Abstract
IEMR' s Japan Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast provides historical and
forecasted (2004 - 2011) information on handset shipments by unit shipments,
air interface, generation, and form factor in the Japan market.
Notable highlights of the 2Q08 Japan Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast include:
- Unit shipments in Japan are expected to rise only modestly from 52.5
million units in 2008 to 55.5 million units in 2011.
- In Japan, converged mobile devices account for over one-half of all
handsets sold (compared to the worldwide average of 16% only). We expect this
trend to continue during the forecast period with 27.8 million converged
mobile devices shipped in the Japanese market by 2011.
- In Japan, a shift from 2G to 3G occurred much earlier than in other parts
of the world. Over the forecast period of 2008 - 2011, we expect 3G handset
shipment in Japan to increase from 45.1 million to 49.4 million, accounting
for 89% of all handsets sold in the Japanese market.
IEMR' s Handset Forecasts are based on our proprietary, vendor-specific
forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and
cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data,
technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes
expected in a particular region; and relate these to company operational and
financial metrics.
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