Abstract
With just over two dozen operational projects globally, offshore wind is
nearing a critical phase requiring major investments to secure its future in
the generation mix. With 1 GW of offshore wind now in service, the global
market is expected to grow 40-fold by 2020, according to EER' s base-case
forecasts. But offshore' s success will hinge on turbine and foundation
technological advances, development of know-how across the project value
chain, and increasing logistics capacity.
EER' s new market study, Global Offshore Wind Energy Markets and Strategies,
2008- 2020, provides a comprehensive analysis of offshore wind markets,
the strategies of developers, IPPs, utilities, and turbine suppliers, and
growth barriers facing the industry.
- Project size increasing: Offshore wind is entering a critical phase
in which projects are to move from 100 MW to 400 MW and larger - requiring a
major scaling up and technology specialization across the industry.
- Europe offshore serving as model for North America and Asia
projects: Europe is set for paced offshore expansion though 2020, with the
UK, Germany, and Sweden driving future growth. North America will begin to
take off after 2011, following the first phase of Cape Wind. Asia will be
driven by pilot projects in China, South Korea, and Taiwan that are set for
construction in 2010.
- IPPs moving into project development space: Many IPPs are looking
to partner with utilities to realize their offshore projects. As financing
becomes more readily available and project costs decrease in the longer term,
the opportunities for IPPs to become offshore wind plant owners and operators
will increase together with their share of the market.
- Utilities leveraging onshore experience offshore: Experience
acquired by power producers developing and managing onshore wind plant can be
leveraged into offshore expansion as these players look to further diversify
their energy mix.
- New market offers supply chain challenges: To realize the large
scale the market promises, developers must first secure a steady flow of
permitted, wellfinanced projects that will justify major supply chain
investments by players that currently focus more on oil and gas offshore, such
as EPC contractors and installation vessel operators.