The Path to 100 Gbps Networks

Table of Contents

• E.1 Current and Future Market Environment for Next-Generation Networks
  • E.1.1 Paradigms Emerging
  • E.1.2 Just the Beginning for 100 Gbps
  • E.1.3 Emerging Options for High-Speed Networking
  • E.1.4 New Materials, Manufacturing Processes and Component Types for High-Speed Networks
• E.2 Summary of Key Opportunities in Next-Generation Networks
  • E.2.1 Active Optics
  • E.2.2 WDM Products
  • E.2.3 Media
  • E.2.4 Networking Silicon
• E.3 Firms Active in the Space
• E.4 Summary of Forecasts

• 1.1 Background to this Report
  • 1.1.1 If You Make It, They Shall Come
• 1.2 Objectives of this Report
• 1.3 Scope of this Report
• 1.4 Methodology and Information Sources for Report
• 1.5 Plan of this Report

• 2.1 Introduction
• 2.2 The Impact of Video on Bandwidth Demand
  • 2.2.1 Thoughts on Videoconferencing
  • 2.2.2 Thoughts on Telemedicine and Telelearning
  • 2.2.3 Consumer Video: The Real Video Driver
• 2.3 The Role of High-Performance Computing
  • 2.3.1 The Trouble with InfiniBand
• 2.4 Servers, Data Centers and Enterprise Networks
  • 2.4.1 Faster Interfaces and Aggregation: Fibre Channel and PCI Express
• 2.5 Central Offices, POPs and Internet Exchanges
  • 2.5.1 VSR OC-768
• 2.6 Long-Haul, Metro and Access Networks
  • 2.6.1 What Will Carrier 100 Gbps Look Like?

• 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.1.1 Integration Imperative
  • 3.1.2 Parallel vs. Serial Transmission
• 3.2 The Role for Optical Integration and Silicon Photonics
  • 3.2.1 Materials Platforms for Optical Integration
  • 3.2.2 Optical Integration and High-Speed Networking
• 3.3 Potential for Serial and Parallel Solutions for High-speed Optical Networks
• 3.4 Lasers, TOSAs and Modulators
  • 3.4.1 Advanced Modulation Schemes
• 3.5 Detectors, Receivers and ROSAs
• 3.6 WDM and Waveguide Products
• 3.7 Amplifications and Dispersion Compensation for Next-Generation Networking
• 3.8 Media
  • 3.8.1 Multi-mode Fiber
  • 3.8.2 Single-Mode Fiber
  • 3.8.3 The Future of Parallel Optics
  • 3.8.4 Active Optical Cabling
  • 3.8.5 A Future for Copper?

• 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.1.1 100 G Will Need More Cooperation on Standards Development
  • 4.1.2 Rethinking MSAs
• 4.2 The Higher Speed Ethernet Task Group
  • 4.2.1 Ethernets of the Past
  • 4.2.2 The IEEE process for the Next-Gen Ethernet
  • 4.2.3 Data Rates and How to Achieve Them
  • 4.2.4 40-Gbps Alternatives
  • 4.2.5 100-Gbps Alternatives
• 4.3 What Will Be the Role of ITU Standards?
  • 4.3.1 SONET/SDH and Ethernet
  • 4.3.2 Likely Future Directions for SONET/SDH:
  • 4.3.3 Ethernet in a SONET/SDH World and the OTN
• 4.4 The Role of OIF
• 4.5 Use and Evolution of MSAs for 40- and 100-Gbps Networks
  • 4.5.1 300-pin Transponders
  • 4.5.2 XENPAK
  • 4.5.3 XFP and SFP+
  • 4.5.4 QSFP
  • 4.5.5 SNAP12
  • 4.5.6 POP4
  • 4.5.7 Which MSA is likely to win?

• 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.1.1 A Note on Pre-Standard Products
  • 5.1.2 A Timetable for Next-Generation Ethernet
  • 5.1.3 A View on 10-Gbps Networking
• 5.2 Forecasts for Evolution of 40-Gbps and 100-Gbps Ethernet: 2009 to 2016
  • 5.2.1 Server Infrastructure Growth
  • 5.2.2 Server Penetration Projections
  • 5.2.3 Switch Port Projections
• 5.3 Forecasts for Evolution of 40-Gbps and 100-Gbps Pricing and Market Value
  • 5.3.1 Forecasts for 40 Gbps and 100 Gbps by Application Type
• 5.4 The Future at 40 Gbps
  • 5.4.1 Alternative Scenario: Life Without 40GigE
• 5.5 A Note on Parallelism
• 5.6 Components Opportunity Forecast
  • Acronyms and Abbreviations Used in this Report
  • About the Author

• Exhibit E-1: The Paths to Higher Speed Networks
• Exhibit E-2: Applications and Markets for Next-Generation Networks
• Exhibit E-3: Options and Opportunities from Next-Generation Networks
• Exhibit E-4: Summary Eight-Year Market Forecasts of 100 Gbps and 40 Gbps ($ Millions)
• Exhibit 1-1: Component, Module and Subsystem Products Covered in this Report
• Exhibit 2-1: InfiniBand Formats and Data Rates
• Exhibit 2-2: Directions for the New 8-Gbps Fibre Channel Standards
• Figure 1-1: Fibre Channel Roadmap (Source: Fibre Channel Industry Association)
• Exhibit 3-1: Technology Directions for 40- and 100-Gigabit Networks Adopted By the IEEE
• Exhibit 3-2: Problems to be Overcome in Serial 100G Networks
• Exhibit 3-3: Opportunities for Optical Integration in High-Speed Networks
• Exhibit 3-4: New Laser Integrated Products for Parallel Solutions
• Exhibit 3-5: NRZ at High Line Rates
• Exhibit 3-6: Technology Choices: Opportunities and Timetables in the Transmission Segment
• Exhibit 3-7: Modulation Format Characteristics for Higher Speed Networking
• Figure 4-2: IEEE 802.3ab Higher Speed Ethernet Standards Development Schedule
• Exhibit 4-1: IEEE Higher Speed Task Group 40 and 100-Gigabit Laser Considerations
• Figure 4-3: Luxtera' s Active Cable Assembly Using the QSFP
• Figure 4-4: 300-pin VSR Transponder Using SNAP12 Modules (Source: Cisco)
• Exhibit 5-1: A Provisional Timetable for Next-Generation Ethernet
• Exhibit 5-2: Evolution of Gigabit Networks
• Exhibit 5-3: Forecast of 40 GigE and 100 GigE Markets
• Exhibit 5-4: Forecast of Server Markets for 40 GigE and 100 GigE
• Exhibit 5-5: Forecast of Switch Markets for 40 GigE and 100 GigE
• Exhibit 5-6: Forecast of Router Markets for 40 GigE and 100 GigE
• Exhibit 5-7: Forecast of Emerging Ethernet Markets by Application ($ Millions)
• Exhibit 5-8: Future Options at 40 Gbps
• Exhibit 5-9: Forecast of 100 GigE Markets if 40 GigE Does Not Appear
• Exhibit 5-10: Forecast of Next-Generation Ethernet Components