
Abstract
This report includes:
- Unlimited hotline service
- 2 hours workshop/conference with the analysts
VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) experienced a first period of hype during
the late 1990s butavailable bandwidth and speech quality were such that faith
in VoIP was quickly lost. Then, roug-hly from 2002 onwards, as broadband via
DSL or cable became more widely available, VoIP wasthe subject of a second
hype wave. Only this time there was more to the hype, and Skype, theepitome of
VoIP, was launched in August 2003 and has been downloaded around 196 million
times up to this day.
However, there is still an element of hype: despite its reputation VoIP is not
often truly free of char-ge or much lower cost than traditional telephony,
quality is not always there etc. Indeed, manypeople who downloaded Skype only
rarely, or even never, use it. Based on InfoCom' s previousVoIP study for
Western Europe in 2006, we indeed recognised very strong growth, but with
widecountry differences and a maximum of about 13% of households being VoIP
subscribers at end-2006, while in other countries the figure did not even
reach 1%.
InfoCom' s 2007 VoIP report will therefore try and understand these country
differences, looking atthe various types of providers, understanding their
strategy and business model, detailing someoffers and their pricing while
highlighting the best practices. Furthermore, we will also develop amarket
potential analysis, looking at the market drivers and obstacles, including
aspects such asregulation, broadband penetration, substitution services,
culture etc., in order to produce fore-casts as meaningful as possible.
All in all, we feel it is no longer a question of if, but only of when and how
VoIP will happen. It maystill be a long way till VoIP becomes really a mass
market product but expected growth rates areindeed high (see chart showing
forecast for Germany).
VoIP is particular important for traditional operators, especially incumbents.
They must developVoIP services so as not to lose existing customers to other
VoIP providers while not positioning their VoIP services only on price, since
offering much lower prices would probably result in keeping customers but also
in losing much revenue. Telecom operators consequently need to develop new
business models, linking and bund-ling VoIP more closely to the
broadbandconnection, e.g. within triple play offers,and emphasise associated
services toVoIP, such as instant messaging, videotelephony, comfortable
management of address books and services on website etc.
COUNTRY COVERAGE:
Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy,
the Netherlands, Norway,Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK.
PROVIDERS COVERAGE:
Alice (Telecom Italia), AOL, Belgacom, Bluewin (Swisscom), Bredbandsbolaget,
BT, Cablecom,ComHem, Eircom, Elisa, Fastweb, Free (Iliad), Freenet, Indigo
Networks (sipgate), Inode, Ipon, Jajah,KPN, Neuf Cegetel, Orange (France
Telecom), Peoplecall, Portugal Telecom, Skype, TDC, Tele2,Telefonica, Telekom
Austria, Telenor, Telia Sonera, Telio, T-Home/T-Online (Deutsche Telekom),
Tiscali,United Internet (1&1, GMX, Web.de), UPC, Vonage - and others.
QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED:
- What is the regulator' s position regarding VoIP and how is regulation
impacting VoIP potential andthe shaping of VoIP services?
- What are the main types of VoIP providers and what is their strategy;
which business model do theyfollow?
- How are the VoIP services positioned and marketed (bundle, add-on or stand
alone)? What arethe sales arguments used?
- Which VoIP end- user equipment (software and hardware) is required? How
are the servicesrealised?
- Which technologies and protocols are used?
- Are there still some reliability and quality issues? Is that impacting the
usage development andmarket potential?
- What are the pricing strategies (set-up fees, monthly subscriptions, flat
rates or just “pay as youuse”)?
- Is VoIP really much lower cost than traditional fixed telephony?
- What is the current level of usage, what is the market potential, what are
the forecasts?
WHO SHOULD BUY THIS REPORT?
- VoIP providers (telecom operators, CaTV operators, ISPs, pure VoIP
providers etc.):
- Reference document for strategic planning such as understanding market
drivers andobstacles, identifying opportunities and threats etc.
- Benchmark tool to identify best practices in order to improve and
develop VoIP services.
- Regulators:
- Evaluation of the impact of VoIP on the overall telecom market (new
entrants, competi-tion level etc.).
- Benchmark tool regarding specific VoIP-related regulatory issues:
bitstream access andnaked DSL, use of geographic numbers for VoIP, specific
VoIP number range etc.
- Manufacturers:
- Market overview as regards the current demand level and usage
development.
- Benchmark tool regarding most successful technologies in operation,
equipment used,features used, technical limitations, etc.
- Investors and analysts:
- To understand the impact of new mobile broadband technologies within the
global mar-ket of ICT.
PLANNED REPORT OUTLINE
Regulation impact on VoIP potential and the shaping of VoIP services
- Classification of VoIP as PATS
- Access to emergency services
- ULL, bitstream and naked DSL
- VoIP numbering (geographic numbers, specific VoIP number range etc.)
Overview of the VoIP providers and their business model
- Number of VoIP providers
- Type of VoIP providers
- Main VoIP providers and their strategy/positioning
- Incumbent' s offer and strategy
Analysis of service characteristics:
- Service positioning: bundle, add-on, stand-alone
- End-user equipment
- SIP and other protocols
- Quality of Service
- Access to emergency services
- Available VoIP numbers
- Associated extra services: CLIP, call waiting, call transfer, video
telephony, instant messa-ging etc.
Pricing analysis:
- Initial and equipment fees
- Tariff plans: monthly subscriptions, only by usage, packages of minutes
and flat rates
- Call pricing structure: call units, set-up charges, peak/off-peak, price
levels etc.
- Price comparison between VoIP and PSTN
- Payment method
Assessment of market potential and forecasts:
- Market drivers and obstacles
- Usage development: total number of VoIP customers and as a share of
broadband sub-scribers, VoIP traffic, other usage trends (usage frequency,
call destinations etc.)
- Forecasts
METHODOLOGY
Our expertise consists of our ability to deliver an integrated solution to
telecommunications, IT & multimedia market knowledge.
SELECTED REFERENCES
Operators:
Belgacom, Botswana Telecom, Deutsche Telekom, France Telecom, KPN, Mobilkom
Austria,Polkomtel, Swisscom, TDC, Tele2UTA, Telefonica, Ukranian Telecom, etc.
Regulator & Others:
Anacom, Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Communications Authority of Thailand,
EnterpriseIreland, ETRI, European Commission, National Communications
Authority of Hungary, The BostonConsulting Group, etc.
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