Abstract
Due to large decline of domestic hog inventory in 2007, hog market faced
strained supply and pork price reached the culmination. In the meanwhile,
surging feed price and piglet price baffled the recovery of hog inventory,
expecially the private raisers. In addition, private raisers retreat from the
industry affected by market risk and low retuns from hog breeding, which can
not be followed by the inventory rate in large scale farms although with
national support measures. Layer and broiler inventory remained stable, but
egg price continued moving down in the second half year, causing layer farmers
suffered from low returns, even lost. Some problems emerged in the forth
quarters, such as, lost in broiler breeding, low flocks and herds inventory,
hard procurement in deal market and slaughter enterprises, and so on and so
forth.
In terms of livestock slaughter, according to the hog slaughter items
announced by the Ministry of Commerce, the central government took sustainable
measures to prohibit private slaughter, close down small scale slaughtering
houses, limit numbers of large scale slaughtering enterprises, controlled
numbers of large scale slaughtering houses, plus stop production in mid-small
slaughtering houses caused by tight hog supply and high pork price. In terms
of poultry slaughter, due to bird flu and human infection in Asia areas and
China in the second half of 2007, live poultry business is expected to be
absolutely prohibited. Flocks and herds slaughtering faced hard procurement,
causing stop production in small scale slaughtering houses. Therefore, it is
estimated breeding industry still will face shortage of supply and
slaughtering industry is going to see noticeable changes.
This study covers hog inventory, slaughter, production and consumption. On the
basis of in-depth analysis of the breeding and slaughtering industry in 2007,
this study intends to reveal the trend in the livestock market in 2008, so as
to provide a reliable reference to relevant enterprises in their
decision-making.
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