Abstract
INTRODUCTION
PVs date back to the 1950s and the advent of the space program, but the
initial concerted efforts to fully develop this technology for industry and
consumer use began during the oil embargoes of the 1970s. The eventual
stabilization of oil prices, however, had a dampening effect on investment,
tax credits, and government funding for research and development (R&D).
Despite these changes, the development of PV technology and materials
continued, and in the late 1990s, R&D funding, cist-shared programs, and
industry activity once again increased. Now, with the increasing demand for
energy and the rising prices of fossil fuels, PV again offers assistance in
meeting energy demands.
Research examined this industry in a 2005 report, EGY014E-Photovoltaics:
Markets and Technologies. Since the demand for energy is growing at
unprecedented levels, and global climate change is demanding the development
of alternatives to fossil fuels, we were interested in revisiting the state of
PV technology, analyzing the major growth factors, and projecting the PV
industry' s growth potential.
SCOPE OF STUDY
This report contains:
- Descriptions of various types of photovoltaics (PV) technologies including
monocrystalline silicon, multicrystalline silicon, thin films (e.g. amorphous
silicon, cadmium telluride, copper indium diselenide) and compound
semiconductor materials (e.g. gallium arsenide)
- Discussion of emerging approaches such as nanostructured films,
dye-sensitized solar cells, and organic technologies
- The current market status for PV, trends and forecasts for growth over the
next 6 years
- Technological issues including the latest trends and a thorough patent
analysis
- Analysis of the industry' s manufacturing capacity and consumption by
various regional markets.
METHODOLOGY
Research presents an analysis for each PV technology of the number of cells as
measured in megawatts shipped in 2007. Our estimated values are what
manufacturers have paid in undepreciated dollars. Then, based on our surveys,
we analyze the potential market for each technology, and forecast shipments
for 2008 and 2013. We also analyze the cost involved in manufacturing the
cells and modules, and then present an estimated value of shipments over the
forecast period.
INFORMATION SOURCES
Research presents an analysis for each PV technology of the number of cells as
measured in megawatts shipped in 2007. Our estimated values are what
manufacturers have paid in undepreciated dollars. Then, based on our surveys,
we analyze the potential market for each technology, and forecast shipments
for 2008 and 2013. We also analyze the cost involved in manufacturing the
cells and modules, and then present an estimated value of shipments over the
forecast period.
ANALYST CREDENTIALS
After a successful career at IBM, Robert H. Moran has written extensively as a
research analyst and editor at BCC Research. The topics of his reports range
from various deposition technologies to electronic displays, solar energy, and
solid state lighting. Mr. Moran has been writing for BCC Research for more
than 20 years. He earned a B.S. degree in Economics from the University of
Pennsylvania.
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