Abstract
WiMAX: Ambitions and reality is an in-depth analysis of the
opportunities and challenges that WiMAX presents over the next five years. It
is based on an extensive forecast of subscriptions, devices in use, service
revenues and equipment revenues.
In the next five years, WiMAX will become a mature technology for mobile
broadband access and will be ready to take one the challenge from LTE.
Initially, the largest opportunity for WiMAX lies in the fixed- access and
nomadic market in emerging countries and in a few developed countries like the
US. This will give WiMAX the opportunity to gain a strong foothold in the
market, as mobile devices become commercially available and affordable to the
mass market. With time, mobile access will gain more traction, as mobile
operators commit to deploying high-capacity, low-latency, all-IP mobile
broadband networks.
By the end of the forecast period, most subscribers will use WiMAX as a mobile
technology. In developed countries, WiMAX is a natural evolution beyond 3G; in
emerging markets, it may represent the first mobile broadband data network for
subscribers. In all cases, WiMAX subscribers will increasingly use multiple
devices linked to a single account, depending on where they are and which
applications they are using.
It is not yet clear which technology, WiMAX or LTE, will win the battle to
conquer the mobile broadband mass market. The stakes are high, as mobile
broadband has the potential to become as pervasive as cellular voice. Both
WiMAX and LTE use a similar set of technologies at their core so the
performance will be comparable. At the end of the day, it may not matter much
which one will prevail to operators and subscribers.
The report presents an overview of how we expect the market for WiMAX to
develop, of the challenges faced by WiMAX operators, and of the market
opportunity that the technology presents in different geographies.
Our analysis is based on a wide range of consulting engagements with network
operators and vendors worldwide, on the development of in-depth business
models to assess the market opportunity for different players, and on a
continuous dialogue with the key players in the fixed and mobile broadband
market.
Extensive forecast (2007-2012) of WiMAX demand, service revenues and
equipment revenues includes:
Regions Asia Pacific, North America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe,
Latin America, Middle East/North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa
Countries Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany,
India, Italy, Japan, Korea, Mexico, Spain, Russia, UK, USA
Forecast data for each country and region
- Fixed and mobile broadband subscribers
- Fixed and mobile WiMAX subscribers
- Data and VoIP service revenues
- Device types in use and sale volume
- Equipment revenues for network infrastructure and subscriber devices
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