• Table 2.3: Typical oil extraction from 100kg of oil seeds
• Table 2.4: Comparison of first-generation versus ‘advanced’ biofuels
• Table 4.5: Projected world energy demand to 2030
• Table 4.6: Growth in energy demand by region (2000-2030)
• Table 4.7: Projected worldwide oil consumption (million barrels / day), 2005-2025
• Table 4.8: CO2 equivalent emissions savings from biofuels
• Table 4.9: Average annual oil price (US$ per barrel)
• Table 4.10: Key barriers for biofuels
• Table 5.11: Production costs of biofuels from various crops
• Table 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facility to a filling station (€/GJ)
• Table 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)
• Table 5.14: Cost comparison of biofuels with petroleum fossil fuels
• Table 5.15: Cost estimates of various biofuels at the filling station using future technology, post-2010
• Table 5.16: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and engine system
• Table 6.17: Comparison of worldwide fuel production from hydrocarbon sources versus biomass sources, 2005
• Table 6.18: Amounts of raw materials to meet worldwide fuel demand, 2005
• Table 6.19: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005
• Table 6.20: Worldwide ethanol supply and demand, 2005 and 2010 (m3) for selected countries
• Table 6.21: Top European ethanol producers 2005 (millions of gallons)
• Table 6.22: EU market share of biodiesel production in 2005
• Table 6.23: Projected US ethanol production, 2006-2012
• Table 6.24: US ethanol market revenue forecast, 2006-2012
• Table 6.25: Ethanol profile comparison of the US and Brazil (2006)
• Table 6.26: Projected demand and supply of ethanol in India for 5% blend with gasoline
• Table 6.27: Projected demand for gasoline and diesel in India to 2012
• Table 6.28: Diesel and biodiesel demand in India using Jatropha
• Table 7.29: Biofuels infrastructure profiles Q107
• Table 7.30: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012
• Table 7.31: Biofuels energy targets
• Table 7.32: Biofuel policy overview of selected countries