Abstract
INTRODUCTION
Over the past 2 decades, industry analysts have observed that many other
industries have made use of what is generally referred to as geographic
information systems (GIS) in their day-to-day operations. During this time two
related events occurred, both involving the release of previously classified
military technology. The first was the commercialization of so-called spy
satellites capable of taking high-resolution photos of virtually any location
on the planet. The second was the U.S. government' s declaration that high
accuracy latitude and longitude locating signals broadcast from the U.S. Air
Force' s global positioning system (GPS) constituted a national resource that
would be freely available to all peoples of the world. The confluence of those
three technologies - GIS, remote sensing and GPS - led many analysts to
predict that a powerful new industry was about to be born. Some boldly
predicted it would surpass $30 billion in sales by 2005. The reality, however,
quickly proved different and the industry, although showing growth, had by
2005 failed to produce even one sixth of the earlier estimated revenues. What
might be termed the false dawn of remote sensing has ended, and a new somewhat
smaller but more competitive industry has emerged. Indeed, remote sensing
today is very much in the position of the automobile business in the early
1950s or the personal computer business in the late 1980s. Each had been a
promising child that experienced a difficult adolescence only to emerge along
a path that appears to lead to a successful adulthood.
Several studies, some of which have been sponsored by government agencies and
other trade associations, have sought to predict the near future of remote
sensing. Each was thorough; however each was also narrowly focused on only
those activities conducted from airborne or space-based remote sensing
platforms. BCC decided to undertake this report to provide the first
comprehensive study of the industry that includes all four types of
observational platforms. The result is the first comprehensive analysis ever
undertaken of the entire remote sensing industry.
SCOPE OF STUDY
This report is broad contains:
- A comprehensive overview of the remote sensing industry, including
descriptions of GPS, GIS, and remote sensing technologies, as well as
important applications, such as: weather forecasting, intelligence gathering,
climate change, public health, and more
- A detailed market analysis of the 20 application areas for remote sensing,
with historical data, compounded growth rates, and five-year forecasts to
2012, covering each region of the world, the four types of remote sensing
platforms, and the 10 general types of remote sensing instruments
- Important technology and advancements within the industry, including
important historical devices and potential upcoming developments
- A patent analysis detailing important innovations
- Profiles for the major players in the remote sensing industry.
METHODOLOGY
To undertake this forecast we analyze remote sensing products currently on the
market, announced products, U.S. patents, and products referenced in forward
looking financial statements filed with the U.S. Security and Exchange
Commission. The value of imagery has been calculated on the basis of published
prices, and in the case of government agencies, by extrapolating from
published program budgets.
This report specifically omits handheld instruments and instruments that
obtain data only by coming in physical contact with substances. It excludes
remote sensing products generated within the government exclusively for
non-commercial purposes. An example of an excluded product would be a high
resolution image taken by intelligence agency satellite and used to plan,
execute and evaluate a military operation. However, it includes imagery
acquired from the private sector by defense and intelligence agencies, such as
imaging purchases made under the Department of Defense' s (DOD) NextView
program.
INFORMATION SOURCES
We also reviewed reports and studies prepared for peer-reviewed professional
literature, and reports by the technical staffs of the National Aeronautics
and Space Administration (NASA), the Department of Energy (DOE), the U.S.
Geologic Survey (USGS), the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and the
Government Accountability Office (GAO), as well as Presidential directive and
policy statements. In addition, we compiled data from scientific and technical
conferences, presentations prepared for financial analysts, the United
Nations, European Union, European Commission, European Space Agency and the
World Bank.
ANALYST' S CREDENTIALS
James Wilson is a well known technology analyst and author of more than 300
articles and several books dealing with science, medicine, technology and
business. Formerly the editor of the Princeton Business Journal and a senior
science and technology editor for Hearst Magazines, he is a member of the
National Association of Science Writers and American Medical Writers
Association. He has served on the adjunct faculty of Temple University and on
the staffs of Drexel University and the Academy of Natural Sciences. He is
also the author of Medical Device Coatings and Controlled Release
Technologies: Established and Emerging Markets.
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