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Market Research Report

4G Wireless - From 2008 to 2014 - LTE, UMB, 802.20, WiMAX and HSPA+

Published by Visant Strategies, Inc. Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2008/04 Content info 135 PAGES
Product code VT65333
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Description TOC

Table of Contents

  • Scope of Study
  • Sources and Methodology
  • Statistical Notes

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • 1.1 And the Winner Is?
  • 1.2 Few Significant Contracts Yet
  • 1.3 Critical Inflection Points
    • 1.3.1 Sprint and Mobile WiMAX
    • 1.3.2 UMB and 802.20
    • 1.3.3 LTE Timeline
    • 1.3.4 Virgin Carriers
    • 1.3.5 China and India
  • 1.4 More or Less Fragmentation
  • 1.5 WiMAX Honeymoon Over
  • 1.6 Elephants Move Slowly
  • 1.7 Asia
  • 1.8 Third Generation Has Been Here Yet Still Many GSM Subscribers
  • 1.9 Femtocells
  • 1.10 Clean Break From Circuit Switching
  • 1.11 Key Differentiators between the Technologies
    • 1.11.1 WiMAX
    • 1.11.2 LTE
    • 1.11.3 UMB
    • 1.11.4 802.20
  • 1.12 4G Figures and Forecasts
    • 1.12.1 4G Subscribers
    • 1.12.2 4G Subscriber Revenues
    • 1.12.3 4G Devices Shipments and Revenues
    • 1.12.4 4G Base Station Shipments, Deployments and Revenues
    • 1.12.5 Femtocell Subscribers and Revenues
    • 1.12.6 Femtocell Device Shipments and Revenues

SECTION TWO

  • Common Trends, Definitions, Technologies
  • 2.1 Network Upgrade Drivers (Why LTE, 802.16m or UMB)
  • 2.2 Design Goals
  • 2.3 Enabling Technologies
  • 2.4 Common Challenges
    • 2.4.1 Performance Gains over Evolved 3G
    • 2.4.2 PAPR, Uplink Budget and Performance
    • 2.4.3 Frequency Reuse
    • 2.4.4 Frequency Reuse Methods/Technologies
    • 2.4.5 Spectrum Scarcity and Cost
    • 2.4.6 Site Acquisition
    • 2.4.7 Intellectual Property Rights
  • 2.5 Standards Activity
    • 2.4.1 IMT Advanced
    • 2.4.2 NGMN Group
  • 2.6 4G New Spectrum Allocation
  • 2.7 Open Network Initiatives

SECTION THREE

  • Long Term Evolution (LTE)
  • 3.1 Definitions LTE and SAE
  • 3.2 Status and Time to Market
  • 3.3 Backers
  • 3.4 Contract Announcements
  • 3.5 Technical Overview
    • 3.5.1 Air Interface
      • 3.5.1.1 Downlink
      • 3.5.1.2 Uplink
    • 3.5.2 Channel sizes
    • 3.5.3 Modulation
    • 3.5.4 Throughout
    • 3.5.5 MIMO, Intelligent Antenna Support
    • 3.5.6 Spectrum
    • 3.5.7 Latency
    • 3.5.8 Duplexing
    • 3.5.9 Core Network
    • 3.5.10 Other Design Goals
  • 3.6 Technical Issues Trends
    • 3.6.1 Performance compared to Evolved HSPA (HSPA+)
    • 3.6.2 Unproven Technology
  • 3.7 LTE Market Factors
    • 3.7.1 Timing
    • 3.7.2 Certification of User Devices
    • 3.7.3 Whose Standard?
    • 3.7.4 IPR
    • 3.7.5 Competition
    • 3.7.6 Response to Carriers
    • 3.7.7 Cost
    • 3.7.8 Installed Base
    • 3.7.9 Risk
    • 3.7.10 Spectrum
  • 3.8 LTE Figures and Forecasts
    • 3.8.1 LTE Subscribers and Revenues
    • 3.8.2 LTE Device ASP, Shipments and Revenues
    • 3.8.3 LTE Base Station Shipments, Deployments and Revenues
    • 3.8.4 LTE Femtocell Subscribers and Revenues
    • 3.8.5 LTE Femtocell Device Shipments and Revenues

SECTION FOUR

  • Ultra Mobile Broadband (UMB)
  • 4.1 UMB Intro
  • 4.2 Standards and Committees
  • 4.3 Status
  • 4.4 Time to Market
  • 4.5 Backers
  • 4.6 Contract Announcements
  • 4.7 Available Opportunity and 3GPP2 Installed Base
  • 4.8 Technical Overview
    • 4.8.1 Air Interface
    • 4.8.2 Handoffs
    • 4.8.3 Legacy Support
    • 4.8.4 Latency
    • 4.8.5 Channel sizes and Spectrum.
    • 4.8.6 Modulation
    • 4.8.7 Throughout
    • 4.8.8 MIMO, Multiple Antenna Support
    • 4.8.9 VoIP Users Supported
    • 4.8.10 Duplexing
  • 4.9 Technical Issues, Trends and Considerations
    • 4.9.1 Unproven
    • 4.9.2 OFDM Uplink Budget
    • 4.9.3 OFDM and N=1 Performance
    • 4.9.4 4x4 MIMO
  • 4.10 UMB Market Factors
    • 4.10.1 Support
    • 4.10.2 Loss of Major Customers
    • 4.10.3 Time to Market
    • 4.10.4 Qualcomm Factor
    • 4.10.5 IEEE 802.20
    • 4.10.6 What Happened to FLASH-OFDM
    • 4.10.7 Installed Base
    • 4.10.8 Intellectual Property Licensing Fees
    • 4.10.9 Public Perception
  • 4.11 UMB Figures and Forecasts
    • 4.11.1 CDMA Subscribers
    • 4.11.2 CDMA Device Shipments
    • 4.11.2 UMB Subscribers and Revenues
    • 4.11.3 UMB Device ASP, Shipments and Revenues
    • 4.11.4 UMB Base Station Shipments, Deployments and Revenues
    • 4.11.5 UMB Femtocell Subscribers and Revenues
    • 4.11.6 UMB Femtocell Device Shipments and Revenues

SECTION FIVE

  • IEEE 802.20
  • 5.1 802.20 Definitions
  • 5.2 802.20 Lives
  • 5.3 Time to Market
  • 5.4 Contributors and Voters
  • 5.5 Contract Announcements
  • 5.6 Technical Overview
    • 5.6.1 Work in Progress
    • 5.6.2 Expected Attributes
  • 5.7 802.20 Market Factors
    • 5.7.1 Support
    • 5.7.2 Too Late?
    • 5.7.3 Credibility
    • 5.7.4 The Bottom Line
  • 5.8 802.20 Figures and Forecasts
    • 5.8.1 802.20 Subscribers and Revenues
    • 5.8.2 802.20 Device ASP, Shipments and Revenues
    • 5.8.3 802.20 Base Station Shipments, Deployments and Revenues
    • 5.8.4 802.20 Femtocell Subscribers and Revenues
    • 5.8.5 802.20 Femtocell Device Shipments and Revenues

SECTION SIX

  • Evolved High Speed Packet Access (HSPA+)
  • 6.1 HSPA and HSPA+ Defined
  • 6.2 Standards and Committees
  • 6.3 Status
  • 6.4 Time to Market
  • 6.5 Backers
  • 6.6 Contract Announcements
  • 6.7 HSPA Main Technologies (Releases 5 and 6)
    • 6.7.1 HS-DSCH (High-Speed Shared Downlink Channel)
    • 6.7.2 E-DCH (Enhanced Dedicated Channel)
    • 6.7.3 Reduced Transmission Time Interval (TTI)
    • 6.7.4 Scheduling and Link Adaptation
    • 6.7.5 Higher Order Modulation
    • 6.7.6 Hybrid ARQ and Soft Combining
  • 6.8 HSPA+ Technical Attributes (Releases 7 and 8)
    • 6.8.1 Modulation
    • 6.8.2 Air Interface
    • 6.8.3 Throughput
      • 6.8.3.1 Downlink
      • 6.8.3.2 Uplink
    • 6.8.4 Voice Capacity
    • 6.8.5 Handoffs
    • 6.8.6 Latency
    • 6.8.7 Intelligent Antenna Support
  • 6.9 HSPA Market Factors
    • 6.9.1 Upgrade Complexity
    • 6.9.2 Existing Networks
    • 6.9.3 Backwards Compatibility
    • 6.9.4 Proven Air Interface
    • 6.9.5 HSPA+ With MIMO
    • 6.9.6 Economies of Scale
    • 6.9.7 Low Risk Option
    • 6.9.8 Recoup Investment
    • 6.9.9 Uplink Budget
    • 6.9.10 Evaluation
  • 6.10 HSPA+ Figures and Forecasts
    • 6.10.1 WCDMA Subscribers
    • 6.10.2 WCDMA Device Shipments
    • 6.10.3 HSPA+ Subscribers and Revenues
    • 6.10.4 HSPA+ Device ASP, Shipments and Revenues
    • 6.10.5 HSPA+ Base Station Shipments, Deployments and Revenues
    • 6.10.6 HSPA+ Femtocell Subscribers and Revenues
    • 6.10.7 HSPA+ Femtocell Device Shipments and Revenues

SECTION SEVEN

  • WiMAX 802.16
  • 7.1 802.16 and WiMAX, Background
  • 7.2 Standards and Task Groups of Note
    • 7.2.1 802.16e (802.16e-2005)
    • 7.2.2 802.16d (802.16-2004)
    • 7.2.3 802.16h
    • 7.2.4 Relay Task Group (802.16j)
    • 7.2.5 Task Group M (802.16m)
  • 7.3 The WiMAX Forum
    • 7.3.1 Members
    • 7.3.2 WiMAX Forum Role
    • 7.3.3 Certification
    • 7.3.4 Current Certified WiMAX Forum Product and Timelines
  • 7.4 802.16 2004, 802.16e-2005 and WiMAX feature set
    • 7.4.1 Channel Sizes
    • 7.4.2 Frequency Allocations
    • 7.4.3 Duplexing.
    • 7.4.4 Modulation
    • 7.4.5 FFT Size
    • 7.4.6 Mobile WiMAX Wave 1 and 2 Profiles, Key Attributes
  • 7.5 Technical Considerations
    • 7.5.1 Data Rates and Spectral Efficiency
    • 7.5.2 WiMAX Performance
      • 7.5.2.1 Summary of Limitations
      • 7.5.2.2 Frequency Reuse, Handoffs, and Mobility
      • 7.5.2.3 Interference Management
      • 7.5.2.4 Uplink (PAPR and TDD)
      • 7.5.2.5 MIMO a Must?
    • 7.5.3 Intelligent Antennas use for WiMAX
      • 7.5.3.1 MIMO (Matrix A and B)
      • 7.5.3.2 AAS
  • 7.6 Market Considerations
    • 7.6.1 WiMAX Base Station and CPE Pricing
    • 7.6.2 Certification Expectations
    • 7.6.3 Interoperability
    • 7.6.4 Proprietary and Competing Solutions
    • 7.6.5 WiMAX Everywhere
    • 7.6.6 Laptop WiMAX
    • 7.6.7 Skipping to Wave 2 Devices
    • 7.6.8 Dual Mode Cellular/WiMAX Devices
    • 7.6.9 WiMAX vs. CDMA/WCDMA
    • 7.6.10 WiBro
    • 7.6.11 WiMAX as a Hot Spot Solution
  • 7.7 WiMAX Figures and Forecasts
    • 7.7.1 WiMAX Fixed and Mobile Subscribers and Revenues
    • 7.7.2 WiMAX Phone, CPE and Modem ASPs, Shipments and Revenues
    • 7.7.3 WiMAX Base Station ASP, Deployments, Shipments and Revenues
    • 7.7.4 WiMAX Femtocell Subscribers and Service Revenues
    • 7.7.5 WiMAX Femtocell Shipments and Revenues

TABLES

  • Table 1-1
  • 4G Subscribers
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-2
  • 4G Subscribers by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-3
  • 4G Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-4
  • 4G Subscriber Revenues by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-5
  • 4G Device Shipments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-6
  • 4G Device Shipments by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-7
  • 4G Device Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-8
  • 4G Device Revenues by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-9
  • 4G Base Stations
  • Shipments and Deployments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-10
  • 4G Base Station Deployments by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-11
  • 4G Base Station Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-12
  • 4G Base Station Revenues by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-13
  • 4G Femtocell
  • Subscribers
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-14
  • 4G Femtocell Subscribers by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-15
  • 4G Femtocell
  • Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 1-16
  • 4G Femtocell
  • Subscriber Revenues by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-17
  • 4G Femtocell
  • Device Shipments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-18
  • 4G Femtocell Device Shipments by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 1-19
  • 4G Femtocell
  • Device Shipment Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 1-20
  • 4G Femtocell
  • Device Shipment Revenues by Technology
  • World Market 2014
  • Table 3-1
  • LTE Subscribers
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-2
  • LTE Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-3
  • LTE Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-4
  • LTE Device Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-5
  • LTE Base Station Deployments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-6
  • LTE Base Station Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-7
  • LTE Femtocell Subscribers
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-8
  • LTE Femtocell Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-9
  • LTE Femtocell Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 3-10
  • LTE Femtocell Device Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-1
  • CDMA Subscribers (IS-95, CDMA2000, and EV-DO all Revisions)
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 4-2
  • CDMA Device Shipments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 4-3
  • EV-DO Subscribers (All Revisions)
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 4-4
  • EV-DO Device Shipments (All Revisions)
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 4-5
  • UMB Subscribers
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-6
  • UMB Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-7
  • UMB Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-8
  • UMB Device Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-9
  • UMB Base Station Shipments and Deployments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-10
  • UMB Base Station Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-11
  • UMB Femtocell Subscribers
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-12
  • UMB Femtocell Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-13
  • UMB Femtocell Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 4-14
  • UMB Femtocell Device Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-1
  • 802.20 Subscribers
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-2
  • 802.20 Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-3
  • 802.20 Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-4
  • 802.20 Device Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-5
  • 802.20 Base Station Shipments and Deployments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-6
  • 802.20 Base Station Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-7
  • 802.20 Femtocell Subscribers
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-8
  • 802.20 Femtocell Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-9
  • 802.20 Femtocell Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 5-10
  • 802.20 Femtocell Device Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-1
  • WCDMA Subscribers
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 6-2
  • WCDMA Device Shipments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 6-3
  • HSPA+ Subscribers
  • World Market 2009-2014
  • Table 6-4
  • HSPA+ Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-5
  • HSPA+ Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-6
  • HSPA+ Device Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-7
  • HSPA+ Base Station Shipments and Deployments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-8
  • HSPA+ Base Station Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-9
  • HSPA+ MIMO Enabled Base Station
  • Shipments and Deployments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-10
  • HSPA+ Femtocell
  • Subscribers
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-11
  • HSPA+ Femtocell
  • Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-12
  • HSPA+ Femtocell
  • Device Shipments
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 6-13
  • HSPA+ Femtocell Device
  • Revenues
  • World Market 2008-2014
  • Table 7-1
  • WiMAX Subscribers
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-2
  • WiMAX
  • Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-3
  • WiMAX
  • Device Shipments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-4
  • WiMAX
  • Device Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-5
  • WiMAX Wave 2 Device
  • Shipments and Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-6
  • WiMAX
  • Base Station
  • Shipments and Deployments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-7
  • WiMAX
  • Base Station
  • Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-8
  • WiMAX
  • Femtocell
  • Subscribers
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-9
  • WiMAX
  • Femtocell
  • Subscriber Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-10
  • WiMAX
  • Femtocell
  • Shipments
  • World Market 2007-2014
  • Table 7-11
  • WiMAX
  • Femtocell
  • Shipment Revenues
  • World Market 2007-2014
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